2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

Cleveland Browns

LAC -2 ✓U 42.5 ✓Chargers closed -2 and covered, winning by 17.

Los Angeles Chargers 27–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 8:10, CLE +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 8:10LAC 13 — CLE 3LAC ball · 3rd & 6LAC 68%

(8:10) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 8:10CLE +16% win prob(8:10) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 6:54CLE +13% win prob(6:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 5-J.Palmer for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 10:48LAC +8% win prob(10:48) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 62 yards to LAC 17, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 12-D.Davis to CLE 30 for 53 yards (39-K.Hudson).
Q1 · 13:56LAC +6% win prob(13:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete deep right to 5-J.Palmer.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 6:54LAC Touchdown
(6:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 5-J.Palmer for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 7 — CLE 0
Q2 · 9:33CLE Field goal
(9:33) 7-D.Hopkins 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: LAC 7 — CLE 3
Q2 · 8:10LAC Touchdown
(8:10) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: LAC 13 — CLE 3
Q2 · 3:34LAC Touchdown
(3:34) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins left tackle for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 20 — CLE 3
Q4 · 4:21LAC Touchdown
(4:21) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 27 — CLE 3
Q4 · 0:49CLE Touchdown
(:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass incomplete deep left to 19-C.Tillman (20-C.Hart). The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass deep left to 19-C.Tillman for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 27 — CLE 10

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chargers	Browns
Offensive plays	54	76
Total yards	344 (edge)	292
Yards per play	6.4 (edge)	3.8
Expected points added / play	0.03 (edge)	-0.27
Success rate	30%	38% (edge)
Dropback rate	63%	74%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.03 (edge)	-0.31
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.03 (edge)	-0.16
Third downs	5/14 (edge)	6/17
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	13	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	6
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.27.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

18/27, 282 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.3 expected points added · +8.3% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Jameis WinstonQB

26/46, 235 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT

-21.0 expected points added · -8.5% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

J.K. DobbinsRB

14 att, 85 yds, 2 TD

3.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

15 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Quentin JohnstonWR

4/5 for 118 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 7.2 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Cedric TillmanWR

6/11 for 75 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 1.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LAC	LAC 30	6	18	1:15	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 9	6	17	3:12	Punt
3	LAC	CLE 30	7	35	3:44	Touchdown +7
4	CLE	CLE 25	6	10	1:33	Punt
5	LAC	LAC 5	4	8	2:05	Punt
6	CLE	CLE 44	4	-5	1:26	Punt
7	LAC	LAC 21	4	-16	1:56	Punt
8	CLE	CLE 46	10	29	5:19	Field goal +3
9	LAC	LAC 30	5	70	1:29	Touchdown +6
10	CLE	CLE 23	5	0	1:44	Punt
11	LAC	LAC 40	6	60	2:47	Touchdown +7
12	CLE	CLE 30	5	6	1:34	Punt
13	LAC	LAC 4	9	81	1:56	End of half
14	CLE	CLE 30	15	71	8:16	Interception
15	LAC	LAC 20	4	-1	0:52	Punt
16	CLE	CLE 47	4	0	0:24	Punt
17	LAC	LAC 10	4	6	1:34	Punt
18	CLE	CLE 43	4	19	1:38	Interception
19	LAC	LAC 32	4	4	1:06	Punt
20	CLE	CLE 37	5	13	1:54	Turnover on downs
21	LAC	50	5	24	2:39	Missed field goal
22	CLE	CLE 34	3	17	0:53	Interception
23	LAC	LAC 35	5	9	1:30	Punt
24	CLE	CLE 22	9	45	2:44	Missed field goal
25	LAC	CLE 46	5	46	2:14	Touchdown +7
26	CLE	CLE 30	14	70	3:32	Touchdown +7
27	LAC	LAC 30	3	0	0:44	End of game

6 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 81 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a end of half.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Herbert	18/27	282	2	0	6	1.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
J.K. Dobbins	14	85	6.1	2	3.2
Kimani Vidal	5	7	1.4	0	-2.2
Justin Herbert	3	2	0.7	0	-0.2
Quentin Johnston	1	2	2.0	0	-0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Quentin Johnston	4	5	118	1	19%	7.2
Ladd McConkey	5	7	64	0	27%	3.9
Josh Palmer	2	4	63	1	15%	3.0
J.K. Dobbins	2	2	20	0	8%	-0.3
Will Dissly	2	3	9	0	12%	-2.4
Hayden Hurst	1	1	6	0	4%	-0.1
Eric Tomlinson	1	1	2	0	4%	-0.2
Jalen Reagor	1	2	0	0	8%	-2.3
Simi Fehoko	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Daiyan Henley	7	6	0.0	0	1
Derwin James	4	3	0.0	0	2
Elijah Molden	2	4	0.0	1	3
Tuli Tuipulotu	5	1	2.5	0	0
Nick Niemann	3	2	0.0	0	1
Tarheeb Still	3	2	0.0	1	3
Troy Dye	4	0	0.0	0	0
Denzel Perryman	3	1	0.0	0	0
Cam Hart	0	4	0.5	0	0
Khalil Mack	2	2	1.0	0	0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jameis Winston	26/46	235	1	3	6	-21.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Nick Chubb	15	39	2.6	-4.8
Jameis Winston	5	27	5.4	5.6
Pierre Strong	2	8	4.0	-0.1
Jerome Ford	2	5	2.5	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cedric Tillman	6	11	75	1	24%	1.1
Jerry Jeudy	7	11	73	0	24%	-3.7
Jordan Akins	3	4	32	0	9%	1.4
David Njoku	5	7	29	0	15%	-1.4
Elijah Moore	3	9	28	0	20%	-7.4
Jerome Ford	1	3	2	0	7%	-1.5
Nick Chubb	1	1	-4	0	2%	-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Grant Delpit	5	2	0.0	0
Devin Bush	4	2	1.0	0
Juan Thornhill	2	3	0.0	0
Martin Emerson	4	1	0.0	0
Myles Garrett	4	1	3.0	0
Mohamoud Diabate	2	2	0.0	1
Shelby Harris	0	4	0.5	0
Dalvin Tomlinson	2	1	1.5	0
Isaiah McGuire	1	1	0.0	0
Cameron Mitchell	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LAC -2
Closing total: 42.5
LAC moneyline: -130
CLE moneyline: +110

Chargers closed -2 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 37 — under by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 57°F, wind 10 mph
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: LAC 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Jim Harbaugh vs Kevin Stefanski