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2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · Lincoln Financial Field

Jacksonville Jaguars

23

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

28

PHI -7.5 no coverO 46 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 28–23. Biggest swing: Q4 1:42, JAX +34% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑JAX ↓
Q4 · 1:42JAX 23 — PHI 28JAX ball · 1st & 10PHI 62%

(1:42) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 2-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 17-N.Dean at PHI -3. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:42JAX +34% win prob(1:42) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 2-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 17-N.Dean at PHI -3. Touchback.
  2. Q4 · 2:16JAX +15% win prob(2:16) 4-J.Elliott 57 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
  3. Q4 · 1:49PHI +12% win prob(1:49) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 86-A.Trammell pushed ob at PHI 13 for 22 yards (8-C.Gardner-Johnson).
  4. Q4 · 2:00PHI +12% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep right to 17-E.Engram. PENALTY on PHI-29-A.Maddox, Defensive Pass Interference, 18 yards, enforced at JAX 47 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:28PHI Touchdown

    (10:28) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 26-S.Barkley for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q2 · 9:24PHI Field goal

    (9:24) 4-J.Elliott 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: JAX 0 — PHI 10
  3. Q2 · 0:28PHI Touchdown

    (:28) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: JAX 0 — PHI 16
  4. Q3 · 9:31PHI Touchdown

    (9:31) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts right end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PHI-74-F.Johnson was injured during the play. PENALTY on JAX-5-A.Cisco, Unnecessary Roughness, 1 yard, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: JAX 0 — PHI 22
  5. Q3 · 5:30JAX Touchdown

    (5:30) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: JAX 8 — PHI 22
  6. Q3 · 5:26JAX Touchdown

    (5:26) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley left end to PHI 34 for 4 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-44-T.Walker at PHI 35. 44-T.Walker for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: PHI-74-F.Johnson has returned to the game.

    Score after this play: JAX 14 — PHI 22
  7. Q3 · 5:12JAX Two-point

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-T.Lawrence pass to 17-E.Engram is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. JAX-75-C.Hodges was injured during the play.

    Score after this play: JAX 16 — PHI 22
  8. Q4 · 7:49PHI Touchdown

    (7:49) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: JAX 16 — PHI 28
  9. Q4 · 4:09JAX Touchdown

    (4:09) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 23 — PHI 28

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJaguarsEagles
Offensive plays5273
Total yards220449 (edge)
Yards per play4.26.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.180.02 (edge)
Success rate35%44% (edge)
Dropback rate71%47%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.200.27 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.13 (edge)-0.20
Third downs3/109/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)413 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1523 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers21 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

18/24, 230 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

4.2 expected points added · +12.4% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Trevor LawrenceQB

16/31, 169 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-8.8 expected points added · -9.4% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

27 att, 159 yds, 1 TD

-4.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

13 att, 67 yds, 1 TD

4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

4/6 for 87 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 7.2 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

Evan EngramTE

5/10 for 45 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · -3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 308193:50Punt
2PHIJAX 203200:48Touchdown +7
3JAXJAX 308133:46Punt
4PHIPHI 11442:30Punt
5JAXJAX 41450:53Punt
6PHIPHI 715688:53Field goal +3
7JAXJAX 30591:54Turnover on downs
8PHIJAX 395172:37Turnover on downs
9JAXJAX 22451:35Punt
10PHIPHI 24471:32Punt
11JAXJAX 33100:04Interception
12PHIJAX 428521:16Touchdown +6
13JAXJAX 30200:22End of half
14JAXJAX 17551:39Punt
15PHIPHI 228783:56Touchdown +6
16JAXJAX 3912633:59Touchdown +8
17PHIPHI 30240:14Defensive touchdown
18PHIPHI 3010453:57Turnover on downs
19JAXJAX 257263:24Punt
20PHIPHI 991015:08Touchdown +6
21JAXJAX 3011703:39Touchdown +7
22PHIPHI 327341:53Missed field goal
23JAXJAX 475220:33Interception
24PHIPHI 20301:38End of game

7 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 101 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Lawrence16/31169022-8.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Travis Etienne3248.001.3
Tank Bigsby8222.80-2.9
Trevor Lawrence581.620.7
D'Ernest Johnson263.000.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Evan Engram51045033%-3.6
Parker Washington3641020%2.6
Austin Trammell2340010%2.7
Brian Thomas2422013%3.5
Tim Jones121007%0.4
Travis Etienne236010%-4.3
Luke Farrell11503%-0.1
D'Ernest Johnson01003%-4.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Devin Lloyd620.000
Ventrell Miller440.000
Travon Walker610.000
Foyesade Oluokun610.000
Tyson Campbell410.000
Tyler Lacy230.000
Jeremiah Ledbetter230.000
Darnell Savage310.001
Davon Hamilton130.000
Arik Armstead300.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts18/242302034.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley271595.91-4.3
Jalen Hurts13675.214.8
Kenneth Gainwell591.80-2.9
Ainias Smith122.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeVonta Smith4687126%7.2
Saquon Barkley3440117%4.7
A.J. Brown2436017%-0.9
Jahan Dotson113604%2.1
Grant Calcaterra5530022%0.9
Kenneth Gainwell11104%-0.5
Ainias Smith11004%-0.5
Ben VanSumeren11004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zack Baun730.012
Reed Blankenship230.000
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson400.000
Josh Sweat222.001
Isaiah Rodgers220.001
Jalen Carter130.000
Cooper DeJean300.002
Jordan Davis110.000
Nakobe Dean020.012
Nolan Smith110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -7.5
Closing total
46
JAX moneyline
+270
PHI moneyline
-340

Eagles closed -7.5, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 46; the game landed 51 — over by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
57°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Alan Eck
Rest
JAX 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Nick Sirianni