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2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · Lambeau Field
10
16
Green Bay Packers 16–10. Biggest swing: Q3 2:04, GB +10% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(2:04) 19-D.Whelan punts 59 yards to IND 16, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 6-A.Gould.
How the points landed
(10:34) 44-B.Narveson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: IND 0 — GB 3(3:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right to 13-D.Wicks for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 0 — GB 10(8:29) 44-B.Narveson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: IND 0 — GB 13(4:36) 7-M.Gay 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
Score after this play: IND 3 — GB 13(10:54) 44-B.Narveson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: IND 3 — GB 16(1:53) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short right to 14-A.Pierce for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: IND 10 — GB 16Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Colts | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 52 | 67 |
| Total yards | 338 | 383 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 5.7 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.10 | -0.00 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% (edge) | 36% |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 25% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.13 | 0.55 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Third downs | 2/9 | 10/17 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 19 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.00 expected points added per play vs -0.10.
Who moved the needle
Passing · IND
17/34, 204 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
-8.0 expected points added · -8.1% completion over expected
Passing · GB
12/14, 122 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
9.0 expected points added · +20.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 30 | 9 | 57 | 4:30 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | IND | IND 30 | 5 | 3 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 3 | GB | GB 18 | 12 | 92 | 6:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | IND | IND 30 | 4 | 30 | 0:52 | Interception | |
| 5 | GB | GB 31 | 10 | 68 | 5:20 | Fumble | |
| 6 | IND | IND 20 | 4 | 14 | 2:48 | Punt | |
| 7 | GB | GB 16 | 9 | 34 | 5:12 | Punt | |
| 8 | IND | IND 8 | 7 | 33 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 9 | GB | GB 20 | 3 | 11 | 1:42 | End of half | |
| 10 | IND | IND 30 | 7 | 16 | 2:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | GB | IND 46 | 7 | 23 | 3:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | IND | IND 30 | 8 | 54 | 3:53 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | GB | GB 30 | 5 | 0 | 2:36 | Punt | |
| 14 | IND | IND 16 | 6 | 52 | 2:44 | Missed field goal | |
| 15 | GB | GB 40 | 7 | 44 | 3:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | IND | IND 30 | 4 | 30 | 0:31 | Interception | |
| 17 | GB | GB 25 | 11 | 49 | 6:09 | Missed field goal | |
| 18 | IND | IND 35 | 13 | 70 | 2:23 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | GB | IND 43 | 5 | 5 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 20 | IND | IND 5 | 6 | 36 | 0:43 | Interception |
6 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 92 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Richardson | 17/34 | 204 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 12 | 103 | 8.6 | 0 | 3.5 |
| Anthony Richardson | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Trey Sermon | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce | 5 | 7 | 56 | 1 | 23% | -0.2 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 2 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 13% | -1.5 |
| Adonai Mitchell | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 13% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Cross | 8 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| E.J. Speed | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rodney Thomas | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaire Franklin |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis | 12/14 | 122 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 32 | 151 | 4.7 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 26 — under by 15.5.
Conditions and crew
| -0.1 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 3% | 1.6 |
| Michael Pittman | 3 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 23% | -4.8 |
| Ashton Dulin | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6% | 0.4 |
| Andrew Ogletree | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6% | -0.2 |
| Kylen Granson | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 6% | -0.2 |
| Trey Sermon | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Tyler Goodson | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Jaylon Jones | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raekwon Davis | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grover Stewart | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwity Paye | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Carlies | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dayo Odeyingbo | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -8.3 |
| Malik Willis | 6 | 41 | 6.8 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Jayden Reed | 2 | 37 | 18.5 | 0 | 2.5 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 5 | 9 | 1.8 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Bo Melton | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | 3 | 3 | 62 | 0 | 23% | 6.6 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 3 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 31% | 3.5 |
| Tucker Kraft | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 15% | 1.6 |
| Jayden Reed | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 15% | -1.9 |
| Luke Musgrave | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 8% | 0.3 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8% | -0.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bullard | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Xavier McKinney | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah McDuffie | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay Walker | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keisean Nixon | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devonte Wyatt | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carrington Valentine | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Evan Williams | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Preston Smith | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Clark | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
