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2024 Week 4 · Mon, Sep 30, 2024 · Ford Field

Seattle Seahawks

29

Detroit LionsWinner

42

DET -3.5 ✓O 46.5 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 42–29. Biggest swing: Q1 1:06, SEA +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑SEA ↓
Q1 · 1:06SEA 0 — DET 7SEA ball · 1st & 10DET 71%

(1:06) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf to DET 34 for 14 yards (46-J.Campbell; 34-A.Anzalone). FUMBLES (46-J.Campbell), RECOVERED by DET-23-C.Davis at DET 37. 23-C.Davis pushed ob at SEA 14 for 49 yard

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 1:06SEA +14% win prob(1:06) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf to DET 34 for 14 yards (46-J.Campbell; 34-A.Anzalone). FUMBLES (46-J.Campbell), RECOVERED by DET-23-C.Davis at DET 37. 23-C.Davis pushed ob at SEA 14 for 49 yards (9-K.Walker).
  2. Q1 · 13:35SEA +10% win prob(13:35) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at DET 17 for -14 yards (90-Ja.Reed).
  3. Q3 · 3:03DET +10% win prob(3:03) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 9-J.Williams for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-9-J.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  4. Q3 · 9:53DET +8% win prob(9:53) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 88-A.Barner for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:16DET Touchdown

    (3:16) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 5-D.Montgomery left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — DET 7
  2. Q2 · 15:00DET Touchdown

    (15:00) 26-J.Gibbs right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — DET 14
  3. Q2 · 10:12SEA Touchdown

    (10:12) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DET 14
  4. Q2 · 5:16DET Touchdown

    (5:16) 26-J.Gibbs right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DET 21
  5. Q3 · 9:53SEA Touchdown

    (9:53) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 88-A.Barner for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — DET 21
  6. Q3 · 7:03DET Touchdown

    (7:03) (Shotgun) 14-A.St. Brown pass short left to 16-J.Goff for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — DET 28
  7. Q3 · 3:09SEA Touchdown

    (3:09) 9-K.Walker left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: SEA 20 — DET 28
  8. Q3 · 3:03DET Touchdown

    (3:03) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 9-J.Williams for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-9-J.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 20 — DET 35
  9. Q4 · 14:57SEA Touchdown

    (14:57) 9-K.Walker left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 27 — DET 35
  10. Q4 · 5:29DET Touchdown

    (5:29) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 27 — DET 42
  11. Q4 · 2:05SEA Safety

    (2:05) 16-J.Goff sacked in End Zone for -4 yards, SAFETY (55-D.Jones).

    Score after this play: SEA 29 — DET 42

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksLions
Offensive plays7948
Total yards516 (edge)391
Yards per play6.58.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.090.46 (edge)
Success rate51%56% (edge)
Dropback rate80%46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.030.89 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.32 (edge)0.09
Third downs5/103/6
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)11 (edge)8
First downs gained on snaps35 (edge)20
Sacks taken33
Turnovers20 (edge)

Seahawks outgained Lions 516–391 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

38/56, 395 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

8.9 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

18/18, 292 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

17.9 expected points added · +25.1% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth WalkerRB

12 att, 80 yds, 3 TD

2.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

14 att, 78 yds, 2 TD

4.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

7/12 for 104 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · -5.3 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

5/9 for 61 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · -1.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 275-102:17Punt
2SEASEA 235272:11Punt
3DETDET 713937:21Touchdown +7
4SEASEA 306332:20Fumble
5DETSEA 144140:53Touchdown +7
6SEASEA 3012654:50Touchdown +7
7DETDET 3011554:57Touchdown +7
8SEASEA 3010354:10Punt
9DETDET 15460:47Punt
10SEASEA 394170:14Missed field goal
11SEASEA 2512545:14Touchdown +7
12DETDET 307702:49Touchdown +7
13SEASEA 2010753:54Touchdown +6
14DETDET 303700:11Touchdown +7
15SEASEA 309703:04Touchdown +7
16DETDET 30571:59Punt
17SEASEA 218503:52Punt
18DETDET 208903:34Touchdown +7
19SEASEA 3013583:14Turnover on downs
20DETDET 42-40:08Safety
21SEASEA 205321:01Interception
22DETDET 20201:00End of game

10 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 93 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith38/563951138.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker12806.732.9
Geno Smith5387.604.2
Zach Charbonnet2157.50-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DK Metcalf712104023%-5.3
Tyler Lockett5961017%-1.3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba81251023%1.9
Zach Charbonnet553909%-0.6
Kenneth Walker453609%2.7
Jake Bobo333006%1.8
A.J. Barner222714%3.4
Noah Fant222604%2.2
Laviska Shenault Jr.111802%2.3
Pharaoh Brown12304%-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tyrice Knight620.000
Tyrel Dodson350.000
Rayshawn Jenkins320.000
Jarran Reed221.000
Julian Love310.000
Derick Hall221.000
Devon Witherspoon310.000
Tariq Woolen210.000
Johnathan Hankins110.000
Dre'Mont Jones111.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff18/1829220317.9
Amon-Ra St. Brown1/171001.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jahmyr Gibbs14785.624.0
David Montgomery12403.31-1.6
Jared Goff2-2-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jameson Williams2280111%6.4
Sam LaPorta4453021%4.1
Tim Patrick2252011%3.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown6645132%5.1
David Montgomery114005%2.3
Brock Wright2213011%1.4
Kalif Raymond11905%0.1
Jared Goff11715%1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kerby Joseph540.011
Amik Robertson800.002
Carlton Davis430.003
Brandon Joseph510.000
Jack Campbell510.000
Alex Anzalone420.001
Malcolm Rodriguez411.000
Terrion Arnold410.001
Levi Onwuzurike210.500
Alim McNeill110.501

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -3.5
Closing total
46.5
SEA moneyline
+154
DET moneyline
-185

Lions closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 13.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 71 — over by 24.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
SEA 8 days · DET 8 days
Coaches
Mike Macdonald vs Dan Campbell