2024 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2024 · SoFi Stadium

Green Bay PackersWinner

Los Angeles Rams

GB -3 ✓U 49.5 ✓DomePackers closed -3 and covered, winning by 5.

Green Bay Packers 24–19. Biggest swing: Q3 11:26, LA +22% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 11:26GB 16 — LA 13GB ball · 2nd & 6LA 51%

(11:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 85-T.Kraft for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 11:26LA +22% win prob(11:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 85-T.Kraft for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 1:17GB +15% win prob(1:17) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at GB 45 for -7 yards (sack split by 91-P.Smith and 94-K.Brooks).
Q4 · 1:05GB +15% win prob(1:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 86-C.Parkinson [56-E.Cooper].
Q2 · 2:12GB +14% win prob(2:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right INTERCEPTED by 39-J.McCollough [0-B.Young] at GB 4. 39-J.McCollough for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 6:52GB Touchdown
(6:52) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 7 — LA 0
Q2 · 9:51LA Touchdown
(9:51) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 7 — LA 7
Q2 · 2:12LA Touchdown
(2:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right INTERCEPTED by 39-J.McCollough [0-B.Young] at GB 4. 39-J.McCollough for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: GB 7 — LA 13
Q2 · 0:02GB Field goal
(:02) 44-B.Narveson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: GB 10 — LA 13
Q3 · 11:26GB Touchdown
(11:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 85-T.Kraft for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 17 — LA 13
Q3 · 4:00GB Touchdown
(4:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 24 — LA 13
Q4 · 3:34LA Touchdown
(3:34) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 15-D.Robinson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: GB 24 — LA 19

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Packers	Rams
Offensive plays	56	77
Total yards	330	370 (edge)
Yards per play	5.9 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	0.02 (edge)	-0.10
Success rate	43%	53% (edge)
Dropback rate	52%	62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.06 (edge)	-0.19
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02	0.05 (edge)
Third downs	1/8	8/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	17	24 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Rams outgained Packers 370–330 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

29/45, 260 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-9.0 expected points added · -5.2% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

15/26, 224 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-0.7 expected points added · -12.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

22 att, 102 yds, 1 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

19 att, 73 yds, 1 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Jordan WhittingtonWR

7/10 for 89 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Tucker KraftTE

4/5 for 88 yds, 2 TD

20% of team targets · 8.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	GB	GB 30	5	-5	1:43	Punt
2	LA	LA 34	4	7	1:27	Punt
3	GB	GB 4	10	96	5:05	Touchdown +7
4	LA	LA 30	8	66	3:21	Turnover on downs
5	GB	GB 5	4	8	1:27	Punt
6	LA	LA 45	14	60	7:10	Touchdown +7
7	GB	GB 30	5	1	1:21	Punt
8	LA	LA 30	11	26	5:20	Punt
9	GB	GB 10	3	3	1:04	Defensive touchdown
10	GB	GB 30	10	42	2:02	Field goal +3
11	LA	LA 29	6	46	3:02	Fumble
12	GB	GB 30	3	70	0:43	Touchdown +7
13	LA	LA 27	9	25	3:14	Interception
14	GB	GB 46	8	54	4:06	Touchdown +7
15	LA	LA 28	10	21	4:40	Punt
16	GB	GB 7	15	48	8:13	Punt
17	LA	LA 9	12	86	2:32	Touchdown +6
18	GB	GB 30	6	13	0:33	Punt
19	LA	LA 29	11	33	1:55	Turnover on downs
20	GB	GB 38	2	0	1:02	End of game

6 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 96 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jordan Love	15/26	224	2	1	2	-0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Josh Jacobs	19	73	3.8	1	-1.4
Emanuel Wilson	6	24	4.0	0	-0.3
Jayden Reed	2	19	9.5	0	1.1
Jordan Love	3	10	3.3	0	2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tucker Kraft	4	5	88	2	20%	8.0
Jayden Reed	4	6	78	0	24%	3.2
Josh Jacobs	1	1	21	0	4%	2.0
Dontayvion Wicks	2	7	20	0	28%	-2.0
Malik Heath	2	3	14	0	12%	0.2
Bo Melton	1	2	12	0	8%	-0.1
Emanuel Wilson	1	1	-9	0	4%	-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Evan Williams	4	6	0.0	2
Isaiah McDuffie	3	6	0.0	0
Javon Bullard	5	3	0.0	0
Quay Walker	4	3	0.0	0
Eric Stokes	2	4	0.0	0
Edgerrin Cooper	3	2	1.0	0
Lukas Van Ness	2	2	0.0	0
Preston Smith	0	4	0.5	0
Keisean Nixon	3	1	0.0	1
Karl Brooks	1	1	1.5	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	29/45	260	1	1	3	-9.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kyren Williams	22	102	4.6	1	0.4
Blake Corum	5	25	5.0	0	1.8
Tutu Atwell	1	7	7.0	0	-0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jordan Whittington	7	10	89	0	22%	4.2
Tutu Atwell	6	10	58	0	22%	-4.2
Colby Parkinson	7	13	52	0	29%	-5.6
Demarcus Robinson	3	5	28	1	11%	1.7
Hunter Long	2	2	16	0	4%	0.5
Blake Corum	1	1	8	0	2%	0.5
Xavier Smith	2	2	6	0	4%	-0.1
Kyren Williams	1	1	3	0	2%	0.0
Davis Allen	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Christian Rozeboom	3	5	0.0	0
Kamren Curl	4	4	0.0	1
Quentin Lake	4	1	0.0	0
Troy Reeder	1	4	0.0	0
Kobie Turner	3	1	2.0	1
Byron Young	1	2	0.0	0
Braden Fiske	1	2	0.0	0
Cobie Durant	2	0	0.0	0
Josh Wallace	2	0	0.0	0
Ahkello Witherspoon	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: GB -3
Closing total: 49.5
GB moneyline: -155
LA moneyline: +130

Packers closed -3 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 43 — under by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: GB 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Matt LaFleur vs Sean McVay