2024 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2024 · Lumen Field

Miami Dolphins

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -4 ✓U 41.5 ✓Seahawks closed -4 and covered, winning by 21.

Seattle Seahawks 24–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 0:05, SEA +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 0:05MIA 3 — SEA 16SEA ball · 1st & 10SEA 81%

(:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 0:05SEA +9% win prob(:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 2:28MIA +8% win prob(2:28) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left intended for 26-Z.Charbonnet INTERCEPTED by 4-K.Kohou [91-E.Ogbah] at SEA 8. 4-K.Kohou to SEA 6 for 2 yards (26-Z.Charbonnet).
Q1 · 12:17MIA +7% win prob(12:17) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at MIA 42 for -5 yards (90-D.Hand).
Q1 · 8:41MIA +6% win prob(8:41) 7-J.Sanders 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:54SEA Field goal
(10:54) 5-J.Myers 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: MIA 0 — SEA 3
Q1 · 6:48SEA Touchdown
(6:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-Z.Charbonnet left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 0 — SEA 10
Q1 · 0:15MIA Field goal
(:15) 7-J.Sanders 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: MIA 3 — SEA 10
Q1 · 0:05SEA Touchdown
(:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 3 — SEA 17
Q4 · 5:02SEA Touchdown
(5:02) 26-Z.Charbonnet right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 3 — SEA 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Dolphins	Seahawks
Offensive plays	56	58
Total yards	205	372 (edge)
Yards per play	3.7	6.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.43	-0.00 (edge)
Success rate	34%	45% (edge)
Dropback rate	70%	64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.43	-0.02 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.42	0.03 (edge)
Third downs	1/12	3/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	10	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	3 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	2

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.00 expected points added per play vs -0.43.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

26/34, 289 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-0.8 expected points added · +6.7% completion over expected

Passing · MIA

Skylar ThompsonQB

13/19, 107 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-9.8 expected points added · +7.2% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Zach CharbonnetRB

18 att, 91 yds, 2 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Devon AchaneRB

11 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

4/6 for 104 yds, 1 TD

18% of team targets · 6.2 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Noah FantTE

6/6 for 60 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 3.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SEA	SEA 35	8	28	4:11	Field goal +3
2	MIA	MIA 30	6	31	2:12	Missed field goal
3	SEA	SEA 47	6	53	1:53	Touchdown +7
4	MIA	MIA 31	7	3	3:11	Punt
5	SEA	SEA 10	3	-1	1:12	Interception
6	MIA	SEA 6	4	7	2:10	Field goal +3
7	SEA	SEA 29	3	71	0:11	Touchdown +7
8	MIA	MIA 36	6	9	1:22	Punt
9	SEA	SEA 21	9	55	4:40	Missed field goal
10	MIA	MIA 43	6	18	2:39	Punt
11	SEA	SEA 20	5	11	2:19	Punt
12	MIA	SEA 48	4	-4	1:36	Punt
13	SEA	SEA 42	4	6	1:29	Punt
14	MIA	MIA 23	4	23	0:55	End of half
15	MIA	MIA 19	5	1	2:23	Punt
16	SEA	SEA 39	4	-3	2:11	Punt
17	MIA	MIA 23	5	24	2:27	Turnover on downs
18	SEA	MIA 46	4	12	1:27	Punt
19	MIA	MIA 20	4	19	2:27	Punt
20	SEA	SEA 18	8	42	3:28	Interception
21	MIA	MIA 48	11	37	5:15	Turnover on downs
22	SEA	SEA 2	12	87	5:27	Touchdown +7
23	MIA	MIA 30	7	37	1:55	Turnover on downs
24	SEA	SEA 38	5	11	3:00	End of game

5 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 87 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Miami Dolphins

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Skylar Thompson	13/19	107	0	0	5	-9.8
Tim Boyle	7/13	79	0	0	1	-7.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Devon Achane	11	30	2.7	-3.1
Jaylen Wright	2	17	8.5	1.1
Jeffery Wilson	3	14	4.7	-2.4
Tim Boyle	1	6	6.0	0.4
Alec Ingold	1	-2	-2.0	-2.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Tyreek Hill	3	5	40	16%	-1.3
D'Wayne Eskridge	1	1	30	3%	2.0
Devon Achane	3	5	28	16%	-2.6
Jaylen Waddle	4	5	26	16%	1.4
Julian Hill	2	2	24	6%	2.5
Jonnu Smith	2	3	18	10%	-0.1
Alec Ingold	3	3	16	10%	-0.0
Durham Smythe	1	2	3	6%	-2.0
Tanner Conner	1	2	1	6%	-0.7
Braxton Berrios	0	1	0	3%	-2.7
Erik Ezukanma	0	2	0	6%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jordyn Brooks	3	6	0.0	0	0
Jordan Poyer	5	4	0.0	0	0
Da'Shawn Hand	3	2	1.0	0	0
Jevon Holland	4	0	0.0	0	0
Storm Duck	1	3	0.0	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	2	2	0.0	0	0
Kader Kohou	2	1	0.0	1	1
Emmanuel Ogbah	2	1	0.0	0	0
Kendall Fuller	2	1	0.0	0	1
Marcus Maye	2	1	0.0	0	0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	26/34	289	1	2	3	-0.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Zach Charbonnet	18	91	5.1	2	1.4
Kenny McIntosh	3	11	3.7	0	-0.8
Geno Smith	2	-2	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	4	6	104	1	18%	6.2
Noah Fant	6	6	60	0	18%	3.4
Tyler Lockett	5	8	46	0	24%	-1.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	3	39	0	9%	3.4
Zach Charbonnet	3	4	16	0	12%	-4.7
A.J. Barner	3	3	13	0	9%	0.1
Pharaoh Brown	1	2	9	0	6%	-0.8
Laviska Shenault Jr.	1	1	2	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Rayshawn Jenkins	8	2	0.0	0
Tyrice Knight	5	1	0.0	0
Derick Hall	4	1	2.0	0
Jarran Reed	1	3	1.0	0
Julian Love	3	1	0.0	0
Tyrel Dodson	2	2	1.0	0
Dre'Mont Jones	2	2	1.0	0
Boye Mafe	2	1	1.0	1
Drake Thomas	0	3	0.0	1
Devon Witherspoon	1	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -4
Closing total: 41.5
MIA moneyline: +170
SEA moneyline: -205

Seahawks closed -4 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 27 — under by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lumen Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 64°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Land Clark
Rest: MIA 10 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches: Mike McDaniel vs Mike Macdonald