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2024 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 10, 2024 · SoFi Stadium

Tennessee Titans

17

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

27

LAC -8 ✓O 40 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 27–17. Biggest swing: Q1 4:32, LAC +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LACTEN
Q1 · 4:32TEN 6LAC 3TEN ball · 2nd & 15LAC 76%

(4:32) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle to 0-C.Ridley for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 4:32LAC +13% win prob(4:32) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle to 0-C.Ridley for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 6:24TEN +10% win prob(6:24) 6-N.Folk 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
  3. Q2 · 2:00LAC +10% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 3:30LAC +9% win prob(3:30) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:10LAC Field goal

    (8:10) 11-C.Dicker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: TEN 0LAC 3
  2. Q1 · 4:32TEN Touchdown

    (4:32) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle to 0-C.Ridley for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 7LAC 3
  3. Q2 · 12:11LAC Field goal

    (12:11) 11-C.Dicker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: TEN 7LAC 6
  4. Q2 · 2:00LAC Touchdown

    (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 7LAC 13
  5. Q3 · 7:54TEN Field goal

    (7:54) 6-N.Folk 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

    Score after this play: TEN 10LAC 13
  6. Q3 · 3:30LAC Touchdown

    (3:30) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 1-Q.Johnston for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 10LAC 20
  7. Q4 · 7:42LAC Touchdown

    (7:42) 62-S.Mustipher reported in as eligible. 28-H.Haskins up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 10LAC 27
  8. Q4 · 0:54TEN Touchdown

    (:54) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short left to 0-C.Ridley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 17LAC 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricTitansChargers
Offensive plays5155
Total yards289311 (edge)
Yards per play5.7 (edge)5.7
Expected points added / play0.120.20 (edge)
Success rate45%49% (edge)
Dropback rate65%42%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.110.39 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.12 (edge)0.07
Third downs3/94/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1819 (edge)
Sacks taken70 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs 0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Will LevisQB

18/23, 175 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.4 expected points added · +10.9% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

14/18, 164 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

9.7 expected points added · +8.6% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Gus EdwardsRB

10 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

J.K. DobbinsRB

15 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

-3.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TEN

Calvin RidleyWR

5/9 for 84 yds, 2 TD

39% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR

3/3 for 31 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 3013636:52Field goal +3
2TENTEN 289773:43Touchdown +7
3LACLAC 30571:58Punt
4TENTEN 16421:39Punt
5LACLAC 249373:41Field goal +3
6TENTEN 2810515:48Missed field goal
7LACLAC 399614:24Touchdown +7
8TENTEN 30551:19Punt
9LACLAC 135100:32Defensive touchdown
10TENTEN 481190:04End of half
11TENTEN 3012627:09Field goal +3
12LACTEN 439434:27Touchdown +7
13TENTEN 30783:35Punt
14LACLAC 512877:10Touchdown +7
15TENTEN 31743:09Punt
16LACLAC 18431:06Punt
17TENTEN 3910612:35Touchdown +7
18LACTEN 46300:49End of game

8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Will Levis18/231752071.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyjae Spears7476.70-0.3
Tony Pollard9444.900.0
Will Levis5418.204.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Calvin Ridley5984239%5.4
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3331013%2.2
Bryce Oliver222309%1.8
Tony Pollard4419017%0.3
Chigoziem Okonkwo111404%0.9
Tyjae Spears334013%-0.5
Josh Whyle01004%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Gibbens950.000
Mike Brown530.000
Kenneth Murray330.000
Jarvis Brownlee310.000
Jeffery Simmons130.001
Roger McCreary300.001
T'Vondre Sweat120.000
Sebastian Joseph120.000
Harold Landry120.000
Amani Hooker210.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert14/181641009.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Gus Edwards10555.501.6
J.K. Dobbins15503.30-3.0
Justin Herbert9323.610.6
Derius Davis166.000.2
Hassan Haskins242.011.3
Jalen Reagor2-2-1.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Ladd McConkey2252011%3.9
Josh Palmer1236011%2.1
Will Dissly5630033%-0.5
Quentin Johnston2224111%3.6
Derius Davis111706%2.5
J.K. Dobbins335017%-0.8
Hayden Hurst01006%-1.0
Jalen Reagor01006%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Daiyan Henley1041.000
Elijah Molden440.000
Tuli Tuipulotu322.000
Cam Hart310.001
Bud Dupree312.000
Derwin James220.000
Alohi Gilman300.000
Denzel Perryman110.000
Tarheeb Still110.000
Poona Ford201.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -8
Closing total
40
TEN moneyline
+300
LAC moneyline
-380

Chargers closed -8 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 40; the game landed 44 — over by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
TEN 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Brian Callahan vs Jim Harbaugh