2024 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2024 · MetLife Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

New York Giants

CIN -4.5 ✓U 46 ✓Bengals closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 10.

Cincinnati Bengals 17–7. Biggest swing: Q1 11:41, NYG +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 11:41CIN 6 — NYG 0CIN ball · 3rd & 18CIN 63%

(11:41) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow scrambles right end for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 11:41NYG +16% win prob(11:41) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow scrambles right end for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 10:32CIN +13% win prob(10:32) 34-G.Joseph 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-38-M.Haack.
Q4 · 3:05CIN +13% win prob(3:05) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 86-D.Slayton (20-D.Turner).
Q4 · 13:30NYG +10% win prob(13:30) 8-D.Jones right guard to CIN 45 for 1 yard (92-B.Hill).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 11:41CIN Touchdown
(11:41) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow scrambles right end for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 7 — NYG 0
Q3 · 5:52NYG Touchdown
(5:52) 29-T.Tracy left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 7 — NYG 7
Q3 · 0:45CIN Field goal
(:45) 2-E.McPherson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Score after this play: CIN 10 — NYG 7
Q4 · 1:58CIN Touchdown
(1:58) (Shotgun) 30-C.Brown up the middle for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 17 — NYG 7

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Giants
Offensive plays	50	71
Total yards	306	310 (edge)
Yards per play	6.1 (edge)	4.4
Expected points added / play	0.03 (edge)	-0.14
Success rate	44%	46% (edge)
Dropback rate	68%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.23 (edge)	-0.30
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.39	0.11 (edge)
Third downs	4/11 (edge)	5/15
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	13	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.14.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

19/28, 208 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-0.5 expected points added · +11.1% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

22/41, 205 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-15.3 expected points added · -8.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

11 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

5.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CIN

Chase BrownRB

10 att, 53 yds, 1 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Tee HigginsWR

7/7 for 77 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

Ja'Marr ChaseWR

5/6 for 72 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	CIN 31	10	69	3:28	Touchdown +7
2	NYG	NYG 30	6	17	1:39	Punt
3	CIN	CIN 3	4	9	1:37	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 33	8	48	4:31	Interception
5	CIN	CIN 27	8	27	3:52	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 14	5	15	2:18	Punt
7	CIN	CIN 30	4	13	1:34	Punt
8	NYG	NYG 17	8	33	4:42	Punt
9	CIN	CIN 12	6	33	3:05	Punt
10	NYG	NYG 9	4	7	1:24	Punt
11	CIN	CIN 45	4	-2	1:29	Punt
12	NYG	NYG 20	1	0	0:21	End of half
13	NYG	NYG 30	5	8	1:07	Turnover on downs
14	CIN	NYG 38	3	13	1:20	Fumble
15	NYG	NYG 21	17	61	6:45	Touchdown +7
16	CIN	CIN 30	10	61	5:07	Field goal +3
17	NYG	NYG 30	12	42	5:14	Missed field goal
18	CIN	CIN 37	6	19	2:21	Punt
19	NYG	NYG 11	10	53	5:05	Turnover on downs
20	CIN	CIN 36	6	64	1:09	Touchdown +7
21	NYG	NYG 30	9	26	1:01	Missed field goal
22	CIN	CIN 35	2	0	0:51	End of game

4 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 69 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Burrow	19/28	208	0	0	4	-0.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Joe Burrow	4	55	13.8	1	8.5
Chase Brown	10	53	5.3	1	1.8
Zack Moss	6	13	2.2	0	-8.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Tee Higgins	7	7	77	30%	6.9
Ja'Marr Chase	5	6	72	26%	3.3
Andrei Iosivas	2	3	36	13%	1.8
Chase Brown	2	3	11	13%	-0.9
Erick All	2	3	10	13%	-0.4
Zack Moss	1	1	2	4%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Logan Wilson	5	4	0	0
Germaine Pratt	5	2	1	1
B.J. Hill	3	4	0	2
Geno Stone	2	5	0	0
Cam Taylor-Britt	6	0	0	2
Sam Hubbard	1	3	0	1
Jordan Battle	2	2	0	0
Mike Hilton	3	1	0	1
Myles Murphy	2	1	0	0
D.J. Turner	2	1	0	1

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	22/41	205	0	1	2	-15.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Daniel Jones	11	56	5.1	0	5.2
Tyrone Tracy	17	50	2.9	1	-1.0
Eric Gray	3	13	4.3	0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Tyrone Tracy	6	6	57	17%	3.5
Darius Slayton	6	11	57	31%	-0.6
Wan'Dale Robinson	5	11	50	31%	-4.8
Theo Johnson	3	3	30	8%	0.7
Jalin Hyatt	1	4	6	11%	-2.8
Isaiah Hodgins	1	1	5	3%	0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Tyler Nubin	4	4	0.0	0
Brian Burns	4	4	1.0	0
Bobby Okereke	2	3	0.0	1
Micah McFadden	3	2	0.0	0
Azeez Ojulari	2	2	2.0	0
Deonte Banks	2	2	0.0	0
Andru Phillips	1	3	0.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	2	1	1.0	0
Jason Pinnock	1	2	0.0	0
Cordale Flott	1	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -4.5
Closing total: 46
CIN moneyline: -230
NYG moneyline: +190

Bengals closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 46; the game landed 24 — under by 22.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 63°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: CIN 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Brian Daboll