2024 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2024 · Empower Field at Mile High

Carolina Panthers

Denver BroncosWinner

DEN -13 ✓O 40.5 ✓Broncos closed -13 and covered, winning by 14.

Denver Broncos 28–14. Biggest swing: Q1 2:56, CAR +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 2:56CAR 7 — DEN 0DEN ball · 3rd & 5DEN 72%

(2:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix sacked at CAR 41 for -13 yards (94-A.Robinson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 2:56CAR +11% win prob(2:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix sacked at CAR 41 for -13 yards (94-A.Robinson).
Q1 · 0:31DEN +10% win prob(:31) 10-J.Hekker punts 50 yards to DEN 45, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.
Q1 · 2:04DEN +10% win prob(2:04) 9-R.Dixon punts 40 yards to CAR 1, impetus ends at CAR 1, Center-48-M.Fraboni, downed by DEN-34-J.Skinner.
Q1 · 9:40DEN +8% win prob(9:40) 9-B.Young pass short right to 18-J.Coker to DEN 7 for 8 yards (22-B.Jones; 21-R.Moss).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 7:15CAR Touchdown
(7:15) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 17-X.Legette for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-J.Franklin-Myers]. (kick good)
Score after this play: CAR 7 — DEN 0
Q2 · 12:34DEN Touchdown
(12:34) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 45-N.Adkins for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CAR 7 — DEN 7
Q2 · 6:56DEN Touchdown
(6:56) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 82-A.Trautman for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CAR 7 — DEN 14
Q2 · 1:16DEN Touchdown
(1:16) 10-B.Nix up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CAR 7 — DEN 21
Q3 · 6:55DEN Touchdown
(6:55) (No Huddle) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 38-J.McLaughlin for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CAR 7 — DEN 28
Q4 · 0:23CAR Touchdown
(:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 18-J.Coker for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CAR 14 — DEN 28

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Panthers	Broncos
Offensive plays	60	71
Total yards	284	402 (edge)
Yards per play	4.7	5.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.15	0.04 (edge)
Success rate	40%	44% (edge)
Dropback rate	70%	59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13	0.09 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.17	-0.04 (edge)
Third downs	5/14	12/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	5 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	14	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	2	2

Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.15.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DEN

Bo NixQB

28/37, 284 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

13.6 expected points added · +13.5% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Bryce YoungQB

24/37, 224 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-2.8 expected points added · +5.6% completion over expected

Rushing · CAR

Chuba HubbardRB

15 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

-2.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DEN

Jaleel McLaughlinRB

8 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

3.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DEN

Courtland SuttonWR

8/11 for 100 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 2.3 expected points added

Receiving · DEN

Adam TrautmanTE

4/4 for 85 yds, 1 TD

11% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DEN	DEN 30	4	18	1:21	Fumble
2	CAR	DEN 49	11	59	6:27	Touchdown +7
3	DEN	DEN 30	11	29	5:18	Punt
4	CAR	CAR 1	4	4	1:30	Punt
5	DEN	DEN 45	8	55	2:55	Touchdown +7
6	CAR	CAR 30	6	11	2:32	Punt
7	DEN	DEN 8	8	92	3:06	Touchdown +7
8	CAR	CAR 30	6	18	2:10	Turnover on downs
9	DEN	CAR 48	11	44	3:29	Touchdown +7
10	CAR	CAR 30	5	6	0:22	Punt
11	DEN	DEN 25	5	13	0:50	End of half
12	CAR	CAR 30	5	-1	1:38	Punt
13	DEN	DEN 21	7	19	2:57	Punt
14	CAR	CAR 20	4	14	2:01	Turnover on downs
15	DEN	CAR 23	5	23	1:35	Touchdown +7
16	CAR	CAR 30	8	40	3:55	Interception
17	DEN	DEN 39	4	-2	2:12	Punt
18	CAR	CAR 10	5	7	1:31	Punt
19	DEN	DEN 33	7	33	4:08	Turnover on downs
20	CAR	CAR 39	7	43	2:49	Interception
21	DEN	DEN 20	11	78	5:01	Fumble
22	CAR	CAR 2	11	83	1:55	Touchdown +7
23	DEN	CAR 47	2	0	0:18	End of game

6 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 92 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Bryce Young	24/37	224	2	2	2	-2.8
Johnny Hekker	0/1	0	0	0	0	-2.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Chuba Hubbard	15	56	3.7	-2.6
Miles Sanders	1	7	7.0	1.1
Bryce Young	3	6	2.0	-1.2
Xavier Legette	1	0	0.0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jalen Coker	4	6	78	1	17%	5.2
David Moore	4	5	39	0	14%	-0.5
Miles Sanders	7	7	38	0	20%	-2.6
Xavier Legette	4	7	34	1	20%	2.7
Chuba Hubbard	2	2	15	0	6%	0.5
Tommy Tremble	2	3	13	0	9%	-1.7
Ja'Tavion Sanders	1	1	7	0	3%	0.2
Sam Franklin	0	1	0	0	3%	-2.7
Jonathan Mingo	0	3	0	0	9%	-2.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Demani Richardson	7	4	0.0	0
Michael Jackson	8	1	0.0	0
Josey Jewell	5	4	0.0	0
Shy Tuttle	4	3	0.0	0
Jadeveon Clowney	2	4	0.0	0
Trevin Wallace	2	2	0.0	0
Chau Smith-Wade	2	2	0.0	0
A'Shawn Robinson	3	1	2.0	0
Xavier Woods	2	2	0.0	0
Jaycee Horn	1	1	0.0	2

Denver Broncos

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	Sacked	EPA
Bo Nix	28/37	284	3	2	13.6
Courtland Sutton	1/1	28	0	0	3.6
Riley Dixon	1/1	3	0	0	-1.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jaleel McLaughlin	8	47	5.9	0	3.6
Javonte Williams	17	44	2.6	0	-7.2
Bo Nix	5	4	0.8	1	1.4
Audric Estime	1	4	4.0	0	-0.1
Troy Franklin	1	3	3.0	0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Courtland Sutton	8	11	100	0	29%	2.3
Adam Trautman	4	4	85	1	11%	7.0
Michael Burton	1	1	28	0	3%	3.6
Devaughn Vele	3	3	28	0	8%	2.7
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	4	6	22	0	16%	-5.1
Lucas Krull	2	2	18	0	5%	-0.6
Jaleel McLaughlin	1	1	9	1	3%	1.6
Javonte Williams	4	5	8	0	13%	-2.1
Marvin Mims	1	2	8	0	5%	0.2
Troy Franklin	1	2	6	0	5%	-2.4
Nate Adkins	1	1	3	1	3%	2.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Brandon Jones	6	5	0.0	0	0
Devon Key	2	3	0.0	0	0
Jonathon Cooper	4	1	1.0	0	0
Riley Moss	3	2	0.0	0	0
Justin Strnad	2	2	0.0	0	0
Nik Bonitto	1	2	1.0	0	0
Ja'Quan McMillian	2	1	0.0	1	1
John Franklin-Myers	1	1	0.0	0	0
Zach Allen	2	0	0.0	0	0
Cody Barton	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DEN -13
Closing total: 40.5
CAR moneyline: +525
DEN moneyline: -750

Broncos closed -13 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 42 — over by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 76°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: CAR 7 days · DEN 10 days
Coaches: Dave Canales vs Sean Payton