2024 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2024 · FedExField

Cleveland Browns

Washington CommandersWinner

WAS -3 ✓O 44 ✓Commanders closed -3 and covered, winning by 21.

Washington Commanders 34–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 9:14, WAS +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 9:14CLE 0 — WAS 0WAS ball · 3rd & 13WAS 58%

(9:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin to CLE 3 for 66 yards (21-D.Ward).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 9:14WAS +16% win prob(9:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin to CLE 3 for 66 yards (21-D.Ward).
Q2 · 13:02WAS +9% win prob(13:02) (Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler right tackle to CLE 30 for 50 yards (23-M.Emerson). FUMBLES (23-M.Emerson), recovered by WAS-14-O.Zaccheaus at CLE 23.
Q2 · 13:13WAS +8% win prob(13:13) 7-D.Hopkins 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Q2 · 4:09WAS +8% win prob(4:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end pushed ob at CLE 6 for 34 yards (12-R.McLeod). PENALTY on CLE-21-D.Ward, Defensive Holding, 3 yards, enforced at CLE 6.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 2:46WAS Touchdown
(2:46) (No Huddle) 8-B.Robinson left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — WAS 7
Q2 · 13:13CLE Field goal
(13:13) 7-D.Hopkins 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — WAS 7
Q2 · 8:44WAS Field goal
(8:44) 3-A.Seibert 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — WAS 10
Q2 · 3:14WAS Touchdown
(3:14) (Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 3 — WAS 17
Q2 · 0:42WAS Touchdown
(:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 2-D.Brown for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 3 — WAS 24
Q3 · 12:15CLE Field goal
(12:15) 7-D.Hopkins 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Whiteheart, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 6 — WAS 24
Q3 · 7:28WAS Touchdown
(7:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-J.McNichols left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 6 — WAS 31
Q3 · 2:38WAS Field goal
(2:38) 3-A.Seibert 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
Score after this play: CLE 6 — WAS 34
Q4 · 7:06CLE Touchdown
(7:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 88-J.Akins for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 13 — WAS 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Commanders
Offensive plays	59	65
Total yards	212	434 (edge)
Yards per play	3.6	6.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.31	0.08 (edge)
Success rate	31%	35% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.40	0.15 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13	0.00 (edge)
Third downs	1/13	8/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	11 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	11	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	7	3 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Jayden DanielsQB

14/25, 238 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.4 expected points added · -6.5% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Deshaun WatsonQB

15/28, 125 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-15.1 expected points added · -8.9% completion over expected

Rushing · WAS

Jayden DanielsQB

11 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

4.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

Austin EkelerRB

6 att, 67 yds, 0 TD

4.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · WAS

Terry McLaurinWR

4/8 for 112 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

4/10 for 60 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · -0.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 30	6	23	2:09	Turnover on downs
2	WAS	WAS 47	4	-9	1:48	Punt
3	CLE	CLE 27	4	-7	1:09	Punt
4	WAS	WAS 34	6	61	2:18	Interception
5	CLE	CLE 1	4	4	1:31	Punt
6	WAS	CLE 34	7	34	3:25	Touchdown +7
7	CLE	CLE 28	5	5	1:39	Punt
8	WAS	WAS 2	4	0	1:01	Punt
9	CLE	WAS 43	6	15	1:52	Field goal +3
10	WAS	WAS 20	9	64	4:27	Field goal +3
11	CLE	CLE 31	5	2	1:53	Punt
12	WAS	WAS 26	11	71	3:37	Touchdown +7
13	CLE	CLE 27	5	-4	1:36	Punt
14	WAS	WAS 38	6	62	0:59	Touchdown +7
15	CLE	CLE 28	6	29	0:36	Punt
16	WAS	WAS 30	2	2	0:08	Fumble
17	CLE	WAS 30	6	27	2:40	Field goal +3
18	WAS	WAS 20	11	80	4:49	Touchdown +7
19	CLE	CLE 26	4	29	1:35	Fumble
20	WAS	50	7	38	3:13	Field goal +3
21	CLE	CLE 30	11	14	4:45	Punt
22	WAS	WAS 8	4	3	0:59	Punt
23	CLE	CLE 46	10	53	4:49	Touchdown +7
24	WAS	WAS 30	8	28	4:34	Punt
25	CLE	CLE 20	4	22	2:28	End of game

9 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 80 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Deshaun Watson	15/28	125	1	0	7	-15.1
Jameis Winston	1/1	16	0	0	0	0.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jerome Ford	9	47	5.2	2.4
D'Onta Foreman	9	44	4.9	-3.3
Deshaun Watson	3	14	4.7	-1.2
Pierre Strong	1	2	2.0	-1.1
Jameis Winston	1	-3	-3.0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	4	10	60	0	36%	-0.3
Jordan Akins	3	3	22	1	11%	4.7
D'Onta Foreman	1	1	16	0	4%	0.8
Jerry Jeudy	1	3	16	0	11%	-1.0
David Njoku	1	3	14	0	11%	-0.5
Elijah Moore	3	4	11	0	14%	-0.9
Jerome Ford	3	3	2	0	11%	-1.5
Pierre Strong	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Devin Bush	5	2	0.0	0	1
Grant Delpit	4	3	0.0	0	0
Winston Reid	3	4	0.5	0	2
Rodney McLeod	4	1	0.0	0	1
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah	4	0	1.0	1	1
Greg Newsome	4	0	0.0	0	0
Martin Emerson	3	0	0.0	0	0
Isaiah McGuire	1	2	0.0	0	0
Ronnie Hickman	2	1	0.0	0	0
Za'Darius Smith	2	1	1.0	0	0

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jayden Daniels	14/25	238	1	1	3	2.4
Marcus Mariota	1/3	-2	0	0	0	-3.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jayden Daniels	11	82	7.5	0	4.6
Austin Ekeler	6	67	11.2	0	4.5
Jeremy McNichols	7	44	6.3	1	3.4
Brian Robinson	7	18	2.6	2	1.1
Terry McLaurin	1	2	2.0	0	-5.6
Marcus Mariota	2	2	1.0	0	-1.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Terry McLaurin	4	8	112	0	30%	6.5
Dyami Brown	2	2	57	1	7%	6.9
Austin Ekeler	2	2	30	0	7%	2.4
Luke McCaffrey	3	3	19	0	11%	0.9
Zach Ertz	2	8	10	0	30%	-8.8
Olamide Zaccheaus	1	3	10	0	11%	-1.9
Brycen Tremayne	1	1	-2	0	4%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Bobby Wagner	3	3	1.5	0
Frankie Luvu	3	3	2.5	0
Nick Bellore	2	2	0.0	0
Daron Payne	3	1	0.0	0
Mike Sainristil	4	0	0.0	1
Jeremy McNichols	1	2	0.0	0
Dorance Armstrong	1	2	1.0	0
Jeremy Chinn	2	1	0.0	0
Jamin Davis	2	1	0.0	0
Phidarian Mathis	1	2	0.0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: WAS -3
Closing total: 44
CLE moneyline: +130
WAS moneyline: -155

Commanders closed -3 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 44; the game landed 47 — over by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FedExField
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 73°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Alan Eck
Rest: CLE 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Dan Quinn