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2024 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2024 · Lambeau Field

Arizona Cardinals

13

Green Bay PackersWinner

34

GB -5.5 ✓47 push

Green Bay Packers 34–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:56, ARI +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3GB ↑ARI ↓
Q1 · 13:56ARI 0 — GB 0GB ball · 1st & 10GB 72%

(13:56) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 85-T.Kraft (58-J.Okwara).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 13:56ARI +6% win prob(13:56) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 85-T.Kraft (58-J.Okwara).
  2. Q1 · 13:05GB +5% win prob(13:05) 19-D.Whelan punts 46 yards to ARI 8, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.
  3. Q1 · 13:10ARI +4% win prob(13:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep right to 13-D.Wicks [34-J.Thompson].
  4. Q2 · 15:00GB +4% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: ARI-2-Ma.Wilson has returned to the game.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:00GB Touchdown

    (9:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — GB 7
  2. Q2 · 15:00GB Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: ARI-2-Ma.Wilson has returned to the game. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — GB 14
  3. Q2 · 6:36GB Field goal

    (6:36) 44-B.Narveson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — GB 17
  4. Q2 · 4:39GB Touchdown

    (4:39) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 0 — GB 24
  5. Q2 · 2:00ARI Touchdown

    (2:00) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep middle to 14-Mi.Wilson for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 7 — GB 24
  6. Q2 · 0:07ARI Field goal

    (:07) 38-C.Ryland 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 10 — GB 24
  7. Q3 · 9:07ARI Field goal

    (9:07) 38-C.Ryland 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 13 — GB 24
  8. Q3 · 3:54GB Touchdown

    (3:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 87-R.Doubs for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 13 — GB 31
  9. Q4 · 9:32GB Field goal

    (9:32) 44-B.Narveson 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. ** Injury Update: GB-71-J.Myers has returned to the game.

    Score after this play: ARI 13 — GB 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCardinalsPackers
Offensive plays5568
Total yards303439 (edge)
Yards per play5.56.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.120.29 (edge)
Success rate45%53% (edge)
Dropback rate65%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.040.54 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.290.02 (edge)
Third downs4/107/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)29 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1424 (edge)
Sacks taken00
Turnovers31 (edge)

Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs -0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

22/32, 258 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

14.9 expected points added · +4.2% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

22/32, 214 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

7.7 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Josh JacobsRB

18 att, 62 yds, 0 TD

-4.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · GB

Emanuel WilsonRB

7 att, 54 yds, 0 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Trey McBrideTE

8/8 for 96 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 7.9 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Christian WatsonWR

3/4 for 68 yds, 1 TD

13% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 307112:02Punt
2ARIARI 8411:32Punt
3GBARI 446392:31Touchdown +7
4ARIARI 357212:18Punt
5GBGB 2012856:42Touchdown +7
6ARIARI 30551:35Punt
7GBGB 1012726:48Field goal +3
8ARIARI 22571:53Punt
9GBARI 442440:07Touchdown +7
10ARIARI 308602:36Touchdown +7
11GBGB 225150:52Interception
12ARIGB 459401:00Field goal +3
13GB—100:04End of half
14ARIARI 2610635:57Field goal +3
15GBGB 3011605:15Touchdown +7
16ARIARI 26340:51Fumble
17GBARI 30440:53Missed field goal
18ARIARI 346431:52Fumble
19GBGB 2212465:44Field goal +3
20ARIARI 2812593:51Fumble
21GBGB 2110635:37End of game

9 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 85 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyler Murray22/322141007.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Trey Benson5265.20-0.5
Emari Demercado4256.303.8
James Conner7243.40-1.8
Kyler Murray7142.00-6.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Trey McBride8896025%7.9
Emari Demercado5739022%0.9
Greg Dortch3536016%-4.9
James Conner4522016%-4.1
Michael Wilson2421113%1.2
Xavier Weaver01003%-1.1
Marvin Harrison02006%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Krys Barnes620.000
Mack Wilson340.001
Naquan Jones150.000
Zaven Collins330.000
Budda Baker230.000
Jalen Thompson310.000
Max Melton400.000
Sean Murphy-Bunting120.011
L.J. Collier120.000
Jesse Luketa210.000

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love22/3225841014.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs18623.40-4.3
Emanuel Wilson7547.702.1
Bo Melton22713.502.0
Christopher Brooks4215.300.8
Jordan Love5132.60-0.1
Tucker Kraft122.000.6
Jayden Reed100.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Christian Watson3468113%7.1
Romeo Doubs3449213%6.6
Ben Sims223806%3.1
Josh Jacobs3328010%2.0
Jayden Reed6628119%1.8
Emanuel Wilson121906%1.1
Tucker Kraft2413013%-1.0
Dontayvion Wicks139010%-1.2
Bo Melton12606%-3.5
Andrew Beck01003%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quay Walker910.000
Javon Bullard710.000
Edgerrin Cooper520.000
Ty'Ron Hopper210.000
Evan Williams300.000
Eric Wilson210.000
Rashan Gary120.000
Keisean Nixon120.001
Xavier McKinney300.000
Isaiah McDuffie210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -5.5
Closing total
47
ARI moneyline
+195
GB moneyline
-238

Packers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 47 and landed exactly there — a push.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lambeau Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
50°F, wind 4 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
ARI 7 days · GB 7 days
Coaches
Jonathan Gannon vs Matt LaFleur