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2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · State Farm Stadium

Los Angeles Rams

10

Arizona CardinalsWinner

41

LA -1 upsetO 47.5 ✓Dome

Arizona Cardinals 41–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 8:57, ARI +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ARILA
Q1 · 8:57LA 0ARI 13ARI ball · 1st & 10ARI 70%

(8:57) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 18-M.Harrison for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 8:57ARI +9% win prob(8:57) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 18-M.Harrison for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 13:37LA +8% win prob(13:37) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 10-C.Kupp to ARI 40 for 1 yard (3-B.Baker).
  3. Q1 · 9:45LA +8% win prob(9:45) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 28 for -8 yards (45-D.Gardeck).
  4. Q1 · 13:40LA +6% win prob(13:40) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 15-D.Robinson to ARI 38 for 3 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting). Arizona challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 15-D.Robinson.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:09ARI Touchdown

    (11:09) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 18-M.Harrison for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0ARI 7
  2. Q1 · 8:57ARI Touchdown

    (8:57) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 18-M.Harrison for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0ARI 14
  3. Q2 · 13:39ARI Touchdown

    (13:39) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 84-E.Higgins for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0ARI 21
  4. Q2 · 9:41LA Field goal

    (9:41) 16-J.Karty 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 3ARI 21
  5. Q2 · 5:13ARI Field goal

    (5:13) 5-M.Prater 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: LA 3ARI 24
  6. Q3 · 10:38ARI Touchdown

    (10:38) (Shotgun) 6-J.Conner left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3ARI 31
  7. Q3 · 3:32ARI Field goal

    (3:32) 5-M.Prater 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: LA 3ARI 34
  8. Q3 · 0:44LA Touchdown

    (:44) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10ARI 34
  9. Q4 · 9:09ARI Touchdown

    (9:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Conner left end to LA 5 for 2 yards (8-J.Verse). FUMBLES (8-J.Verse), recovered by ARI-85-T.McBride at LA -2. TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 10ARI 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsCardinals
Offensive plays5262
Total yards245489 (edge)
Yards per play4.77.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.260.35 (edge)
Success rate44%55% (edge)
Dropback rate62%42%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.350.81 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.130.01 (edge)
Third downs2/117/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)412 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1322 (edge)
Sacks taken51 (edge)
Turnovers11

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.35 expected points added per play vs -0.26.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

17/21, 266 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

18.1 expected points added · +17.5% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

19/27, 216 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-11.2 expected points added · +1.4% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

James ConnerRB

21 att, 122 yds, 1 TD

7.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

5 att, 59 yds, 0 TD

3.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Marvin HarrisonWR

4/8 for 130 yds, 2 TD

38% of team targets · 9.6 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Trey McBrideTE

6/6 for 67 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 5.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LAARI 49591:30Turnover on downs
2ARIARI 407602:27Touchdown +7
3LALA 305-22:06Punt
4ARIARI 402600:10Touchdown +7
5LALA 30561:47Punt
6ARIARI 1141028:31Touchdown +7
7LALA 308453:51Field goal +3
8ARIARI 308454:29Field goal +3
9LALA 305-42:03Punt
10ARIARI 284-51:16Punt
11LALA 2911671:50Turnover on downs
12ARIARI 3010804:27Touchdown +7
13LALA 30581:53Punt
14ARIARI 189435:13Field goal +3
15LALA 3010702:46Touchdown +7
16ARIARI 3013606:39Turnover on downs +7
17LALA 304181:03Fumble
18ARIARI 376443:42Fumble
19LALA 288284:17End of game

9 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 102 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford19/27216005-11.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Blake Corum8283.50-1.2
Kyren Williams12252.11-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Demarcus Robinson2450015%1.1
Tutu Atwell3448015%2.9
Cooper Kupp4637022%-3.0
Kyren Williams4527019%-0.2
Jordan Whittington222207%2.4
Tyler Johnson2320011%-1.3
Colby Parkinson121207%1.0
Ronnie Rivers11004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quentin Lake450.000
Troy Reeder440.000
Kamren Curl440.000
Jared Verse610.000
Michael Hoecht140.000
Christian Rozeboom400.000
Desjuan Johnson120.000
Tre'Davious White300.001
Bobby Brown210.000
Byron Young200.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyler Murray17/2126630118.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
James Conner211225.817.1
Kyler Murray55911.803.9
Emari Demercado24623.004.0
Trey Benson11100.90-5.8
Clayton Tune1-6-6.00-5.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Marvin Harrison48130238%9.6
Trey McBride6667029%5.9
Michael Wilson2231010%2.8
Elijah Higgins111815%2.9
Greg Dortch2211010%-1.3
Trey Benson11705%0.2
James Conner11205%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Budda Baker700.001
Kyzir White250.000
Dennis Gardeck503.000
Jalen Thompson220.000
Starling Thomas130.000
Krys Barnes221.000
Roy Lopez110.000
Victor Dimukeje110.000
Zaven Collins111.000
Owen Pappoe200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -1
Closing total
47.5
LA moneyline
-112
ARI moneyline
-108

Rams closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 51 — over by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
LA 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Jonathan Gannon

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.