2024 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2024 · SoFi Stadium
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
17
Los Angeles Chargers
10
Kansas City Chiefs 17–10. Biggest swing: Q1 6:16, KC +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(6:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 7-K.Fulton at KC 49. 7-K.Fulton to KC 20 for 29 yards (4-R.Rice). FUMBLES (4-R.Rice), RECOVERED by KC-52-C.Humphrey at KC 20. KC-4-R.Ric
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 6:16KC +17% win prob(6:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 7-K.Fulton at KC 49. 7-K.Fulton to KC 20 for 29 yards (4-R.Rice). FUMBLES (4-R.Rice), RECOVERED by KC-52-C.Humphrey at KC 20. KC-4-R.Rice was injured during the play. The Replay Official reviewed the ball was inbounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 7-K.Fulton at KC 49. 7-K.Fulton to KC 20 for 29 yards (4-R.Rice). FUMBLES (4-R.Rice), ball out of bounds at KC 20.
- Q2 · 4:14LAC +12% win prob(4:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 1-X.Worthy for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LAC-7-K.Fulton, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
- Q3 · 13:52LAC +10% win prob(13:52) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 15-L.McConkey pushed ob at KC 33 for 37 yards (6-B.Cook) [95-C.Jones].
- Q4 · 13:37KC +9% win prob(13:37) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short middle to 88-H.Hurst [97-F.Anudike-Uzomah]. Penalty on LAC-62-S.Mustipher, Offensive Holding, declined.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 6:21LAC Touchdown
(6:21) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 15-L.McConkey for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-M.Herring]. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 0 — LAC 7 - Q1 · 3:58LAC Field goal
(3:58) 11-C.Dicker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: KC 0 — LAC 10 - Q2 · 4:14KC Touchdown
(4:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 1-X.Worthy for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LAC-7-K.Fulton, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 7 — LAC 10 - Q3 · 6:30KC Field goal
(6:30) 7-H.Butker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: KC 10 — LAC 10 - Q4 · 6:08KC Touchdown
(6:08) 34-S.Perine up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 17 — LAC 10
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chiefs | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 55 | 53 |
| Total yards | 332 (edge) | 224 |
| Yards per play | 6.0 (edge) | 4.2 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.09 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Success rate | 47% (edge) | 28% |
| Dropback rate | 62% | 55% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.04 (edge) | -0.07 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 (edge) | -0.39 |
| Third downs | 9/15 (edge) | 4/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 (edge) | 12 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.21.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · KC
19/29, 245 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-1.6 expected points added · -6.7% completion over expected
Passing · LAC
16/27, 179 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-2.0 expected points added · -6.5% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 30 | 5 | 43 | 2:08 | Fumble | |
| 2 | LAC | LAC 26 | 11 | 74 | 6:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | KC | KC 30 | 2 | 0 | 0:10 | Interception | |
| 4 | LAC | KC 20 | 4 | 13 | 2:13 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | KC | KC 30 | 5 | -2 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 6 | LAC | LAC 19 | 5 | 14 | 2:41 | Punt | |
| 7 | KC | KC 35 | 4 | 14 | 1:26 | Punt | |
| 8 | LAC | LAC 6 | 4 | 9 | 1:56 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 35 | 10 | 15 | 5:41 | Punt | |
| 10 | LAC | LAC 2 | 4 | 1 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 11 | KC | KC 46 | 2 | 54 | 0:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | LAC | LAC 30 | 5 | -8 | 0:54 | Punt | |
| 13 | KC | KC 24 | 10 | 49 | 3:12 | Missed field goal | |
| 14 | LAC | LAC 30 | 7 | 42 | 3:14 | Missed field goal | |
| 15 | KC | KC 45 | 10 | 42 | 5:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | LAC | LAC 30 | 15 | 67 | 7:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | KC | KC 3 | 9 | 44 | 4:08 | Punt | |
| 18 | LAC | LAC 15 | 4 | 1 | 1:08 | Punt | |
| 19 | KC | KC 40 | 6 | 54 | 2:12 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 20 | LAC | LAC 30 | 7 | 11 | 2:49 | Punt | |
| 21 | KC | KC 4 | 6 | 19 | 3:15 | End of game |
5 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 74 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 19/29 | 245 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 14 | 69 | 4.9 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Samaje Perine | 5 | 14 | 2.8 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Carson Steele | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -6.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 7 | 9 | 89 | 0 | 32% | -1.1 |
| Xavier Worthy | 3 | 4 | 73 | 1 | 14% | 5.4 |
| Noah Gray | 4 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 14% | 0.8 |
| Justin Watson | 2 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 11% | 2.4 |
| Kareem Hunt | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 11% | 0.6 |
| Carson Steele | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11% | -1.8 |
| Skyy Moore | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -2.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drue Tranquill | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent McDuffie | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Cook | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Bolton | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Karlaftis | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Watson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chamarri Conner | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix Anudike-Uzomah | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 16/27 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 14 | 32 | 2.3 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Gus Edwards | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Quentin Johnston | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Justin Herbert | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 5 | 7 | 67 | 1 | 26% | 3.0 |
| Josh Palmer | 3 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 15% | 1.8 |
| J.K. Dobbins | 3 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 15% | 0.9 |
| Will Dissly | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 11% | 0.7 |
| Quentin Johnston | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 19% | -1.6 |
| Scott Matlock | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0.7 |
| Hayden Hurst | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11% | -5.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Molden | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daiyan Henley | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tarheeb Still | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel Perryman | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalil Mack | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Asante Samuel | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuli Tuipulotu | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Troy Dye | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Otito Ogbonnia | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Poona Ford | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -7.5
- Closing total
- 41.5
- KC moneyline
- -345
- LAC moneyline
- +275
Chiefs closed -7.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 27 — under by 14.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- SoFi Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · matrixturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- KC 7 days · LAC 7 days
- Coaches
- Andy Reid vs Jim Harbaugh
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.