2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · Bank of America Stadium

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

Carolina Panthers

LAC -5 ✓U 39 ✓Chargers closed -5 and covered, winning by 23.

Los Angeles Chargers 26–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 9:26, CAR +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 9:26LAC 6 — CAR 0LAC ball · 3rd & 10LAC 73%

(9:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 9:26CAR +7% win prob(9:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 3:30LAC +5% win prob(3:30) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle intended for 5-Dio.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 22-E.Molden at LAC 45. 22-E.Molden to LAC 48 for 3 yards (5-Dio.Johnson).
Q1 · 7:49LAC +5% win prob(7:49) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Horn at LAC 41. 8-J.Horn to LAC 41 for no gain (44-S.Matlock). Penalty on LAC-75-B.Bozeman, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
Q1 · 6:22LAC +4% win prob(6:22) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at LAC 43 for -7 yards (6-D.Perryman).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 9:26LAC Touchdown
(9:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LAC 6 — CAR 0
Q2 · 4:21LAC Touchdown
(4:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 1-Q.Johnston for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 13 — CAR 0
Q2 · 2:11LAC Touchdown
(2:11) 27-J.Dobbins left end for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 20 — CAR 0
Q3 · 12:22CAR Field goal
(12:22) 4-E.Pineiro 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: LAC 20 — CAR 3
Q3 · 9:07LAC Field goal
(9:07) 11-C.Dicker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 23 — CAR 3
Q4 · 11:06LAC Field goal
(11:06) 11-C.Dicker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 26 — CAR 3

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chargers	Panthers
Offensive plays	62	46
Total yards	353 (edge)	159
Yards per play	5.7 (edge)	3.5
Expected points added / play	0.11 (edge)	-0.49
Success rate	53% (edge)	24%
Dropback rate	35%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.10 (edge)	-0.75
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.12 (edge)	-0.04
Third downs	9/15 (edge)	1/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	2
First downs gained on snaps	18 (edge)	7
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.49.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

14/20, 130 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

1.4 expected points added · +7.7% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Bryce YoungQB

18/26, 84 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-22.1 expected points added · -6.5% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

J.K. DobbinsRB

17 att, 131 yds, 1 TD

8.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CAR

Chuba HubbardRB

10 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Quentin JohnstonWR

5/6 for 51 yds, 2 TD

32% of team targets · 6.7 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Will DisslyTE

3/3 for 29 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LAC	LAC 33	11	67	5:40	Touchdown +6
2	CAR	CAR 30	5	8	1:31	Punt
3	LAC	LAC 25	1	0	0:11	Interception
4	CAR	LAC 41	4	-2	2:43	Punt
5	LAC	LAC 30	6	19	3:39	Punt
6	CAR	CAR 13	4	4	1:56	Punt
7	LAC	CAR 49	4	5	1:35	Punt
8	CAR	CAR 20	4	10	2:28	Punt
9	LAC	LAC 35	12	60	6:01	Touchdown +7
10	CAR	CAR 32	3	11	0:49	Interception
11	LAC	LAC 48	4	52	1:26	Touchdown +7
12	CAR	CAR 22	7	23	1:46	Punt
13	LAC	LAC 1	1	1	0:15	End of half
14	CAR	CAR 40	7	40	2:42	Field goal +3
15	LAC	LAC 35	7	37	3:15	Field goal +3
16	CAR	CAR 30	5	-5	1:32	Punt
17	LAC	LAC 30	9	51	5:34	Fumble
18	CAR	CAR 17	4	8	1:55	Punt
19	LAC	LAC 25	10	37	4:00	Field goal +3
20	CAR	CAR 27	13	55	5:10	Turnover on downs
21	LAC	LAC 33	7	24	2:43	Punt
22	CAR	CAR 19	4	7	1:10	Turnover on downs
23	LAC	CAR 26	3	0	1:59	End of game

6 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 67 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Herbert	14/20	130	2	1	1	1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
J.K. Dobbins	17	131	7.7	1	8.5
Gus Edwards	18	59	3.3	0	-4.1
Justin Herbert	6	18	3.0	0	-0.8
Hassan Haskins	3	11	3.7	0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Quentin Johnston	5	6	51	2	32%	6.7
Will Dissly	3	3	29	0	16%	2.6
Ladd McConkey	2	4	26	0	21%	-1.7
Josh Palmer	2	2	19	0	11%	1.2
Hayden Hurst	1	2	5	0	11%	-0.6
J.K. Dobbins	1	1	0	0	5%	-0.5
Eric Tomlinson	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Denzel Perryman	4	3	1.0	0	0
Elijah Molden	4	3	0.0	1	1
Daiyan Henley	3	3	0.0	0	0
Derwin James	4	2	0.0	0	0
Ja'Sir Taylor	2	2	0.0	0	0
Deane Leonard	2	1	0.0	0	1
Khalil Mack	1	1	0.0	0	0
Bud Dupree	1	1	0.0	0	0
Joey Bosa	1	1	1.0	0	0
Teair Tart	1	1	0.0	0	0

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Bryce Young	18/26	84	0	1	2	-22.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Chuba Hubbard	10	64	6.4	0.8
Miles Sanders	7	20	2.9	-1.5
Bryce Young	1	6	6.0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Tommy Tremble	3	4	23	15%	-1.5
Adam Thielen	2	3	20	12%	-2.5
Diontae Johnson	3	6	15	23%	-3.8
Chuba Hubbard	4	5	12	19%	-3.9
Ja'Tavion Sanders	2	2	8	8%	-0.9
Miles Sanders	3	3	5	12%	-2.3
Jonathan Mingo	1	2	1	8%	-1.1
David Moore	0	1	0	4%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Shaq Thompson	7	6	0.0	0	0
Josey Jewell	5	3	0.0	0	0
Jordan Fuller	3	2	0.0	0	0
Jadeveon Clowney	2	3	0.0	0	0
A'Shawn Robinson	5	0	0.0	0	0
Xavier Woods	1	4	0.0	0	0
D.J. Johnson	1	3	0.5	0	0
Troy Hill	2	2	0.0	0	0
Jaycee Horn	2	2	0.0	1	2
Michael Jackson	1	2	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LAC -5
Closing total: 39
LAC moneyline: -225
CAR moneyline: +185

Chargers closed -5 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 39; the game landed 29 — under by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 78°F, wind 13 mph
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: LAC 7 days · CAR 7 days
Coaches: Jim Harbaugh vs Dave Canales