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2024 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2024 · State Farm Stadium
42
14
Washington Commanders 42–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 10:26, ARI +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(10:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-J.McNichols left end for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
How the points landed
(9:57) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 18-M.Harrison for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 0 — ARI 7(5:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 7 — ARI 7(10:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-J.McNichols left end for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 14 — ARI 7(:03) 3-A.Seibert 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
Score after this play: WAS 17 — ARI 7(13:57) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels right end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 24 — ARI 7(5:19) 3-A.Seibert 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
Score after this play: WAS 27 — ARI 7(:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Conner up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 27 — ARI 14(8:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 17-T.McLaurin for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: WAS 35 — ARI 14(4:33) 26-J.McNichols up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on WAS-26-J.McNichols, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 42 — ARI 14Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Commanders | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 58 |
| Total yards | 451 (edge) | 296 |
| Yards per play | 6.6 (edge) | 5.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.42 (edge) | -0.09 |
| Success rate | 59% (edge) | 47% |
| Dropback rate | 54% | 47% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.39 (edge) | -0.23 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.44 (edge) | 0.04 |
| Third downs | 9/12 (edge) | 4/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 28 (edge) | 18 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.42 expected points added per play vs -0.09.
Who moved the needle
Passing · WAS
26/30, 233 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
14.2 expected points added · +14.3% completion over expected
Passing · ARI
16/22, 142 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-0.4 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected
Receiving · WAS
6/6 for 85 yds, 0 TD
20% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | ARI 45 | 11 | 55 | 5:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | WAS | WAS 30 | 11 | 70 | 4:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | ARI | ARI 30 | 8 | 28 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 4 | WAS | WAS 7 | 14 | 93 | 7:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | ARI | ARI 28 | 5 | 9 | 1:21 | Punt | |
| 6 | WAS | WAS 20 | 5 | 31 | 2:16 | Interception | |
| 7 | ARI | ARI 18 | 4 | 2 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 8 | WAS | WAS 28 | 4 | -5 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 9 | ARI | ARI 30 | 9 | 28 | 2:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | WAS | WAS 42 | 5 | 31 | 0:29 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | WAS | WAS 30 | 5 | 23 | 1:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 30 | 6 | 4 | 1:59 | Punt | |
| 13 | WAS | WAS 40 | 11 | 45 | 6:37 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 26 | 13 | 74 | 5:05 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | WAS | WAS 30 | 14 | 102 | 6:41 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 16 | ARI | ARI 24 | 6 | 52 | 1:19 | Fumble | |
| 17 | WAS | WAS 24 | 9 | 61 | 2:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | ARI | ARI 24 | 9 | 44 | 4:30 | End of game |
9 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 102 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 26/30 | 233 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 21 | 101 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.6 |
| Jeremy McNichols | 8 | 68 | 8.5 | 2 | 6.9 |
| Jayden Daniels | 8 | 47 | 5.9 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 6 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 20% | 8.2 |
| Terry McLaurin | 7 | 10 | 52 | 1 | 33% | 0.1 |
| Noah Brown | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 13% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Wagner | 7 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy Chinn | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frankie Luvu | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorance Armstrong |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 16/22 | 142 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Conner | 18 | 104 | 5.8 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Cardinals closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49; the game landed 56 — over by 7.0.
Conditions and crew
| 2.8 |
| Zach Ertz | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 10% | 1.7 |
| Luke McCaffrey | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 3% | 1.7 |
| Brian Robinson | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 10% | -1.1 |
| John Bates | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 |
| Jeremy McNichols | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| Dyami Brown | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 1.5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Benjamin St-Juste | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quan Martin | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Allen | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamin Davis | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Igbinoghene | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mykal Walker | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.4 |
| Trey Benson | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Emari Demercado | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Kyler Murray | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 5 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 27% | 7.4 |
| Michael Wilson | 3 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 32% | -7.4 |
| Greg Dortch | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 18% | 2.0 |
| Elijah Higgins | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 14% | 0.5 |
| James Conner | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5% | 0.4 |
| Emari Demercado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -1.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budda Baker | 10 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 2 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyzir White | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mack Wilson | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roy Lopez | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bilal Nichols | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dennis Gardeck | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dante Stills | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaven Collins | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
