For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2024 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

22

Atlanta Falcons

17

KC -3 ✓U 46 ✓Dome

Kansas City Chiefs 22–17. Biggest swing: Q4 0:56, KC +33% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ATL ↑KC ↓
Q4 · 0:56KC 22 — ATL 17ATL ball · 4th & 1KC 64%

(:56) 7-B.Robinson left end to KC 16 for -3 yards (32-N.Bolton, 54-L.Chenal).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:56KC +33% win prob(:56) 7-B.Robinson left end to KC 16 for -3 yards (32-N.Bolton, 54-L.Chenal).
  2. Q2 · 7:08ATL +16% win prob(7:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 8-K.Pitts to KC 1 for 50 yards (20-J.Reid). Penalty on KC-22-T.McDuffie, Defensive Holding, declined.
  3. Q4 · 4:08KC +16% win prob(4:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to 5-D.London.
  4. Q1 · 2:53KC +15% win prob(2:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 83-N.Gray INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Simmons [55-K.Elliss] at ATL -1. Touchback.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:12ATL Touchdown

    (11:12) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 5-D.London for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 0 — ATL 7
  2. Q2 · 8:51KC Touchdown

    (8:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ATL-0-L.Carter, Roughing the Passer, 8 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — ATL 7
  3. Q2 · 6:44ATL Touchdown

    (6:44) 7-B.Robinson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: KC 7 — ATL 14
  4. Q2 · 2:48KC Field goal

    (2:48) 7-H.Butker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 10 — ATL 14
  5. Q2 · 0:11KC Field goal

    (:11) 7-H.Butker 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 13 — ATL 14
  6. Q3 · 9:42KC Field goal

    (9:42) 7-H.Butker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

    Score after this play: KC 16 — ATL 14
  7. Q3 · 1:21KC Touchdown

    (1:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 9-J.Smith-Schuster for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-G.Jarrett].

    Score after this play: KC 22 — ATL 14
  8. Q4 · 12:56ATL Field goal

    (12:56) 6-Y.Koo 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.

    Score after this play: KC 22 — ATL 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChiefsFalcons
Offensive plays6955
Total yards358 (edge)312
Yards per play5.25.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.10 (edge)-0.10
Success rate59% (edge)40%
Dropback rate61%56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.12 (edge)0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.07 (edge)-0.34
Third downs6/13 (edge)2/9
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)25 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)15
Sacks taken0 (edge)2
Turnovers11

Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ATL

Kirk CousinsQB

20/29, 230 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.8 expected points added · +6.6% completion over expected

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

26/39, 217 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

2.4 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Carson SteeleRB

17 att, 72 yds, 0 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ATL

Tyler AllgeierRB

7 att, 32 yds, 0 TD

-1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Rashee RiceWR

12/14 for 110 yds, 1 TD

39% of team targets · 8.4 expected points added

Receiving · ATL

Drake LondonWR

6/9 for 67 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 309703:53Touchdown +7
2KCKC 1118698:21Interception
3ATLATL 206132:46Punt
4KCKC 2114796:15Touchdown +7
5ATLATL 307552:08Touchdown +7
6KCKC 318343:54Field goal +3
7ATLATL 30571:06Punt
8KCKC 34450:38Punt
9ATLATL 302100:27Interception
10KCATL 34480:26Field goal +3
11ATLATL 30200:06End of half
12KCKC 3012675:20Field goal +3
13ATLATL 28572:20Punt
14KCKC 2012806:04Touchdown +6
15ATLATL 1511493:24Field goal +3
16KCKC 30581:30Punt
17ATLATL 1115837:18Turnover on downs
18KCKC 6481:38Punt
19ATLATL 356181:35Turnover on downs
20KCKC 16300:51End of game

8 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 83 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Patrick Mahomes26/392172102.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Carson Steele17724.200.4
Samaje Perine6254.20-0.8
Patrick Mahomes6172.802.6
Xavier Worthy3134.30-0.0
Rashee Rice111.002.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rashee Rice1214110139%8.4
Travis Kelce4530014%0.4
Xavier Worthy2417011%-0.3
JuJu Smith-Schuster231718%2.0
Samaje Perine3415011%-1.2
Justin Watson121306%1.8
Noah Gray121306%-4.9
Carson Steele12206%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Chamarri Conner550.012
Bryan Cook620.001
Nick Bolton610.000
Justin Reid410.000
Jaylen Watson220.001
Drue Tranquill210.000
Michael Danna210.000
Tershawn Wharton110.001
Felix Anudike-Uzomah201.000
Jaden Hicks200.000

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kirk Cousins20/292301122.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyler Allgeier7324.60-1.1
Bijan Robinson16311.91-8.5
Ray-Ray McCloud12020.001.4
Kirk Cousins1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Drake London6967133%3.7
Darnell Mooney8866030%3.1
Kyle Pitts2559019%-1.3
Bijan Robinson222107%2.2
Ray-Ray McCloud2317011%0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dee Alford730.000
Troy Andersen460.000
Jessie Bates420.001
Mike Hughes330.001
Kaden Elliss420.000
Justin Simmons240.011
David Onyemata320.000
A.J. Terrell220.000
Ta'Quon Graham110.000
Matt Judon200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
KC -3
Closing total
46
KC moneyline
-170
ATL moneyline
+142

Chiefs closed -3 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 46; the game landed 39 — under by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
KC 7 days · ATL 6 days
Coaches
Andy Reid vs Raheem Morris