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2024 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2024 · Lumen Field

New York GiantsWinner

29

Seattle Seahawks

20

SEA -7 upsetO 42.5 ✓

New York Giants 29–20. Biggest swing: Q4 1:05, NYG +41% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SEA ↑NYG ↓
Q4 · 1:05NYG 29 — SEA 20SEA ball · 4th & 4NYG 57%

(1:05) 5-J.Myers 47 yard field goal is BLOCKED (19-I.Simmons), Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson, RECOVERED by NYG-88-B.Ford-Wheaton at NYG 40. 88-B.Ford-Wheaton for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:05NYG +41% win prob(1:05) 5-J.Myers 47 yard field goal is BLOCKED (19-I.Simmons), Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson, RECOVERED by NYG-88-B.Ford-Wheaton at NYG 40. 88-B.Ford-Wheaton for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 2:33NYG +21% win prob(2:33) 20-E.Gray right guard to SEA 1 for no gain (17-J.Baker; 20-J.Love). FUMBLES (17-J.Baker), RECOVERED by SEA-2-R.Jenkins at SEA -2. 2-R.Jenkins for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  3. Q3 · 10:47SEA +12% win prob(10:47) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 12:17NYG +12% win prob(12:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 14-D.Metcalf to NYG 21 for 10 yards (3-D.Banks; 58-B.Okereke). FUMBLES (3-D.Banks), RECOVERED by NYG-31-T.Nubin at NYG 21. 31-T.Nubin to NYG 23 for 2 yards (9-K.Walker).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 2:33SEA Touchdown

    (2:33) 20-E.Gray right guard to SEA 1 for no gain (17-J.Baker; 20-J.Love). FUMBLES (17-J.Baker), RECOVERED by SEA-2-R.Jenkins at SEA -2. 2-R.Jenkins for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — SEA 7
  2. Q2 · 9:15NYG Touchdown

    (9:15) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 17-W.Robinson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — SEA 7
  3. Q2 · 0:25NYG Field goal

    (:25) 34-G.Joseph 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — SEA 7
  4. Q2 · 0:06SEA Field goal

    (:06) 5-J.Myers 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — SEA 10
  5. Q3 · 10:47NYG Touchdown

    (10:47) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — SEA 10
  6. Q3 · 6:38SEA Field goal

    (6:38) 5-J.Myers 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — SEA 13
  7. Q3 · 0:49NYG Field goal

    (:49) 34-G.Joseph 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 20 — SEA 13
  8. Q4 · 11:57NYG Field goal

    (11:57) 34-G.Joseph 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 23 — SEA 13
  9. Q4 · 2:13SEA Touchdown

    (2:13) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-E.Chatman]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 23 — SEA 20
  10. Q4 · 1:05NYG Touchdown

    (1:05) 5-J.Myers 47 yard field goal is BLOCKED (19-I.Simmons), Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson, RECOVERED by NYG-88-B.Ford-Wheaton at NYG 40. 88-B.Ford-Wheaton for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYG 29 — SEA 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsSeahawks
Offensive plays7058
Total yards422 (edge)333
Yards per play6.0 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.01 (edge)-0.10
Success rate49% (edge)48%
Dropback rate56%88%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.25 (edge)-0.11
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.28-0.01 (edge)
Third downs7/16 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)18
Sacks taken3 (edge)7
Turnovers11

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

28/40, 284 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-4.1 expected points added · -0.5% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

23/34, 257 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.6 expected points added · +4.8% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone TracyRB

18 att, 129 yds, 0 TD

4.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

11 att, 38 yds, 0 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

8/11 for 122 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 9.2 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

4/6 for 75 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SEASEA 307252:45Punt
2NYGNYG 20168410:01Defensive touchdown
3NYGNYG 24582:14Punt
4SEASEA 22421:25Punt
5NYGNYG 199814:26Touchdown +7
6SEASEA 289183:35Punt
7NYGNYG 2212535:12Field goal +3
8SEASEA 304450:20Field goal +3
9NYGNYG 30200:02End of half
10NYGNYG 30551:37Punt
11SEASEA 293501:12Fumble
12NYGNYG 235871:30Touchdown +7
13SEASEA 309464:08Field goal +3
14NYGNYG 2712605:47Field goal +3
15SEASEA 26561:37Turnover on downs
16NYGSEA 276212:15Field goal +3
17SEASEA 28752:21Punt
18NYGNYG 197173:40Punt
19SEASEA 5151003:44Touchdown +7
20NYGNYG 22560:29Punt
21SEASEA 345380:45Field goal
22SEASEA 305-20:46Turnover on downs
23NYGSEA 28100:09End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 100 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones23/342572037.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy181297.204.1
Daniel Jones11383.500.9
Eric Gray441.00-13.1
Wan'Dale Robinson144.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton811122135%9.2
Eric Gray3450013%3.8
Theo Johnson5548016%2.8
Wan'Dale Robinson6936129%-0.8
Tyrone Tracy12106%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tyler Nubin620.000
Dane Belton330.000
Deonte Banks240.003
Dexter Lawrence223.000
Cordale Flott310.001
Bobby Okereke120.000
Rakeem Nunez-Roches210.501
Brian Burns111.002
Jason Pinnock200.000
Nick McCloud110.000

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith28/40284107-4.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Geno Smith47218.004.1
Kenneth Walker5193.80-0.8
Zach Charbonnet2115.500.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyler Lockett4675015%3.5
Kenneth Walker7857021%3.9
DK Metcalf4755018%-4.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba4731118%1.1
Noah Fant332408%1.3
Zach Charbonnet3519013%-1.6
A.J. Barner111303%0.7
Pharaoh Brown11703%0.3
Jake Bobo11303%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerome Baker661.000
Tyrel Dodson361.000
Tre Brown720.000
Julian Love540.000
Derick Hall421.000
Devon Witherspoon420.000
Dre'Mont Jones220.000
Rayshawn Jenkins220.000
Tariq Woolen120.000
Coby Bryant110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -7
Closing total
42.5
NYG moneyline
+250
SEA moneyline
-310

Seahawks closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 49 — over by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lumen Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
61°F, wind 3 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
NYG 10 days · SEA 6 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Mike Macdonald