2024 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Seattle SeahawksWinner
34
Atlanta Falcons
14
Seattle Seahawks 34–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:10, ATL +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:10) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 0:10ATL +17% win prob(:10) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 12:59SEA +16% win prob(12:59) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins sacked at ATL 45 for -7 yards (53-B.Mafe). FUMBLES (53-B.Mafe) [53-B.Mafe], RECOVERED by SEA-58-D.Hall at ATL 36. 58-D.Hall for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 9:59ATL +12% win prob(9:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 2:22ATL +11% win prob(2:22) 4-M.Dickson punts 36 yards to ATL 10, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 26-A.Williams.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:09SEA Field goal
(10:09) 5-J.Myers 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 3 — ATL 0 - Q2 · 9:59SEA Touchdown
(9:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 10 — ATL 0 - Q2 · 5:22ATL Touchdown
(5:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 10 — ATL 7 - Q2 · 0:10SEA Touchdown
(:10) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 17 — ATL 7 - Q3 · 7:47ATL Touchdown
(7:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 5-D.London for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 17 — ATL 14 - Q3 · 3:23SEA Touchdown
(3:23) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 9-K.Walker for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 24 — ATL 14 - Q4 · 12:59SEA Touchdown
(12:59) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins sacked at ATL 45 for -7 yards (53-B.Mafe). FUMBLES (53-B.Mafe) [53-B.Mafe], RECOVERED by SEA-58-D.Hall at ATL 36. 58-D.Hall for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 31 — ATL 14 - Q4 · 7:15SEA Field goal
(7:15) 5-J.Myers 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 34 — ATL 14
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 56 | 70 |
| Total yards | 339 | 370 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.1 (edge) | 5.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.11 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Success rate | 39% | 53% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 59% | 56% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.24 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.07 | 0.04 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/11 | 8/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 3 |
Falcons outgained Seahawks 370–339 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · ATL
24/35, 232 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-9.4 expected points added · +1.6% completion over expected
Passing · SEA
18/28, 207 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
7.1 expected points added · +6.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 24 | 12 | 49 | 4:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | ATL | ATL 25 | 7 | 37 | 2:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | SEA | SEA 12 | 9 | 52 | 4:59 | Punt | |
| 4 | ATL | ATL 12 | 11 | 52 | 4:54 | Missed field goal | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 44 | 6 | 56 | 2:51 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | ATL | ATL 30 | 11 | 70 | 4:34 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | SEA | SEA 30 | 6 | 29 | 3:03 | Punt | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 10 | 5 | 31 | 1:08 | Punt | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 32 | 7 | 78 | 1:03 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | ATL | ATL 30 | 2 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 21 | 16 | 79 | 7:17 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | SEA | SEA 37 | 11 | 43 | 4:25 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | ATL | ATL 30 | 5 | 2 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 14 | SEA | SEA 26 | 6 | 5 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 15 | ATL | ATL 23 | 7 | 1 | 2:24 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 16 | ATL | ATL 30 | 7 | 43 | 1:51 | Interception | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 41 | 7 | 19 | 3:45 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | ATL | ATL 30 | 6 | 18 | 1:16 | Interception | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 37 | 4 | 8 | 2:17 | Punt | |
| 20 | ATL | ATL 13 | 7 | 37 | 3:37 | End of game |
7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 79 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Seattle Seahawks
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 18/28 | 207 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 1/1 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 14 | 69 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.7 |
| Geno Smith | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Zach Charbonnet | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kenny McIntosh | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK Metcalf | 4 | 7 | 99 | 1 | 25% | 7.4 |
| Noah Fant | 4 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 14% | 4.9 |
| Tyler Lockett | 4 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 21% | 3.2 |
| Kenneth Walker | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 7% | 2.7 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 21% | -4.7 |
| A.J. Barner | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 0.0 |
| Jake Bobo | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Zach Charbonnet | 1 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 4% | -1.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby Bryant | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Julian Love | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jerome Baker | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Witherspoon | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Jobe | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nehemiah Pritchett | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roy Robertson-Harris | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrel Dodson | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Johnathan Hankins | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarran Reed | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Atlanta Falcons
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 24/35 | 232 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.4 |
| Michael Penix | 1/1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 21 | 103 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.8 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Jase McClellan | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Kirk Cousins | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts | 7 | 9 | 65 | 0 | 25% | -3.7 |
| Drake London | 6 | 8 | 63 | 1 | 22% | 2.4 |
| Darnell Mooney | 5 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 22% | 4.3 |
| Bijan Robinson | 3 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 14% | 0.8 |
| Casey Washington | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.8 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 11% | -2.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Elliss | 1 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dee Alford | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nate Landman | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Simmons | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Hughes | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| A.J. Terrell | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Arnold Ebiketie | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grady Jarrett | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Onyemata | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bijan Robinson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- ATL -3
- Closing total
- 51.5
- SEA moneyline
- +136
- ATL moneyline
- -162
Falcons closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 51.5; the game landed 48 — under by 3.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- SEA 10 days · ATL 7 days
- Coaches
- Mike Macdonald vs Raheem Morris