2024 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2024 · Ford Field

Tennessee Titans

Detroit LionsWinner

DET -12.5 ✓O 45 ✓DomeLions closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 38.

Detroit Lions 52–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 4:07, DET +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 4:07TEN 7 — DET 13DET ball · 1st & 10DET 80%

(4:07) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs left tackle for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 4:07DET +13% win prob(4:07) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs left tackle for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 15:00TEN +10% win prob(15:00) 16-J.Goff sacked at DET 23 for -7 yards (49-A.Key).
Q1 · 4:13DET +9% win prob(4:13) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph scrambles left end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 12:51TEN +8% win prob(12:51) 60-D.Brunskill reported in as eligible. 11-M.Rudolph pass short left intended for 85-C.Okonkwo INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Joseph at TEN 45. 31-K.Joseph to TEN 12 for 33 yards (75-D.Radunz).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:36DET Touchdown
(10:36) 5-D.Montgomery left tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 0 — DET 7
Q1 · 4:13TEN Touchdown
(4:13) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph scrambles left end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — DET 7
Q1 · 4:07DET Touchdown
(4:07) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs left tackle for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — DET 14
Q2 · 14:22TEN Touchdown
(14:22) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 14
Q2 · 12:55DET Touchdown
(12:55) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 89-B.Wright for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 21
Q2 · 11:41DET Touchdown
(11:41) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 28
Q2 · 2:23DET Touchdown
(2:23) 5-D.Montgomery pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 35
Q3 · 13:05DET Touchdown
(13:05) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 56 yards to DET 10, Center-46-M.Cox. 11-K.Raymond for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 42
Q3 · 6:17DET Touchdown
(6:17) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 11-K.Raymond for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 49
Q3 · 1:13DET Field goal
(1:13) 39-J.Bates 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: TEN 14 — DET 52

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Lions
Offensive plays	71	47
Total yards	416 (edge)	225
Yards per play	5.9 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	-0.29	0.03 (edge)
Success rate	42%	45% (edge)
Dropback rate	59%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.31	-0.19 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.26	0.23 (edge)
Third downs	3/11	3/9 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	21 (edge)	14
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	4
Turnovers	4	0 (edge)

Titans outgained Lions 416–225 but lost the turnover battle 4–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Mason RudolphQB

22/38, 266 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-12.5 expected points added · -6.4% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

12/15, 85 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

-3.5 expected points added · +10.9% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

11 att, 127 yds, 1 TD

6.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Tony PollardRB

20 att, 94 yds, 0 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TEN

Calvin RidleyWR

10/15 for 143 yds, 0 TD

39% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Sam LaPortaTE

6/6 for 48 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 30	5	5	2:03	Punt
2	TEN	TEN 15	4	17	1:58	Interception
3	DET	TEN 23	3	16	0:28	Touchdown +7
4	TEN	TEN 29	6	19	2:16	Punt
5	DET	DET 17	5	-4	1:55	Punt
6	TEN	TEN 25	5	75	2:13	Touchdown +7
7	DET	DET 30	3	70	0:10	Touchdown +7
8	TEN	TEN 30	9	90	4:39	Touchdown +7
9	DET	TEN 25	5	12	1:27	Touchdown +7
10	TEN	TEN 30	2	0	0:12	Interception
11	DET	TEN 12	5	12	1:02	Touchdown +7
12	TEN	TEN 30	10	34	5:20	Punt
13	DET	TEN 22	8	22	3:59	Touchdown +7
14	TEN	TEN 30	10	50	2:01	Turnover on downs
15	DET	DET 1	1	1	0:17	End of half
16	TEN	TEN 25	5	9	2:14	Defensive touchdown
17	TEN	TEN 30	5	4	0:56	Punt
18	DET	DET 17	7	8	4:07	Punt
19	TEN	TEN 23	1	3	0:06	Fumble
20	DET	TEN 26	4	26	1:25	Touchdown +7
21	TEN	TEN 30	5	3	1:04	Punt
22	DET	DET 19	8	48	4:00	Field goal +3
23	TEN	TEN 30	8	48	3:16	Fumble
24	DET	DET 22	4	3	2:00	Punt
25	TEN	TEN 13	6	14	2:37	Punt
26	DET	DET 28	4	6	1:30	Punt
27	TEN	TEN 10	12	50	6:45	End of game

9 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 90 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mason Rudolph	22/38	266	1	2	1	-12.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tony Pollard	20	94	4.7	0	-0.3
Julius Chestnut	7	32	4.6	0	-1.6
Mason Rudolph	4	29	7.3	1	3.9
Calvin Ridley	1	3	3.0	0	-5.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Calvin Ridley	10	15	143	0	39%	4.1
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	2	4	39	1	11%	2.2
Josh Whyle	2	2	33	0	5%	0.3
Tony Pollard	3	4	23	0	11%	0.9
Tyler Boyd	3	6	14	0	16%	-3.7
Chigoziem Okonkwo	2	5	14	0	13%	-12.4
Jha'Quan Jackson	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.3
Nick Vannett	0	1	0	0	3%	-5.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Jack Gibbens	4	4	0.0
Quandre Diggs	5	2	0.0
Arden Key	3	3	2.0
Amani Hooker	4	2	0.0
Jeffery Simmons	3	1	1.0
Sebastian Joseph	2	1	0.0
Josh Whyle	1	1	0.0
Roger McCreary	2	0	1.0
Luke Gifford	1	1	0.0
Dillon Radunz	1	0	0.0

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	12/15	85	3	4	-3.5
Hendon Hooker	2/3	6	0	0	-2.3
David Montgomery	1/1	3	1	0	1.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jahmyr Gibbs	11	127	11.5	1	6.3
David Montgomery	9	33	3.7	1	1.6
Craig Reynolds	3	3	1.0	0	-2.3
Jared Goff	1	1	1.0	0	-0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Sam LaPorta	6	6	48	1	33%	4.6
Kalif Raymond	2	2	14	1	11%	2.9
Brock Wright	1	1	8	1	6%	1.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown	2	2	7	1	11%	0.6
Jahmyr Gibbs	1	1	6	0	6%	-0.9
Isaiah Williams	2	3	6	0	17%	-2.3
David Montgomery	1	1	5	0	6%	0.5
Allen Robinson	0	1	0	0	6%	-0.6
Tim Patrick	0	1	0	0	6%	-1.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jack Campbell	6	5	0.0	0	0
Terrion Arnold	7	0	0.0	0	1
Brian Branch	6	0	0.0	0	0
Kerby Joseph	4	1	0.0	1	2
Khalil Dorsey	1	3	0.0	0	0
Alex Anzalone	4	0	1.0	0	0
James Houston	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jalen Reeves-Maybin	2	1	0.0	0	0
Amik Robertson	2	0	0.0	0	0
Alim McNeill	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DET -12.5
Closing total: 45
TEN moneyline: +550
DET moneyline: -800

Lions closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 38.

Total closed 45; the game landed 66 — over by 21.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ford Field
Roof / surface: dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: TEN 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches: Brian Callahan vs Dan Campbell