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2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Dallas Cowboys

21

Atlanta FalconsWinner

27

ATL -3 ✓U 52 ✓Dome

Atlanta Falcons 27–21. Biggest swing: Q2 8:34, ATL +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ATL ↑DAL ↓
Q2 · 8:34DAL 3 — ATL 13ATL ball · 4th & 3ATL 71%

(8:34) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-D.Mooney for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 8:34ATL +12% win prob(8:34) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-D.Mooney for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 14:25DAL +8% win prob(14:25) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins sacked at DAL 40 for -8 yards (55-C.Lawson). FUMBLES (55-C.Lawson) [55-C.Lawson], touched at DAL 38, RECOVERED by DAL-6-Do.Wilson at DAL 33.
  3. Q3 · 10:29ATL +8% win prob(10:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 34-R.McCloud for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 1:08ATL +7% win prob(1:08) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-D.Mooney to DAL 33 for 10 yards (21-C.Carson).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:36DAL Field goal

    (9:36) 17-B.Aubrey 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — ATL 0
  2. Q1 · 5:27ATL Touchdown

    (5:27) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 5-D.London for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — ATL 7
  3. Q2 · 8:34ATL Touchdown

    (8:34) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-D.Mooney for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 3 — ATL 14
  4. Q2 · 4:11DAL Touchdown

    (4:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 23-R.Dowdle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — ATL 14
  5. Q3 · 10:29ATL Touchdown

    (10:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 34-R.McCloud for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — ATL 21
  6. Q3 · 0:05DAL Field goal

    (:05) 17-B.Aubrey 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 13 — ATL 21
  7. Q4 · 11:15ATL Touchdown

    (11:15) (No Huddle) 25-T.Allgeier right tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: DAL 13 — ATL 27
  8. Q4 · 1:32DAL Touchdown

    (1:32) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short middle to 1-J.Tolbert for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: DAL 21 — ATL 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysFalcons
Offensive plays7454
Total yards380 (edge)321
Yards per play5.15.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.010.11 (edge)
Success rate43%48% (edge)
Dropback rate74%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.060.28 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.13 (edge)-0.06
Third downs3/134/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)19
Sacks taken32 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Falcons won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ATL

Kirk CousinsQB

19/24, 222 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

8.4 expected points added · +11.6% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

18/24, 133 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-3.5 expected points added · +6.6% completion over expected

Rushing · ATL

Bijan RobinsonRB

19 att, 86 yds, 0 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Rico DowdleRB

12 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

3.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Darnell MooneyWR

5/9 for 88 yds, 1 TD

38% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Jake FergusonTE

7/10 for 71 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 0.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 306121:56Punt
2DALDAL 257593:32Field goal +3
3ATLATL 229784:09Touchdown +7
4DALDAL 165-32:09Punt
5ATLDAL 497163:58Fumble
6DALDAL 336202:58Turnover on downs
7ATLATL 476632:50Touchdown +7
8DALDAL 3011794:27Touchdown +7
9ATLATL 238122:55Punt
10DALDAL 236201:06Turnover on downs
11DALDAL 305131:50Turnover on downs
12ATLDAL 386382:47Touchdown +7
13DALDAL 306262:41Punt
14ATLATL 17283:31Punt
15DALDAL 399324:11Field goal +3
16ATLATL 349663:52Touchdown +6
17DALDAL 307161:46Punt
18ATLATL 14431:30Punt
19DALDAL 449302:32Turnover on downs
20ATLATL 31450:24Punt
21DALDAL 1415883:28Touchdown +8
22ATLDAL 42401:28End of game

8 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 88 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott18/24133103-3.5
Cooper Rush13/251151001.4
Bryan Anger0/10000-3.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Rico Dowdle12756.303.1
Dak Prescott33010.001.8
CeeDee Lamb2157.50-2.4
Dalvin Cook284.00-0.3
Hunter Luepke155.001.5
Cooper Rush144.000.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jake Ferguson71071021%0.6
CeeDee Lamb81247025%-1.2
Kavontae Turpin343608%0.8
Rico Dowdle5632113%2.1
Jalen Brooks2526010%-0.3
Jalen Tolbert3619113%0.6
Ryan Flournoy121304%-0.1
Hunter Luepke22404%-1.1
C.J. Goodwin01002%-3.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Eric Kendricks440.000
Donovan Wilson440.000
DeMarvion Overshown430.000
Jourdan Lewis420.000
Caelen Carson510.000
Chauncey Golston230.000
Malik Hooker120.000
Trevon Diggs120.002
Buddy Johnson120.000
Osa Odighizuwa210.000

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kirk Cousins19/242223028.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Bijan Robinson19864.50-1.4
Tyler Allgeier6183.010.3
Ray-Ray McCloud177.000.3
Kirk Cousins4-11-2.80-3.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darnell Mooney5988138%7.1
Bijan Robinson7759029%1.7
Ray-Ray McCloud3328113%4.0
Drake London222718%2.8
Kyle Pitts111104%0.3
KhaDarel Hodge12908%-1.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kaden Elliss651.000
Nate Landman460.000
A.J. Terrell540.000
Dee Alford710.002
Jessie Bates330.001
Arnold Ebiketie321.000
Justin Simmons210.000
David Onyemata200.000
DeAngelo Malone200.000
Natrone Brooks200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ATL -3
Closing total
52
DAL moneyline
+140
ATL moneyline
-166

Falcons closed -3 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 52; the game landed 48 — under by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
DAL 7 days · ATL 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Raheem Morris