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2024 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2024 · Allegiant Stadium

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

32

Las Vegas Raiders

13

PIT -3.5 ✓O 36.5 ✓Dome

Pittsburgh Steelers 32–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 2:40, PIT +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LV ↑PIT ↓
Q2 · 2:40PIT 6 — LV 7LV ball · 2nd & 7LV 51%

(2:40) 23-D.Laube right end to LV 28 for -2 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), RECOVERED by PIT-95-K.Benton at LV 30.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 2:40PIT +21% win prob(2:40) 23-D.Laube right end to LV 28 for -2 yards (90-T.Watt). FUMBLES (90-T.Watt), RECOVERED by PIT-95-K.Benton at LV 30.
  2. Q2 · 8:38LV +8% win prob(8:38) (Shotgun) 2-J.Fields pass deep left to 19-C.Austin to PIT 39 for 20 yards (39-N.Hobbs).
  3. Q3 · 11:07PIT +8% win prob(11:07) 6-A.Cole punt is BLOCKED by 49-J.Moon, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, recovered by LV-29-C.Smith at LV 13. 29-C.Smith to LV 9 for -4 yards (31-B.Bishop).
  4. Q2 · 0:40LV +8% win prob(:40) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 2-J.Fields scrambles left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:24PIT Field goal

    (10:24) 9-C.Boswell 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: PIT 3 — LV 0
  2. Q1 · 4:28LV Touchdown

    (4:28) (Shotgun) 22-A.Mattison up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PIT 3 — LV 7
  3. Q2 · 12:17PIT Field goal

    (12:17) 9-C.Boswell 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: PIT 6 — LV 7
  4. Q2 · 0:40PIT Touchdown

    (:40) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 2-J.Fields scrambles left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: PIT 12 — LV 7
  5. Q3 · 9:24PIT Field goal

    (9:24) 9-C.Boswell 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: PIT 15 — LV 7
  6. Q3 · 4:33PIT Touchdown

    (4:33) 22-N.Harris left end for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PIT 22 — LV 7
  7. Q4 · 8:21PIT Touchdown

    (8:21) 2-J.Fields left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PIT 29 — LV 7
  8. Q4 · 4:59LV Touchdown

    (4:59) (Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell pass short right to 83-K.Wilkerson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: PIT 29 — LV 13
  9. Q4 · 3:59PIT Field goal

    (3:59) 9-C.Boswell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-8-C.Waitman.

    Score after this play: PIT 32 — LV 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSteelersRaiders
Offensive plays6161
Total yards295 (edge)275
Yards per play4.8 (edge)4.5
Expected points added / play0.10 (edge)-0.24
Success rate41%44% (edge)
Dropback rate54%69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.15 (edge)-0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.04 (edge)-0.58
Third downs4/13 (edge)2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)9 (edge)2
First downs gained on snaps1717
Sacks taken31 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.24.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Aidan O'ConnellQB

27/40, 227 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-3.8 expected points added · -2.3% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Justin FieldsQB

14/24, 145 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-0.4 expected points added · -6.7% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

Najee HarrisRB

14 att, 106 yds, 1 TD

3.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PIT

Justin FieldsQB

11 att, 59 yds, 2 TD

3.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Brock BowersTE

9/10 for 71 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · -0.9 expected points added

Receiving · PIT

George PickensWR

3/8 for 53 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 1.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PITPIT 2910374:41Field goal +3
2LVLV 3012705:55Touchdown +7
3PITPIT 30531:36Punt
4LVLV 25461:36Punt
5PITPIT 2610534:00Field goal +3
6LVLV 30591:49Punt
7PITPIT 209415:46Punt
8LVLV 164142:05Fumble
9PITLV 307181:58Touchdown +6
10LVLV 306180:34Turnover on downs
11LVLV 308144:02Punt
12PITLV 9441:38Field goal +3
13LVLV 30541:40Punt
14PITPIT 208653:19Touchdown +7
15LVLV 3010745:00Fumble
16PITPIT 119385:05Punt
17LVLV 133-90:55Interception
18PITLV 7270:05Touchdown +7
19LVLV 3012703:22Touchdown +6
20PITLV 367180:59Field goal +3
21LVLV 30551:11Turnover on downs
22PITLV 354112:44End of game

9 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 74 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a fumble.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Fields14/24145003-0.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Najee Harris141067.613.7
Justin Fields11595.423.9
Jonathan Ward3134.300.3
Jaylen Warren671.20-2.7
Aaron Shampklin1-2-2.00-1.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
George Pickens3853035%1.4
Calvin Austin2536022%2.1
Najee Harris221609%0.5
Pat Freiermuth2316013%-0.3
Jaylen Warren3311013%2.4
Darnell Washington11904%1.2
Connor Heyward11404%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Patrick Queen570.000
DeShon Elliott510.000
Elandon Roberts320.000
Minkah Fitzpatrick310.000
Payton Wilson310.000
Joey Porter310.000
T.J. Watt300.000
Beanie Bishop300.001
Terrell Edmunds200.000
Jeremiah Moon110.000

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aidan O'Connell27/40227111-3.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Alexander Mattison14332.41-1.5
Ameer Abdullah4246.00-4.9
Dylan Laube100.00-4.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brock Bowers91071027%-0.9
D.J. Turner2437011%-0.8
Alexander Mattison5532014%0.5
Alex Bachman333108%0.1
Harrison Bryant3524014%-1.4
Kristian Wilkerson231818%2.9
Ameer Abdullah3514014%-0.2
Tre Tucker02005%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nate Hobbs260.001
Isaiah Pola-Mao440.000
Trevon Moehrig520.000
Robert Spillane230.001
Divine Deablo131.000
John Jenkins040.500
Adam Butler120.000
Maxx Crosby210.500
Jack Jones110.001
Christopher Smith100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PIT -3.5
Closing total
36.5
PIT moneyline
-180
LV moneyline
+150

Steelers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 19.

Total closed 36.5; the game landed 45 — over by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Alan Eck
Rest
PIT 7 days · LV 7 days
Coaches
Mike Tomlin vs Antonio Pierce