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2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · M&T Bank Stadium

Las Vegas RaidersWinner

26

Baltimore Ravens

23

BAL -9 upsetO 41 ✓

Las Vegas Raiders 26–23 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 4:03, BAL +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3BAL ↑LV ↓
Q4 · 4:03LV 16 — BAL 23LV ball · 3rd & 17BAL 87%

(4:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Adams. PENALTY on BAL-21-B.Stephens, Defensive Pass Interference, 16 yards, enforced at BAL 17 - No Play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 4:03BAL +14% win prob(4:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Adams. PENALTY on BAL-21-B.Stephens, Defensive Pass Interference, 16 yards, enforced at BAL 17 - No Play.
  2. Q4 · 2:34LV +9% win prob(2:34) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 43-J.Hill pushed ob at BAL 24 for 3 yards (20-I.Pola-Mao).
  3. Q4 · 3:57BAL +9% win prob(3:57) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q2 · 1:42BAL +8% win prob(1:42) 2-D.Carlson 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:34BAL Field goal

    (8:34) 9-J.Tucker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: LV 0 — BAL 3
  2. Q2 · 9:23LV Field goal

    (9:23) 2-D.Carlson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 3 — BAL 3
  3. Q2 · 6:04BAL Field goal

    (6:04) 9-J.Tucker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: LV 3 — BAL 6
  4. Q2 · 1:42LV Field goal

    (1:42) 2-D.Carlson 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 6 — BAL 6
  5. Q2 · 0:07BAL Field goal

    (:07) 9-J.Tucker 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: LV 6 — BAL 9
  6. Q3 · 11:45BAL Touchdown

    (11:45) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 6 — BAL 16
  7. Q3 · 2:40LV Touchdown

    (2:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-A.Mattison up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 13 — BAL 16
  8. Q4 · 12:17BAL Touchdown

    (12:17) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 13 — BAL 23
  9. Q4 · 9:24LV Field goal

    (9:24) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 16 — BAL 23
  10. Q4 · 3:57LV Touchdown

    (3:57) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 23 — BAL 23
  11. Q4 · 0:31LV Field goal

    (:31) 2-D.Carlson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 26 — BAL 23

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRaidersRavens
Offensive plays5961
Total yards261358 (edge)
Yards per play4.45.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.17-0.01 (edge)
Success rate41%44% (edge)
Dropback rate73%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.060.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.46-0.08 (edge)
Third downs4/12 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)5 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps1518 (edge)
Sacks taken52 (edge)
Turnovers11

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Gardner MinshewQB

30/38, 276 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-2.4 expected points added · +15.9% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

21/34, 247 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.0 expected points added · -0.6% completion over expected

Rushing · BAL

Derrick HenryRB

18 att, 84 yds, 1 TD

0.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

5 att, 45 yds, 0 TD

-0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Davante AdamsWR

9/12 for 110 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 3.4 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Brock BowersTE

9/9 for 98 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LVLV 245-82:21Punt
2BALBAL 457254:10Field goal +3
3LVLV 308104:10Punt
4BALBAL 20412:06Punt
5LVLV 40461:33Punt
6BALBAL 20431:34Punt
7LVLV 288374:47Field goal +3
8BALBAL 309453:19Field goal +3
9LVLV 47320:57Interception
10BALBAL 337392:38Missed field goal
11LVLV 465-30:48Field goal +3
12BALBAL 3011611:34Field goal +3
13LVLV 30200:03End of half
14BALBAL 308703:18Touchdown +7
15LVLV 308454:06Turnover on downs
16BALBAL 253191:28Interception
17LVBAL 468463:32Touchdown +7
18BALBAL 2411805:25Touchdown +7
19LVLV 308492:50Field goal +3
20BALBAL 20551:45Punt
21LVLV 3010543:42Touchdown +7
22BALBAL 305-61:33Punt
23LVBAL 436231:54Field goal +3
24BALBAL 306160:27End of game

11 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 80 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Gardner Minshew30/38276115-2.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zamir White9242.70-2.3
D.J. Turner122.00-0.4
Ameer Abdullah210.50-2.4
Alexander Mattison410.31-2.2
Gardner Minshew1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Davante Adams912110133%3.4
Brock Bowers9998025%8.2
Jakobi Meyers4529014%1.9
Zamir White3414011%-0.8
Tre Tucker221306%0.6
Michael Mayer111103%0.6
Ameer Abdullah22106%-1.3
Harrison Bryant01003%-3.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Robert Spillane730.012
Maxx Crosby512.001
Trevon Moehrig320.000
Divine Deablo410.000
Marcus Epps310.000
Christian Wilkins210.000
Luke Masterson210.000
Jack Jones210.002
Isaiah Pola-Mao200.000
Adam Butler200.000

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Lamar Jackson21/342471121.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Derrick Henry18844.710.0
Lamar Jackson5459.00-0.5
Justice Hill4225.50-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Zay Flowers71191135%4.1
Mark Andrews4551016%1.9
Rashod Bateman3440013%-2.7
Isaiah Likely2326010%2.5
Nelson Agholor1313010%-1.0
Derrick Henry111203%0.8
Justice Hill221006%-1.1
Charlie Kolar11403%-0.3
Patrick Ricard01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Roquan Smith370.001
Marlon Humphrey820.011
Trenton Simpson320.000
Odafe Oweh312.500
Kyle Hamilton310.000
Brandon Stephens210.001
Travis Jones210.000
Nnamdi Madubuike200.000
Josh Ross110.000
Brent Urban110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BAL -9
Closing total
41
LV moneyline
+350
BAL moneyline
-455

Ravens closed -9 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 41; the game landed 49 — over by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
76°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
LV 7 days · BAL 10 days
Coaches
Antonio Pierce vs John Harbaugh