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2024 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2024 · Levi's Stadium

Dallas Cowboys

24

San Francisco 49ersWinner

30

SF -5.5 ✓O 48 ✓

San Francisco 49ers 30–24. Biggest swing: Q2 0:20, SF +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SF ↑DAL ↓
Q2 · 0:20DAL 10 — SF 6SF ball · 4th & 17DAL 59%

(:20) 3-M.Wishnowsky punts 45 yards to DAL 2, Center-46-T.Pepper, downed by SF-10-R.Bell.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:20SF +13% win prob(:20) 3-M.Wishnowsky punts 45 yards to DAL 2, Center-46-T.Pepper, downed by SF-10-R.Bell.
  2. Q2 · 0:34DAL +12% win prob(:34) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy sacked at DAL 47 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by SF-65-A.Banks at DAL 47.
  3. Q3 · 13:38SF +12% win prob(13:38) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle pushed ob at DAL 4 for 43 yards (7-T.Diggs).
  4. Q1 · 10:15SF +9% win prob(10:15) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 1-D.Samuel to DAL 36 for 47 yards (28-M.Hooker).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:19SF Field goal

    (7:19) 41-A.Carlson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: DAL 0 — SF 3
  2. Q2 · 11:02DAL Touchdown

    (11:02) (Shotgun) 15-E.Elliott up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — SF 3
  3. Q2 · 2:59DAL Field goal

    (2:59) 17-B.Aubrey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — SF 3
  4. Q2 · 1:35SF Field goal

    (1:35) 41-A.Carlson 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — SF 6
  5. Q3 · 13:00SF Touchdown

    (13:00) 31-I.Guerendo up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — SF 13
  6. Q3 · 7:16SF Touchdown

    (7:16) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 85-G.Kittle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — SF 20
  7. Q3 · 0:40SF Touchdown

    (:40) 13-B.Purdy up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — SF 27
  8. Q4 · 8:04DAL Touchdown

    (8:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — SF 27
  9. Q4 · 4:30SF Field goal

    (4:30) 41-A.Carlson 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — SF 30
  10. Q4 · 3:36DAL Touchdown

    (3:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-M.Collins]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 24 — SF 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboys49ers
Offensive plays5863
Total yards293470 (edge)
Yards per play5.17.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.020.25 (edge)
Success rate41%52% (edge)
Dropback rate69%52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.020.33 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.110.17 (edge)
Third downs4/128/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)610 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1619 (edge)
Sacks taken22
Turnovers20 (edge)

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.25 expected points added per play vs -0.02.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

18/26, 260 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

7.3 expected points added · +2.9% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

25/38, 243 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

0.9 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Isaac GuerendoRB

14 att, 85 yds, 1 TD

4.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

8 att, 56 yds, 1 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

13/17 for 146 yds, 2 TD

46% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · SF

George KittleTE

6/7 for 128 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 8.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 257163:16Punt
2SFSF 137704:30Field goal +3
3DALDAL 326232:47Interception
4SFSF 86261:54Punt
5DALDAL 3512656:35Touchdown +7
6SFSF 348334:26Turnover on downs
7DALDAL 438413:36Field goal +3
8SFSF 357491:26Field goal +3
9DALDAL 33570:36Punt
10SFSF 176360:44Punt
11DALDAL 2100:10End of half
12SFSF 407602:03Touchdown +7
13DALDAL 11461:27Interception
14SFDAL 328324:16Touchdown +7
15DALDAL 26561:05Punt
16SFSF 2510755:33Touchdown +7
17DALDAL 40532:02Punt
18SFSF 17491:37Punt
19DALDAL 3011563:59Touchdown +7
20SFSF 317523:33Field goal +3
21DALDAL 306700:53Touchdown +7
22SFSF 30560:27Punt
23DALDAL 25400:22Turnover on downs
24SFDAL 254222:43End of game

10 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 75 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott25/382432220.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ezekiel Elliott10343.41-0.3
Dalvin Cook6122.00-2.3
Kavontae Turpin11111.002.1
Hunter Luepke100.00-1.5
Dak Prescott1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb1317146246%7.1
Jalen Tolbert334408%3.6
Jake Ferguson6823022%-2.3
Kavontae Turpin1416011%-1.8
Dalvin Cook111003%1.3
Ezekiel Elliott11403%-0.1
Jalen Brooks01003%-2.3
Brevyn Spann-Ford02005%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Eric Kendricks450.000
Amani Oruwariye620.000
DeMarvion Overshown351.000
Jourdan Lewis340.000
Donovan Wilson230.000
Chauncey Golston320.000
Malik Hooker230.000
Trevon Diggs210.001
Mazi Smith120.000
Osa Odighizuwa110.000

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brock Purdy18/262601027.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Isaac Guerendo14856.114.2
Brock Purdy8567.010.7
Ricky Pearsall13939.002.9
Jordan Mason6183.00-3.9
Deebo Samuel4153.80-0.3
Patrick Taylor294.500.2
Kyle Juszczyk111.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
George Kittle67128128%8.1
Deebo Samuel4771028%2.6
Ricky Pearsall4438016%3.1
Isaac Guerendo3417016%-0.3
Kyle Juszczyk11604%-0.8
Ronnie Bell01004%-1.6
Chris Conley01004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Fred Warner340.001
De'Vondre Campbell610.000
Deommodore Lenoir510.011
Charvarius Ward420.000
Ji'Ayir Brown410.011
Malik Mustapha050.001
Nick Bosa211.000
Renardo Green210.000
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles110.000
Dee Winters110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SF -5.5
Closing total
48
DAL moneyline
+195
SF moneyline
-238

49ers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 48; the game landed 54 — over by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
69°F, wind 9 mph
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
DAL 14 days · SF 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Kyle Shanahan