2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · Nissan Stadium
New England Patriots
17
Tennessee TitansWinner
20
Tennessee Titans 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 2:17, NE +43% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:17) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep middle intended for 9-K.Boutte INTERCEPTED by 37-A.Hooker at TEN 11. 37-A.Hooker to TEN 13 for 2 yards.
Highest-leverage plays
- OT · 2:17NE +43% win prob(2:17) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep middle intended for 9-K.Boutte INTERCEPTED by 37-A.Hooker at TEN 11. 37-A.Hooker to TEN 13 for 2 yards.
- OT · 2:34NE +34% win prob(2:34) 6-N.Folk 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
- Q4 · 7:03NE +24% win prob(7:03) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 25 for -7 yards (49-A.Key). FUMBLES (49-A.Key) [49-A.Key], touched at NE 28, RECOVERED by TEN-98-J.Simmons at NE 26.
- OT · 7:23TEN +21% win prob(7:23) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short middle to 0-C.Ridley to NE 31 for 14 yards (0-C.Gonzalez) [91-D.Wise].
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:24TEN Touchdown
(10:24) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short left to 84-N.Vannett for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 0 — TEN 7 - Q2 · 7:18NE Field goal
(7:18) 13-J.Slye 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Score after this play: NE 3 — TEN 7 - Q3 · 7:43NE Touchdown
(7:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 10 — TEN 7 - Q3 · 0:36TEN Field goal
(:36) 6-N.Folk 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: NE 10 — TEN 10 - Q4 · 4:32TEN Touchdown
(4:32) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short left to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 10 — TEN 17 - Q4 · 0:04NE Touchdown
(:04) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN [37-A.Hooker]. (kick good)
Score after this play: NE 17 — TEN 17 - OT · 2:34TEN Field goal
(2:34) 6-N.Folk 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: NE 17 — TEN 20
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Patriots | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 73 |
| Total yards | 295 | 400 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.6 | 5.5 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.09 | 0.01 (edge) |
| Success rate | 44% (edge) | 42% |
| Dropback rate | 80% | 49% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 | 0.20 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.36 | -0.18 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/11 | 7/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 22 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.09.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · TEN
20/33, 240 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
5.2 expected points added · +9.5% completion over expected
Passing · NE
29/41, 206 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-11.4 expected points added · +5.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | TEN 25 | 10 | 75 | 4:42 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | NE | NE 30 | 7 | 32 | 3:15 | Missed field goal | |
| 3 | TEN | TEN 46 | 5 | 16 | 2:12 | Punt | |
| 4 | NE | NE 20 | 4 | 12 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 5 | TEN | TEN 24 | 5 | 20 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 6 | NE | NE 47 | 3 | 2 | 1:17 | Interception | |
| 7 | TEN | NE 40 | 5 | 29 | 2:06 | Interception | |
| 8 | NE | NE 20 | 11 | 56 | 5:32 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 23 | 10 | 36 | 5:25 | Punt | |
| 10 | NE | NE 15 | 5 | 22 | 1:07 | Punt | |
| 11 | TEN | TEN 48 | 6 | 15 | 0:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | NE | NE 30 | 14 | 79 | 7:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 13 | TEN | TEN 30 | 15 | 77 | 7:05 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | NE | NE 30 | 5 | -1 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 15 | TEN | TEN 16 | 6 | 31 | 3:27 | Punt | |
| 16 | NE | NE 9 | 6 | 19 | 3:16 | Fumble | |
| 17 | TEN | NE 26 | 6 | 26 | 2:26 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | NE | NE 30 | 7 | 13 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 19 | TEN | TEN 14 | 4 | 3 | 1:02 | Punt | |
| 20 | NE | 50 | 12 | 50 | 1:45 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | TEN | TEN 22 | 14 | 72 | 7:28 | Field goal +3 | |
| 22 | NE | NE 30 | 4 | 11 | 0:25 | Interception |
7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 79 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 29/41 | 206 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -11.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 8 | 95 | 11.9 | 0 | 9.0 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 10 | 16 | 1.6 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jamycal Hasty | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Antonio Gibson | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Henry | 7 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 21% | 2.9 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 4 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 15% | 0.8 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 13% | 6.1 |
| Demario Douglas | 7 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 23% | -1.0 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 15% | -3.7 |
| Antonio Gibson | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
| Austin Hooper | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.6 |
| Jaheim Bell | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3% | -0.8 |
| Ja'Lynn Polk | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -4.4 |
| Jamycal Hasty | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 3% | -0.8 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahlani Tavai | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Ekuale | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Elliss | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marte Mapu | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dell Pettus | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anfernee Jennings | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davon Godchaux | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylinn Hawkins | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Gonzalez | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Keion White | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Tennessee Titans
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Rudolph | 20/33 | 240 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 28 | 128 | 4.6 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Julius Chestnut | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Mason Rudolph | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Tyler Boyd | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Jha'Quan Jackson | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Ridley | 5 | 8 | 73 | 0 | 30% | 2.6 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 5 | 6 | 50 | 1 | 22% | 6.3 |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 3 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 15% | -1.8 |
| Nick Vannett | 2 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 7% | 3.4 |
| Tony Pollard | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 11% | 1.0 |
| Josh Whyle | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 7% | -0.0 |
| Jha'Quan Jackson | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 7% | -0.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gibbens | 3 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Brown | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jarvis Brownlee | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenneth Murray | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Hooker | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jeffery Simmons | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrell Baker | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harold Landry | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quandre Diggs | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sebastian Joseph | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TEN -3
- Closing total
- 38.5
- NE moneyline
- +136
- TEN moneyline
- -162
Titans closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 38.5; the game landed 37 — under by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Nissan Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 75°F, wind 10 mph
- Referee
- Alex Kemp
- Rest
- NE 7 days · TEN 7 days
- Coaches
- Jerod Mayo vs Brian Callahan