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2024 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2024 · Allianz Arena

New York Giants

17

Carolina PanthersWinner

20

NYG -6.5 upsetU 40.5 ✓

Carolina Panthers 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 9:55, NYG +40% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4CAR ↑NYG ↓
OT · 9:55NYG 17 — CAR 17NYG ball · 1st & 10NYG 50%

(9:55) (Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy up the middle to NYG 24 for -2 yards (94-A.Robinson). FUMBLES (94-A.Robinson), touched at NYG 24, RECOVERED by CAR-47-J.Jewell at NYG 23.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 9:55NYG +40% win prob(9:55) (Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy up the middle to NYG 24 for -2 yards (94-A.Robinson). FUMBLES (94-A.Robinson), touched at NYG 24, RECOVERED by CAR-47-J.Jewell at NYG 23.
  2. Q4 · 8:08NYG +30% win prob(8:08) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 30-C.Hubbard to CAR 23 for 3 yards (22-A.Phillips) [93-R.Nunez-Roches]. FUMBLES (22-A.Phillips), RECOVERED by NYG-98-D.Davidson at CAR 22. CAR-30-C.Hubbard was injured during the play. Penalty on CAR-68-D.Lewis, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
  3. Q4 · 6:02NYG +27% win prob(6:02) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left intended for 29-T.Tracy INTERCEPTED by 47-J.Jewell at CAR 9. 47-J.Jewell to CAR 9 for no gain (29-T.Tracy).
  4. Q4 · 0:09CAR +16% win prob(:09) 9-G.Gano 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:54CAR Touchdown

    (7:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 0-J.Sanders for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — CAR 7
  2. Q2 · 15:00CAR Field goal

    (15:00) 4-E.Pineiro 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — CAR 10
  3. Q3 · 9:03NYG Touchdown

    (9:03) 29-T.Tracy left tackle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — CAR 10
  4. Q3 · 3:37CAR Touchdown

    (3:37) 30-C.Hubbard left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 7 — CAR 17
  5. Q4 · 8:39NYG Touchdown

    (8:39) 75-J.Ezeudu reported in as eligible. 8-D.Jones left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 14 — CAR 17
  6. Q4 · 0:09NYG Field goal

    (:09) 9-G.Gano 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — CAR 17
  7. OT · 7:56CAR Field goal

    (7:56) 4-E.Pineiro 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.

    Score after this play: NYG 17 — CAR 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsPanthers
Offensive plays7158
Total yards343 (edge)306
Yards per play4.85.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.12-0.02 (edge)
Success rate51% (edge)43%
Dropback rate56%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.24-0.18 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.020.13 (edge)
Third downs7/15 (edge)6/15
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)67 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)14
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers31 (edge)

Giants outgained Panthers 343–306 but lost the turnover battle 3–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

22/37, 190 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-10.3 expected points added · +0.7% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Bryce YoungQB

15/25, 126 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-2.4 expected points added · -5.7% completion over expected

Rushing · CAR

Chuba HubbardRB

28 att, 153 yds, 1 TD

4.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone TracyRB

18 att, 103 yds, 1 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR

5/8 for 51 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

6/10 for 50 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · -1.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CARCAR 28562:05Punt
2NYGNYG 17421:07Punt
3CARCAR 109904:00Touchdown +7
4NYGNYG 307142:09Punt
5CARCAR 910615:44Field goal +3
6NYGNYG 408353:11Missed field goal
7CARCAR 33401:18Punt
8NYGNYG 246173:26Punt
9CARCAR 10461:35Punt
10NYGNYG 368433:37Interception
11CARCAR 267271:30Punt
12NYGNYG 9100:18End of half
13NYGNYG 3512656:06Touchdown +7
14CARCAR 2012855:21Touchdown +7
15NYGNYG 265-22:01Punt
16CARCAR 47431:01Punt
17NYGNYG 414966:58Touchdown +7
18CARCAR 30220:32Fumble
19NYGCAR 224142:05Interception
20CARCAR 9481:27Punt
21NYGNYG 39461:02Punt
22CARCAR 197131:04Punt
23NYGNYG 2112552:18Field goal +3
24CAR—100:05Turnover on downs
25NYGNYG 262-20:11Fumble
26CARNYG 23451:56Field goal +3

7 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 96 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones22/37190022-10.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy181035.71-1.0
Devin Singletary8405.000.7
Daniel Jones7263.713.0
Malik Nabers1-2-2.00-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Wan'Dale Robinson5851025%2.2
Malik Nabers61050031%-1.8
Jalin Hyatt4439013%2.3
Theo Johnson4637019%-2.3
Isaiah Hodgins11703%0.4
Devin Singletary11503%0.1
Tyrone Tracy12106%-4.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tyler Nubin840.000
Bobby Okereke370.000
Brian Burns351.000
Micah McFadden340.000
Andru Phillips310.000
Rakeem Nunez-Roches130.000
Dexter Lawrence130.000
Cordale Flott210.001
Dane Belton120.000
Deonte Banks300.000

Carolina Panthers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Bryce Young15/25126101-2.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chuba Hubbard281535.514.5
Bryce Young23015.001.9
Miles Sanders252.50-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jalen Coker3841032%-2.7
Xavier Legette3440016%2.9
David Moore2418016%0.4
Chuba Hubbard4616024%-8.0
Ja'Tavion Sanders22818%2.9
Ian Thomas11304%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Xavier Woods350.011
Jaycee Horn520.001
Dane Jackson600.000
Jordan Fuller240.000
Trevin Wallace150.000
A'Shawn Robinson421.000
D.J. Wonnum321.000
Josey Jewell140.012
Shy Tuttle220.000
Jadeveon Clowney210.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -6.5
Closing total
40.5
NYG moneyline
-298
CAR moneyline
+240

Giants closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 37 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allianz Arena
Roof / surface
outdoors
Kickoff weather
—
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
NYG 7 days · CAR 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Dave Canales