Vikings 31 – Packers 29 (2024 Week 4) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability

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Vikings 31 – Packers 29 (2024 Week 4) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability | Dynatyze

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Vikings	Packers
Offensive plays	61	75
Total yards	377	467 (edge)
Yards per play	6.2	6.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.03 (edge)	-0.12
Success rate	51% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	54%	76%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.29 (edge)	-0.13
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.27	-0.10 (edge)
Third downs	4/11 (edge)	4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	19	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2 (edge)	4

Packers outgained Vikings 467–377 but lost the turnover battle 4–2. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	MIN	MIN 27	8	78	3:07	Touchdown +7
2	GB	GB 30	11	56	5:06	Missed field goal
3	MIN	MIN 27	9	44	5:10	Touchdown +7
4	GB	GB 30	4	3	1:17	Interception
5	MIN	GB 46	8	46	3:30	Touchdown +7
6	GB	GB 30	8	19	3:46	Missed field goal
7	MIN	MIN 39	4	2	1:03	Punt
8	GB	GB 6	3	13	1:06	Interception
9	MIN	GB 4	2	14	0:27	Touchdown +7
10	GB	GB 30	11	36	3:25	Turnover on downs
11	MIN	MIN 34	4	9	0:52	Punt
12	GB	GB 16	4	7	0:32	Punt
13	GB	MIN 3	3	17	0:24	Touchdown +7
14	MIN	MIN 20	2	0	0:15	End of half
15	GB	GB 30	5	6	1:07	Punt
16	MIN	MIN 18	7	62	3:35	Interception
17	GB	GB 2	4	4	1:02	Punt
18	MIN	MIN 44	5	12	2:48	Punt
19	GB	GB 20	10	58	3:26	Turnover on downs
20	MIN	MIN 33	4	14	2:29	Punt
21	GB	GB 11	12	89	3:55	Touchdown +7
22	MIN	MIN 30	3	-6	0:55	Fumble
23	GB	MIN 20	3	22	0:27	Touchdown +8
24	MIN	MIN 30	8	55	3:26	Field goal +3
25	GB	GB 30	3	36	0:37	Interception
26	MIN	MIN 20	4	4	1:42	Punt
27	GB	GB 37	2	5	0:13	Fumble
28	MIN	GB 42	8	43	2:00	Turnover on downs
29	GB	GB 4	6	96	1:22	Touchdown +7
30	MIN	GB 47	3	0	0:56	End of game

9 of 30 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 96 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Darnold	20/28	275	3	1	2	8.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Aaron Jones	22	93	4.2	0	-1.8
Sam Darnold	7	15	2.1	0	-1.4
Jordan Addison	1	7	7.0	1	1.8
Ty Chandler	3	5	1.7	0	-2.6
Jalen Nailor	1	0	0.0	0	-3.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Justin Jefferson	6	8	85	1	30%	7.1
Jordan Addison	3	4	72	1	15%	7.0
Aaron Jones	4	5	46	0	19%

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Blake Cashman	4	5	0.0	0	1
Byron Murphy	5	2	0.0	1	2
Camryn Bynum	6	1	0.0	0	2
Josh Metellus

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jordan Love	32/54	389	4	3	1	-5.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Josh Jacobs	9	51	5.7	0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jayden Reed	7	8	139	1	15%	11.1
Dontayvion Wicks	5	13	78	2	24%	-4.5
Tucker Kraft	6	9	53	1	17%	-1.7
Romeo Doubs	4	8	39	0	15%	-8.2
Bo Melton	1	3	28	0	6%	-0.9
Josh Jacobs	4	6	27	0	11%	-0.1
Luke Musgrave	3	3	13	0	6%	0.1
Malik Heath	2	2	12	0	4%	0.8
Emanuel Wilson	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.6
Christian Watson	0	1	0	0	2%	-3.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Quay Walker	5	2	1.0	0
Keisean Nixon	5	2	1.0	0
Isaiah McDuffie	2	4	0.0	1
Eric Stokes	5	1	0.0	0
Edgerrin Cooper	4	0	0.0	0
Javon Bullard	2	2	0.0	0
Lukas Van Ness	3	0	0.0	0
Rashan Gary	3	0	0.0	0
Karl Brooks	1	1	0.0	0
Kenny Clark	1	1	0.0	0

Minnesota VikingsWinner

Green Bay Packers

Win probability

Highest-leverage plays

Scoring summary

Situational splits

Top performers

Drive chart

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Rushing

Betting context

Game environment

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)