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2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · MetLife Stadium

Washington CommandersWinner

27

New York Giants

22

WAS -4.5 ✓O 44.5 ✓

Washington Commanders 27–22. Biggest swing: Q1 8:23, WAS +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑WAS ↓
Q1 · 8:23WAS 0 — NYG 0NYG ball · 1st & 10WAS 60%

(8:23) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 26-D.Singletary (6-D.Fowler) [6-D.Fowler]. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 8-D.Jones sacked at WAS 39 for -10 yards (6-D.Fowle

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 8:23WAS +18% win prob(8:23) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short middle to 26-D.Singletary (6-D.Fowler) [6-D.Fowler]. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 8-D.Jones sacked at WAS 39 for -10 yards (6-D.Fowler). FUMBLES (6-D.Fowler) [6-D.Fowler], touched at WAS 37, RECOVERED by WAS-54-B.Wagner at NYG 31.
  2. Q4 · 2:54NYG +11% win prob(2:54) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep middle to 84-T.Johnson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-C.Ferrell].
  3. Q1 · 9:41NYG +6% win prob(9:41) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary right guard to WAS 39 for 15 yards (6-D.Fowler; 11-J.Chinn).
  4. Q2 · 12:25NYG +5% win prob(12:25) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 85-C.Manhertz for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:07WAS Touchdown

    (7:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 7 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 12:25NYG Touchdown

    (12:25) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 85-C.Manhertz for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 7 — NYG 7
  3. Q2 · 6:25WAS Touchdown

    (6:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 14 — NYG 7
  4. Q2 · 0:11WAS Touchdown

    (:11) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep left to 17-T.McLaurin for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: WAS 21 — NYG 7
  5. Q3 · 5:31NYG Field goal

    (5:31) 99-J.McAtamney 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-38-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: WAS 21 — NYG 10
  6. Q3 · 0:36WAS Field goal

    (:36) 3-A.Seibert 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: WAS 24 — NYG 10
  7. Q4 · 9:31NYG Touchdown

    (9:31) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: WAS 24 — NYG 16
  8. Q4 · 3:49WAS Field goal

    (3:49) 3-A.Seibert 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    Score after this play: WAS 27 — NYG 16
  9. Q4 · 2:54NYG Touchdown

    (2:54) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep middle to 84-T.Johnson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-C.Ferrell].

    Score after this play: WAS 27 — NYG 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCommandersGiants
Offensive plays5761
Total yards360 (edge)326
Yards per play6.3 (edge)5.3
Expected points added / play0.31 (edge)0.11
Success rate54% (edge)46%
Dropback rate44%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.54 (edge)-0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.130.26 (edge)
Third downs5/116/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)79 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1924 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)2
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.31 expected points added per play vs 0.11.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Jayden DanielsQB

15/22, 209 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.8 expected points added · +11.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

20/26, 174 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-2.0 expected points added · +9.0% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone TracyRB

16 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

-1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

7 att, 54 yds, 1 TD

7.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · WAS

Noah BrownWR

5/6 for 60 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

9/11 for 59 yds, 0 TD

42% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 30582:06Punt
2WASWAS 30451:19Punt
3NYGNYG 86553:20Fumble
4WASNYG 31491:11Touchdown +7
5NYGNYG 2718699:43Touchdown +7
6WASWAS 3013706:00Touchdown +7
7NYGNYG 33521:02Punt
8WASWAS 1313975:13Touchdown +7
9NYG—100:06End of half
10WASWAS 30520:56Punt
11NYGNYG 2115618:37Field goal +3
12WASWAS 3011574:54Field goal +3
13NYGNYG 2015726:08Touchdown +6
14WASWAS 3512635:39Field goal +3
15NYGNYG 266590:58Touchdown +6
16WASWAS 3010572:48End of game

9 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 97 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Washington Commanders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jayden Daniels15/222092009.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chris Rodriguez11524.703.0
Austin Ekeler11423.812.7
Jayden Daniels8354.40-2.1
Jeremy McNichols8202.50-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Noah Brown5660032%2.2
Olamide Zaccheaus2248011%2.8
Austin Ekeler3441021%3.0
Dyami Brown112405%1.3
Terry McLaurin2319216%4.0
Ben Sinnott111205%1.2
Zach Ertz11505%-0.1
Jeremy McNichols01005%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jeremy Chinn560.001
Dante Fowler332.000
Benjamin St-Juste600.000
Jer'Zhan Newton150.000
Bobby Wagner240.000
Frankie Luvu050.001
Dorance Armstrong220.000
Percy Butler220.000
Mike Sainristil400.000
Daron Payne120.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones20/26174202-2.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy16664.10-1.9
Daniel Jones7547.717.3
Devin Singletary7334.701.4
Darius Slayton11111.001.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Malik Nabers91159042%3.6
Theo Johnson3651123%1.3
Darius Slayton3349012%3.9
Wan'Dale Robinson3410015%0.5
Tyrone Tracy11304%-0.2
Chris Manhertz11214%0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Micah McFadden460.000
Bobby Okereke540.000
Dexter Lawrence150.000
Jason Pinnock320.000
Tyler Nubin140.000
Cordale Flott310.000
Brian Burns030.001
Tomon Fox120.000
Andru Phillips210.000
Azeez Ojulari110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
WAS -4.5
Closing total
44.5
WAS moneyline
-218
NYG moneyline
+180

Commanders closed -4.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 49 — over by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
52°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
WAS 7 days · NYG 6 days
Coaches
Dan Quinn vs Brian Daboll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.