2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · Gillette Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

New England Patriots

SEA -3.5 no coverO 39 ✓Seahawks closed -3.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Seattle Seahawks 23–20 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 8:20, NE +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

OT · 8:20SEA 20 — NE 20NE ball · 4th & 1SEA 61%

(8:20) 17-B.Baringer punts 45 yards to SEA 16, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 33-D.Williams.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

OT · 8:20NE +20% win prob(8:20) 17-B.Baringer punts 45 yards to SEA 16, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 33-D.Williams.
OT · 6:14NE +16% win prob(6:14) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 26-Z.Charbonnet to NE 38 for 7 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).
OT · 8:38SEA +15% win prob(8:38) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to NE 39 for no gain (0-T.Dodson; 90-Ja.Reed). Penalty on NE-70-C.Wallace, Illegal Formation, declined.
OT · 7:01NE +15% win prob(7:01) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass incomplete deep left to 16-T.Lockett. PENALTY on NE-31-J.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at SEA 31 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 5:00NE Touchdown
(5:00) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 1-J.Polk for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 0 — NE 7
Q1 · 2:57SEA Touchdown
(2:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 14-D.Metcalf for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 7 — NE 7
Q2 · 11:08NE Field goal
(11:08) 13-J.Slye 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Score after this play: SEA 7 — NE 10
Q2 · 5:52SEA Touchdown
(5:52) 26-Z.Charbonnet up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 14 — NE 10
Q2 · 2:34NE Field goal
(2:34) 13-J.Slye 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Score after this play: SEA 14 — NE 13
Q2 · 0:04SEA Field goal
(:04) 5-J.Myers 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 17 — NE 13
Q4 · 12:46NE Touchdown
(12:46) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 38-R.Stevenson. 38-R.Stevenson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 17 — NE 20
Q4 · 0:58SEA Field goal
(:58) 5-J.Myers 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 20 — NE 20
OT · 4:41SEA Field goal
(4:41) 5-J.Myers 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 23 — NE 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Patriots
Offensive plays	64	66
Total yards	359 (edge)	310
Yards per play	5.6 (edge)	4.7
Expected points added / play	0.02	0.06 (edge)
Success rate	47% (edge)	44%
Dropback rate	73%	48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.20 (edge)	0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.47	0.09 (edge)
Third downs	7/15 (edge)	6/16
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	5 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	16	17 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	3
Turnovers	0	0

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

33/44, 327 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

9.3 expected points added · +8.5% completion over expected

Passing · NE

Jacoby BrissettQB

15/27, 149 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-0.2 expected points added · -4.1% completion over expected

Rushing · NE

Antonio GibsonRB

11 att, 96 yds, 0 TD

5.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Rhamondre StevensonRB

21 att, 81 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

10/14 for 129 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR

12/16 for 117 yds, 0 TD

37% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NE	NE 30	5	-1	1:57	Punt
2	SEA	SEA 15	7	7	3:14	Punt
3	NE	NE 40	9	60	4:53	Touchdown +7
4	SEA	SEA 28	6	72	2:06	Touchdown +7
5	NE	NE 30	16	59	6:45	Field goal +3
6	SEA	SEA 30	13	58	5:18	Touchdown +7
7	NE	NE 30	10	45	3:16	Field goal +3
8	SEA	SEA 30	5	19	0:54	Punt
9	NE	NE 8	4	2	1:02	Punt
10	SEA	SEA 49	6	26	0:35	Field goal +3
11	SEA	SEA 30	11	51	4:39	Turnover on downs
12	NE	NE 25	4	19	2:46	Punt
13	SEA	SEA 10	4	3	0:59	Punt
14	NE	NE 39	4	-6	1:00	Punt
15	SEA	SEA 20	4	6	1:33	Punt
16	NE	NE 34	12	66	6:20	Touchdown +7
17	SEA	SEA 30	7	19	3:34	Punt
18	NE	NE 20	8	50	5:15	Missed field goal
19	SEA	SEA 38	9	47	2:59	Field goal +3
20	NE	NE 30	5	7	0:40	Punt
21	SEA	SEA 24	1	0	0:15	Turnover on downs
22	NE	NE 30	5	9	1:48	Punt
23	SEA	SEA 16	8	51	3:35	Field goal +3

9 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 72 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	33/44	327	1	0	3	9.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Zach Charbonnet	14	38	2.7	1	-9.2
Geno Smith	5	8	1.6	0	1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	10	14	129	1	33%	5.0
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	12	16	117	0	37%	7.1
Zach Charbonnet	5	5	31	0	12%	1.2
Jake Bobo	2	2	15	0	5%	-0.1
Tyler Lockett	2	2	15	0	5%	0.0
Noah Fant	1	3	14	0	7%	-0.8
Laviska Shenault Jr.	1	1	6	0	2%	-0.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Rayshawn Jenkins	4	6	0.0	0
Tyrel Dodson	3	4	0.0	0
Tyrice Knight	2	4	0.0	0
Devon Witherspoon	2	3	0.0	0
Jarran Reed	2	3	0.0	0
Julian Love	5	0	0.0	1
Boye Mafe	2	2	1.0	0
Byron Murphy	1	3	0.5	0
Leonard Williams	1	3	1.5	0
Jerome Baker	2	2	0.0	1

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jacoby Brissett	15/27	149	1	0	3	-0.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Antonio Gibson	11	96	8.7	0	5.1
Rhamondre Stevenson	21	81	3.9	1	-1.2
Jacoby Brissett	2	6	3.0	0	1.0
Jamycal Hasty	1	2	2.0	0	-0.3
Ja'Lynn Polk	1	0	0.0	0	-0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Hunter Henry	8	12	109	0	50%	7.4
Ja'Lynn Polk	2	3	12	1	13%	1.2
Rhamondre Stevenson	2	5	9	0	21%	-1.8
Antonio Gibson	1	1	7	0	4%	1.5
K.J. Osborn	1	2	7	0	8%	-0.2
Austin Hooper	1	1	5	0	4%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jonathan Jones	6	2	0.0	0
Anfernee Jennings	3	4	0.0	0
Kyle Dugger	6	1	1.0	0
Keion White	2	5	1.5	0
Marcus Jones	4	1	0.0	1
Christian Gonzalez	3	2	0.0	1
Raekwon McMillan	1	4	0.0	1
Jabrill Peppers	2	3	0.0	0
Jahlani Tavai	2	1	0.0	0
Daniel Ekuale	1	2	0.5	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -3.5
Closing total: 39
SEA moneyline: -170
NE moneyline: +142

Seahawks closed -3.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 39; the game landed 43 — over by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 77°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: SEA 7 days · NE 7 days
Coaches: Mike Macdonald vs Jerod Mayo