2024 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2024 · State Farm Stadium

Detroit LionsWinner

Arizona Cardinals

DET -3 ✓U 51.5 ✓DomeLions closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Detroit Lions 20–13. Biggest swing: Q2 12:33, ARI +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 12:33DET 13 — ARI 7DET ball · 3rd & 5DET 68%

(12:33) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 12:33ARI +9% win prob(12:33) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 0:57ARI +8% win prob(:57) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown to ARI 30 for 20 yards (51-K.Barnes).
Q3 · 8:10DET +7% win prob(8:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle intended for 89-B.Wright INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Gardeck at DET 43. 45-D.Gardeck to DET 33 for 10 yards (14-A.St. Brown).
Q3 · 13:11DET +6% win prob(13:11) (No Huddle) 1-K.Murray pass deep left intended for 18-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Joseph at DET -5. Touchback.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:19DET Touchdown
(10:19) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 7 — ARI 0
Q1 · 5:14ARI Touchdown
(5:14) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 18-M.Harrison for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 7 — ARI 7
Q2 · 12:33DET Touchdown
(12:33) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DET 13 — ARI 7
Q2 · 0:36DET Touchdown
(:36) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown to ARI 20 for 1 yard. Lateral to 26-J.Gibbs for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 20 — ARI 7
Q2 · 0:02ARI Field goal
(:02) 5-M.Prater 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: DET 20 — ARI 10
Q4 · 3:52ARI Field goal
(3:52) 5-M.Prater 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: DET 20 — ARI 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Lions	Cardinals
Offensive plays	66	53
Total yards	375 (edge)	277
Yards per play	5.7 (edge)	5.2
Expected points added / play	0.04 (edge)	-0.24
Success rate	56% (edge)	42%
Dropback rate	39%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.25 (edge)	-0.11
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09 (edge)	-0.54
Third downs	6/12 (edge)	1/9
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	23 (edge)	12
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.24.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

21/34, 207 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-5.6 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

18/23, 199 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

5.9 expected points added · +10.7% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

David MontgomeryRB

23 att, 105 yds, 1 TD

-3.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

16 att, 83 yds, 0 TD

0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

7/8 for 75 yds, 1 TD

36% of team targets · 9.5 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Marvin HarrisonWR

5/11 for 64 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · -3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 30	11	70	4:44	Touchdown +7
2	ARI	ARI 30	10	75	5:08	Touchdown +7
3	DET	DET 30	15	75	7:41	Touchdown +6
4	ARI	ARI 30	5	9	2:04	Punt
5	DET	DET 14	6	18	3:17	Punt
6	ARI	ARI 10	5	11	2:43	Punt
7	DET	DET 28	8	77	3:54	Touchdown +7
8	ARI	ARI 30	7	31	0:29	Field goal +3
9	ARI	ARI 30	6	24	1:57	Interception
10	DET	DET 20	6	22	2:42	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 2	4	9	1:28	Punt
12	DET	DET 43	2	-7	0:49	Interception
13	ARI	DET 33	4	9	2:02	Turnover on downs
14	DET	DET 24	6	42	2:52	Turnover on downs
15	ARI	ARI 35	4	-3	1:05	Punt
16	DET	DET 33	8	19	3:41	Punt
17	ARI	ARI 12	5	26	2:16	Turnover on downs
18	DET	ARI 47	4	2	1:34	Punt
19	ARI	ARI 9	6	19	0:59	Punt
20	DET	DET 22	5	25	1:47	Punt
21	ARI	ARI 7	9	67	3:00	Field goal +3
22	DET	DET 30	8	32	3:48	End of game

6 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 77 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	18/23	199	2	1	2	5.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
David Montgomery	23	105	4.6	1	-3.2
Jahmyr Gibbs	16	83	5.2	0	0.8
Jared Goff	3	6	2.0	0	-1.0
Jameson Williams	1	-7	-7.0	0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown	7	8	75	1	36%	9.5
Sam LaPorta	2	2	36	0	9%	3.4
Brock Wright	4	5	34	0	23%	-2.4
David Montgomery	3	3	17	0	14%	0.9
Jameson Williams	1	3	9	0	14%	-1.8
Tim Patrick	1	1	8	0	5%	0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Brian Branch	5	3	0.0	0	2
Carlton Davis	7	0	0.0	0	0
Aidan Hutchinson	4	2	1.0	0	0
Malcolm Rodriguez	1	4	0.0	0	0
Kerby Joseph	1	2	0.0	1	2
Jack Campbell	1	2	0.0	0	0
Mekhi Wingo	1	2	0.0	0	0
Amik Robertson	2	0	0.0	0	0
Ben Niemann	1	1	0.0	0	0
Amon-Ra St. Brown	1	0	0.0	0	0

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	21/34	207	1	1	1	-5.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Kyler Murray	5	45	9.0	-2.5
James Conner	9	17	1.9	-4.1
Trey Benson	2	8	4.0	-0.0
Emari Demercado	2	7	3.5	-0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Marvin Harrison	5	11	64	1	32%	-3.7
Michael Wilson	8	9	64	0	26%	1.6
Greg Dortch	3	6	35	0	18%	-0.3
Trey McBride	3	6	25	0	18%	-2.7
Elijah Higgins	1	1	11	0	3%	0.7
James Conner	1	1	8	0	3%	0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Mack Wilson	3	5	1.0	0	0
Jalen Thompson	4	3	0.0	0	0
Budda Baker	4	3	0.0	0	0
Sean Murphy-Bunting	3	4	0.0	0	0
Khyiris Tonga	1	3	0.0	0	0
Zaven Collins	3	1	0.0	0	0
Owen Pappoe	3	1	0.0	0	0
Dante Stills	1	3	1.0	0	0
Dennis Gardeck	2	2	0.0	1	1
Starling Thomas	2	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DET -3
Closing total: 51.5
DET moneyline: -148
ARI moneyline: +124

Lions closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 51.5; the game landed 33 — under by 18.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: DET 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches: Dan Campbell vs Jonathan Gannon