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2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · FedExField

New York Giants

18

Washington CommandersWinner

21

WAS -1.5 ✓U 42.5 ✓

Washington Commanders 21–18 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 2:09, NYG +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3WAS ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 2:09NYG 18 — WAS 18NYG ball · 4th & 4NYG 60%

(2:09) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 1-M.Nabers.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 2:09NYG +24% win prob(2:09) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 1-M.Nabers.
  2. Q4 · 4:37WAS +16% win prob(4:37) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers pushed ob at WAS 28 for 25 yards (20-Q.Martin) [92-D.Armstrong].
  3. Q2 · 0:12WAS +14% win prob(:12) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 1:59WAS +13% win prob(1:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep middle to 85-N.Brown to NYG 43 for 34 yards (28-C.Flott).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:27WAS Field goal

    (5:27) 3-A.Seibert 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — WAS 3
  2. Q1 · 1:10NYG Touchdown

    (1:10) 26-D.Singletary right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYG 6 — WAS 3
  3. Q2 · 10:41WAS Field goal

    (10:41) 3-A.Seibert 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 6 — WAS 6
  4. Q2 · 1:53WAS Field goal

    (1:53) 3-A.Seibert 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 6 — WAS 9
  5. Q2 · 0:12NYG Touchdown

    (:12) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — WAS 9
  6. Q3 · 8:01WAS Field goal

    (8:01) 3-A.Seibert 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — WAS 12
  7. Q3 · 2:50WAS Field goal

    (2:50) 3-A.Seibert 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 12 — WAS 15
  8. Q4 · 11:35NYG Touchdown

    (11:35) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 17-W.Robinson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYG 18 — WAS 15
  9. Q4 · 7:16WAS Field goal

    (7:16) 3-A.Seibert 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 18 — WAS 18
  10. Q4 · 0:04WAS Field goal

    (:04) 3-A.Seibert 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: NYG 18 — WAS 21

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsCommanders
Offensive plays5367
Total yards304427 (edge)
Yards per play5.76.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.100.16 (edge)
Success rate43%45% (edge)
Dropback rate60%57%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.20 (edge)0.20
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.060.10 (edge)
Third downs4/87/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)712 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1820 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)5
Turnovers10 (edge)

Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs 0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Jayden DanielsQB

23/29, 226 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.7 expected points added · +6.4% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

16/28, 178 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

6.8 expected points added · -3.1% completion over expected

Rushing · WAS

Brian RobinsonRB

17 att, 133 yds, 0 TD

4.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Devin SingletaryRB

16 att, 95 yds, 1 TD

-2.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

10/18 for 127 yds, 1 TD

67% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Zach ErtzTE

4/4 for 62 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1WASWAS 2717649:36Defensive touchdown +3
2NYGNYG 479534:18Touchdown +6
3WASWAS 3011435:29Field goal +3
4NYGNYG 247312:21Punt
5WASWAS 1814796:26Field goal +3
6NYGNYG 3112691:42Touchdown +6
7WASWAS 30200:08End of half
8NYGNYG 265392:11Fumble
9WASWAS 359614:51Field goal +3
10NYGNYG 34500:33Punt
11WASWAS 309644:38Field goal +3
12NYGNYG 3015666:15Touchdown +6
13WASWAS 4010504:20Field goal +3
14NYGNYG 3210465:08Turnover on downs
15WASWAS 238662:04Field goal +3

10 of 15 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 79 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones16/281782016.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Devin Singletary16955.91-2.2
Daniel Jones5326.401.2
Tyrone Tracy122.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Malik Nabers1018127167%8.6
Darius Slayton3433015%-0.4
Wan'Dale Robinson2418115%1.7
Devin Singletary11004%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Andru Phillips551.000
Micah McFadden451.000
Jason Pinnock812.000
Bobby Okereke441.000
Cordale Flott410.000
Tyler Nubin320.000
Rakeem Nunez-Roches130.000
Dexter Lawrence120.000
Brian Burns210.001
Azeez Ojulari120.000

Washington Commanders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jayden Daniels23/292260054.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Brian Robinson171337.804.6
Jayden Daniels10444.401.7
Austin Ekeler8384.80-0.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Zach Ertz4462014%6.0
Noah Brown3356010%3.3
Austin Ekeler3347010%4.5
Terry McLaurin6822028%-1.5
Dyami Brown2417014%-0.6
Olamide Zaccheaus3314010%0.4
John Bates11503%-0.3
Brian Robinson133010%-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Frankie Luvu640.000
Bobby Wagner440.001
Benjamin St-Juste410.003
Noah Igbinoghene300.000
Percy Butler300.000
Quan Martin210.000
Mike Sainristil120.000
Nick Bellore200.000
Dante Fowler110.000
Clelin Ferrell101.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
WAS -1.5
Closing total
42.5
NYG moneyline
+105
WAS moneyline
-125

Commanders closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 39 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FedExField
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
82°F, wind 11 mph
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
NYG 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Dan Quinn

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.