2024 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2024 · Allegiant Stadium
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
27
Las Vegas Raiders
20
Kansas City Chiefs 27–20. Biggest swing: Q3 5:49, KC +13% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:49) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Moehrig (95-J.Jenkins) at KC 15. 7-T.Moehrig to KC 3 for 12 yards (62-J.Thuney).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 5:49KC +13% win prob(5:49) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Moehrig (95-J.Jenkins) at KC 15. 7-T.Moehrig to KC 3 for 12 yards (62-J.Thuney).
- Q2 · 10:18LV +10% win prob(10:18) 2-D.Carlson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
- Q3 · 3:31KC +9% win prob(3:31) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at KC 8 for -5 yards (98-T.Wharton).
- Q4 · 8:06KC +9% win prob(8:06) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at LV 37 for 0 yards (69-M.Pennel). FUMBLES (69-M.Pennel) [69-M.Pennel], RECOVERED by KC-23-D.Tranquill at LV 41. 23-D.Tranquill to LV 38 for 3 yards (74-K.Miller).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:08KC Touchdown
(10:08) 29-K.Hunt right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 7 — LV 0 - Q1 · 2:42LV Touchdown
(2:42) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short left to 16-J.Meyers for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-C.Jones]. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 7 — LV 7 - Q2 · 10:18LV Field goal
(10:18) 2-D.Carlson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: KC 7 — LV 10 - Q2 · 2:00KC Touchdown
(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 14 — LV 10 - Q2 · 0:08KC Field goal
(:08) 7-H.Butker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: KC 17 — LV 10 - Q3 · 6:44LV Field goal
(6:44) 2-D.Carlson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: KC 17 — LV 13 - Q4 · 8:48KC Field goal
(8:48) 7-H.Butker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: KC 20 — LV 13 - Q4 · 5:03KC Touchdown
(5:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-X.Worthy for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 27 — LV 13 - Q4 · 2:07LV Touchdown
(2:07) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short left to 19-D.Turner for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-G.Karlaftis]. KC-23-D.Tranquill was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: KC 27 — LV 20
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chiefs | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 53 |
| Total yards | 337 (edge) | 229 |
| Yards per play | 5.3 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.18 (edge) | -0.06 |
| Success rate | 55% (edge) | 49% |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 64% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.33 (edge) | 0.21 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.10 (edge) | -0.54 |
| Third downs | 12/15 (edge) | 6/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 (edge) | 1 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 14 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.06.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · KC
27/38, 262 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
10.6 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected
Passing · LV
24/30, 209 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
6.0 expected points added · +17.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 30 | 11 | 70 | 4:58 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | LV | LV 30 | 14 | 75 | 7:23 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | KC | KC 30 | 7 | 14 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 4 | LV | LV 14 | 10 | 50 | 5:46 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | KC | KC 30 | 15 | 75 | 8:16 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | LV | LV 30 | 5 | 2 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 7 | KC | KC 20 | 9 | 49 | 0:54 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | LV | LV 30 | 2 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 9 | LV | LV 30 | 5 | 1 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 10 | KC | KC 8 | 4 | 1 | 0:54 | Punt | |
| 11 | LV | KC 28 | 10 | 19 | 5:51 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | KC | KC 8 | 2 | 0 | 1:01 | Interception | |
| 13 | LV | KC 3 | 4 | -5 | 2:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | KC | KC 8 | 19 | 90 | 9:43 | Field goal +3 | |
| 15 | LV | LV 30 | 3 | 7 | 0:44 | Fumble | |
| 16 | KC | LV 38 | 9 | 38 | 3:01 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | LV | LV 30 | 15 | 80 | 2:56 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | KC | LV 45 | 4 | 0 | 2:03 | End of game |
9 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 90 scrimmage yards over 19 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
Box score
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 27/38 | 262 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 21 | 59 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 6 | 17 | 2.8 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Carson Steele | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 10 | 12 | 90 | 1 | 34% | 2.7 |
| Xavier Worthy | 4 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 23% | 0.6 |
| Justin Watson | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 9% | 3.1 |
| Samaje Perine | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 6% | 2.8 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 2 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 9% | 2.5 |
| Noah Gray | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 9% | 3.0 |
| Carson Steele | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.4 |
| Mecole Hardman | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Kareem Hunt | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 0.0 |
| Joseph Fortson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bolton | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nazeeh Johnson | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent McDuffie | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Karlaftis | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Reid | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drue Tranquill | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Herring | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix Anudike-Uzomah | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner Minshew | 24/30 | 209 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Mattison | 14 | 15 | 1.1 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Gardner Minshew | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| D.J. Turner | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Zamir White | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | -1.7 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | 5 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 19% | 5.9 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 6 | 7 | 52 | 1 | 26% | 5.5 |
| Alexander Mattison | 5 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 19% | 2.0 |
| D.J. Turner | 4 | 4 | 28 | 1 | 15% | 4.8 |
| Tre Tucker | 2 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 11% | 0.5 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 7% | 0.3 |
| John Samuel Shenker | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Spillane | 6 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Divine Deablo | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakorian Bennett | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Jones | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Snowden | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Butler | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Hobbs | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyree Wilson | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -9
- Closing total
- 42
- KC moneyline
- -440
- LV moneyline
- +340
Chiefs closed -9, won by 7 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42; the game landed 47 — over by 5.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- KC 7 days · LV 7 days
- Coaches
- Andy Reid vs Antonio Pierce
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.