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2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · Paycor Stadium

Las Vegas Raiders

24

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

41

CIN -8 ✓O 45 ✓

Cincinnati Bengals 41–24 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 5:34, CIN +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CIN ↑LV ↓
Q2 · 5:34LV 7 — CIN 10LV ball · 1st & 10CIN 78%

(5:34) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 16-J.Meyers to CIN 26 for 23 yards (22-G.Stone).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 5:34CIN +6% win prob(5:34) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 16-J.Meyers to CIN 26 for 23 yards (22-G.Stone).
  2. Q1 · 3:38CIN +6% win prob(3:38) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 87-T.Hudson to LV 9 for 11 yards (39-N.Hobbs).
  3. Q2 · 0:38CIN +6% win prob(:38) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 80-A.Iosivas for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 0:41CIN +6% win prob(:41) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short left to 89-B.Bowers to LV 42 for 7 yards (27-J.Battle).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:38LV Touchdown

    (9:38) 3-Z.White right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 7 — CIN 0
  2. Q1 · 1:46CIN Touchdown

    (1:46) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 30-C.Brown for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 7 — CIN 7
  3. Q2 · 7:04CIN Field goal

    (7:04) 2-E.McPherson 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

    Score after this play: LV 7 — CIN 10
  4. Q2 · 3:03LV Field goal

    (3:03) 2-D.Carlson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 10 — CIN 10
  5. Q2 · 0:38CIN Touchdown

    (:38) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 80-A.Iosivas for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 10 — CIN 17
  6. Q3 · 11:33CIN Touchdown

    (11:33) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 89-D.Sample for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 10 — CIN 24
  7. Q3 · 7:40CIN Touchdown

    (7:40) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 88-M.Gesicki for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 10 — CIN 31
  8. Q4 · 13:23LV Touchdown

    (13:23) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 18-J.Jones at CIN 29. 18-J.Jones for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 17 — CIN 31
  9. Q4 · 5:45CIN Touchdown

    (5:45) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep left to 88-M.Gesicki for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 17 — CIN 38
  10. Q4 · 1:57CIN Field goal

    (1:57) 2-E.McPherson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

    Score after this play: LV 17 — CIN 41
  11. Q4 · 0:48LV Touchdown

    (:48) (Shotgun) 10-D.Ridder pass deep right to 89-B.Bowers for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 24 — CIN 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRaidersBengals
Offensive plays5969
Total yards217375 (edge)
Yards per play3.75.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.280.09 (edge)
Success rate34%54% (edge)
Dropback rate66%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.250.19 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.36-0.06 (edge)
Third downs5/138/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)45 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1423 (edge)
Sacks taken51 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.28.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

27/39, 251 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT

7.0 expected points added · +6.0% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Gardner MinshewQB

10/17, 124 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

1.0 expected points added · +1.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Chase BrownRB

27 att, 120 yds, 0 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LV

Alexander MattisonRB

9 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

1.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Jakobi MeyersWR

8/11 for 105 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

Mike GesickiTE

5/6 for 100 yds, 2 TD

16% of team targets · 10.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LVLV 3013545:24Touchdown +7
2CINCIN 3015707:57Touchdown +7
3LVLV 308183:10Punt
4CINCIN 1014646:29Field goal +3
5LVLV 308424:02Field goal +3
6CINCIN 307612:26Touchdown +7
7LVLV 306230:27Punt
8CINCIN 2100:05End of half
9CINCIN 309533:33Touchdown +7
10LVLV 305251:45Fumble
11CINLV 216212:08Touchdown +7
12LVLV 30520:58Punt
13CINCIN 23451:34Punt
14LVLV 26410:47Punt
15CINCIN 29763:12Punt
16LVLV 204-51:57Punt
17CINCIN 202150:49Defensive touchdown
18CINCIN 26571:45Punt
19LVLV 3312314:56Turnover on downs
20CINCIN 367590:59Touchdown +7
21LVLV 302-170:08Fumble
22CINLV 137143:36Field goal +3
23LVLV 308431:12Touchdown +7
24CINCIN 22200:41End of game

10 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 70 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Gardner Minshew10/171240011.0
Desmond Ridder11/1674104-10.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Alexander Mattison9364.001.5
Ameer Abdullah4123.00-0.5
Zamir White6101.71-1.4
Desmond Ridder122.00-0.0
Gardner Minshew100.00-6.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jakobi Meyers811105034%3.3
Brock Bowers5845125%3.5
Harrison Bryant222206%1.2
Ameer Abdullah331409%-0.3
Ramel Keyton12706%0.5
Tre Tucker265019%-4.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Trevon Moehrig750.500
Isaiah Pola-Mao430.001
Nate Hobbs320.000
Jakorian Bennett320.001
Darnay Holmes230.001
Jack Jones400.012
Jonah Laulu130.000
Divine Deablo210.000
John Jenkins030.500
Maxx Crosby120.001

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Burrow27/392515117.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chase Brown271204.40-1.8
Joe Burrow3113.700.9
Jake Browning1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mike Gesicki56100216%10.6
Ja'Marr Chase71143030%-9.7
Chase Brown5537114%3.4
Erick All222405%1.4
Drew Sample4414111%1.9
Tanner Hudson231408%3.2
Andrei Iosivas1410111%0.1
Kendric Pryor11903%0.7
Trenton Irwin01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Logan Wilson540.000
Mike Hilton520.000
Jordan Battle230.001
Geno Stone220.000
Trey Hendrickson404.001
Kris Jenkins131.000
D.J. Turner300.000
McKinnley Jackson120.000
Maema Njongmeta210.000
Vonn Bell120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CIN -8
Closing total
45
LV moneyline
+320
CIN moneyline
-410

Bengals closed -8 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 45; the game landed 65 — over by 20.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Paycor Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
67°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Brad Rogers
Rest
LV 7 days · CIN 7 days
Coaches
Antonio Pierce vs Zac Taylor