2024 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2024 · AT&T Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Dallas Cowboys

PHI -7.5 ✓U 44.5 ✓DomeEagles closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Philadelphia Eagles 34–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 3:10, PHI +17% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 3:10PHI 7 — DAL 3DAL ball · 1st & 6PHI 68%

(3:10) (Shotgun) 15-E.Elliott up the middle to PHI 3 for 3 yards (53-Z.Baun; 8-C.Gardner-Johnson). FUMBLES (53-Z.Baun), RECOVERED by PHI-33-C.DeJean at PHI -8. Touchback. Penalty on DAL-87-J.Ferguson, Offensive Holding,

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 3:10PHI +17% win prob(3:10) (Shotgun) 15-E.Elliott up the middle to PHI 3 for 3 yards (53-Z.Baun; 8-C.Gardner-Johnson). FUMBLES (53-Z.Baun), RECOVERED by PHI-33-C.DeJean at PHI -8. Touchback. Penalty on DAL-87-J.Ferguson, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q2 · 2:14PHI +13% win prob(2:14) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts sacked at PHI 16 for -10 yards (11-M.Parsons). FUMBLES (11-M.Parsons) [11-M.Parsons], RECOVERED by DAL-35-M.Liufau at PHI 6. 35-M.Liufau to PHI 6 for no gain (26-S.Barkley).
Q1 · 8:57PHI +13% win prob(8:57) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 16, RECOVERED by PHI-93-M.Williams at DAL 17.
Q2 · 15:00PHI +8% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Diggs at DAL -8. Touchback.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 7:10PHI Touchdown
(7:10) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — DAL 0
Q1 · 3:14DAL Field goal
(3:14) 17-B.Aubrey 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: PHI 7 — DAL 3
Q2 · 1:51DAL Field goal
(1:51) 17-B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: PHI 7 — DAL 6
Q2 · 0:28PHI Touchdown
(:28) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 88-D.Goedert for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 14 — DAL 6
Q3 · 9:00PHI Touchdown
(9:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 89-J.Wilson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 21 — DAL 6
Q3 · 3:02PHI Touchdown
(3:02) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 28 — DAL 6
Q4 · 14:54PHI Field goal
(14:54) 4-J.Elliott 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 31 — DAL 6
Q4 · 10:36PHI Field goal
(10:36) 4-J.Elliott 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 34 — DAL 6

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Cowboys
Offensive plays	64	56
Total yards	349 (edge)	146
Yards per play	5.5 (edge)	2.6
Expected points added / play	-0.05 (edge)	-0.71
Success rate	47% (edge)	30%
Dropback rate	47%	57%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08 (edge)	-0.89
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02 (edge)	-0.47
Third downs	4/11 (edge)	3/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	2
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	9
Sacks taken	5	3 (edge)
Turnovers	2 (edge)	5

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.71.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

14/20, 202 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-4.8 expected points added · +19.4% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

13/23, 45 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-17.0 expected points added · -13.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

14 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

7 att, 56 yds, 2 TD

6.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

5/7 for 109 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

2/3 for 25 yds, 1 TD

15% of team targets · -3.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 30	5	3	1:25	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 30	7	15	4:38	Punt
3	DAL	DAL 20	1	0	0:05	Fumble
4	PHI	DAL 17	5	17	1:47	Touchdown +7
5	DAL	DAL 40	10	32	3:55	Field goal +3
6	PHI	PHI 23	7	65	3:15	Interception
7	DAL	DAL 20	4	5	2:06	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 23	6	27	3:28	Punt
9	DAL	DAL 20	13	63	6:17	Fumble
10	PHI	PHI 20	2	-19	0:56	Fumble
11	DAL	PHI 6	4	1	0:20	Field goal +3
12	PHI	PHI 16	9	84	1:25	Touchdown +7
13	DAL	DAL 30	5	0	0:22	Punt
14	PHI	PHI 13	1	0	0:01	End of half
15	PHI	PHI 37	5	1	1:12	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 11	4	3	2:06	Punt
17	PHI	DAL 37	8	32	2:50	Touchdown +7
18	DAL	DAL 30	5	5	1:39	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 17	8	83	4:17	Touchdown +7
20	DAL	DAL 30	4	-4	1:53	Fumble
21	PHI	DAL 21	4	0	1:13	Field goal +3
22	DAL	DAL 30	6	13	2:08	Fumble
23	PHI	DAL 29	4	9	2:10	Field goal +3
24	DAL	DAL 30	3	11	0:39	Interception
25	PHI	PHI 26	4	6	1:46	Punt
26	DAL	DAL 21	7	14	3:04	Punt
27	PHI	PHI 21	8	29	5:03	End of game

8 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 84 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	14/20	202	2	1	5	-4.8
Kenny Pickett	1/2	5	0	0	0	-1.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	14	66	4.7	0	0.9
Jalen Hurts	7	56	8.0	2	6.0
Will Shipley	9	34	3.8	0	0.3
Kenneth Gainwell	7	30	4.3	0	-2.6
Kenny Pickett	1	1	1.0	0	-1.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	5	7	109	0	35%	4.6
Jahan Dotson	1	1	27	0	5%	2.2
Dallas Goedert	2	3	25	1	15%	-3.2
DeVonta Smith	2	3	14	0	15%	0.6
Saquon Barkley	1	1	12	0	5%	2.4
Kenneth Gainwell	1	1	9	0	5%	0.7
Ainias Smith	2	2	6	0	10%	-0.4
Johnny Wilson	1	1	5	1	5%	2.6
Grant Calcaterra	0	1	0	0	5%	-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Zack Baun	3	5	0.0	0	0
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	2	5	0.0	1	1
Nakobe Dean	3	3	0.0	0	0
Reed Blankenship	3	1	0.0	0	0
Jalen Carter	2	2	0.5	0	1
Isaiah Rodgers	3	1	0.0	0	0
Milton Williams	2	0	1.0	0	0
Nolan Smith	1	1	0.0	0	0
Kelee Ringo	2	0	0.0	0	0
Cooper DeJean	2	0	0.0	0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cooper Rush	13/23	45	0	0	1	-17.0
Trey Lance	4/6	21	0	1	2	-5.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Rico Dowdle	12	53	4.4	-1.4
Ezekiel Elliott	6	22	3.7	-6.3
Trey Lance	3	17	5.7	0.7
CeeDee Lamb	1	3	3.0	-0.2
Cooper Rush	2	2	1.0	-4.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Jake Ferguson	4	5	24	17%	-6.9
CeeDee Lamb	6	10	21	34%	-1.1
Jalen Tolbert	3	5	14	17%	-5.9
Jalen Brooks	1	4	4	14%	-3.7
Rico Dowdle	3	3	3	10%	-1.9
Luke Schoonmaker	0	1	0	3%	-0.7
Hunter Luepke	0	1	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
DeMarvion Overshown	7	4	2.0	0
Eric Kendricks	4	4	0.0	0
Mazi Smith	2	3	0.0	0
Marist Liufau	4	1	0.0	0
Caelen Carson	4	1	0.0	2
Jourdan Lewis	2	2	0.0	0
Carlos Watkins	3	1	0.0	0
Donovan Wilson	3	0	0.0	0
Malik Hooker	2	1	0.0	0
Micah Parsons	2	0	2.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -7.5
Closing total: 44.5
PHI moneyline: -360
DAL moneyline: +285

Eagles closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 28.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 40 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: PHI 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Mike McCarthy

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.