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2024 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 17, 2024 · SoFi Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals

27

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

34

LAC -1 ✓O 48 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 34–27. Biggest swing: Q4 1:52, CIN +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑CIN ↓
Q4 · 1:52CIN 27 — LAC 27CIN ball · 4th & 8CIN 56%

(1:52) 2-E.McPherson 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:52CIN +24% win prob(1:52) 2-E.McPherson 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
  2. Q4 · 0:31LAC +19% win prob(:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 15-L.McConkey ran ob at CIN 29 for 27 yards (22-G.Stone) [91-T.Hendrickson].
  3. Q4 · 7:35CIN +17% win prob(7:35) 2-E.McPherson 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
  4. Q4 · 0:26LAC +15% win prob(:26) 27-J.Dobbins left tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 6:31CIN Field goal

    (6:31) 2-E.McPherson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

    Score after this play: CIN 3 — LAC 0
  2. Q1 · 3:39LAC Touchdown

    (3:39) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 81-W.Dissly for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 3 — LAC 7
  3. Q2 · 12:57CIN Field goal

    (12:57) 2-E.McPherson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

    Score after this play: CIN 6 — LAC 7
  4. Q2 · 11:09LAC Touchdown

    (11:09) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 6 — LAC 14
  5. Q2 · 4:38LAC Touchdown

    (4:38) 27-J.Dobbins right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 6 — LAC 21
  6. Q2 · 0:04LAC Field goal

    (:04) 11-C.Dicker 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: CIN 6 — LAC 24
  7. Q3 · 10:34LAC Field goal

    (10:34) 11-C.Dicker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: CIN 6 — LAC 27
  8. Q3 · 5:31CIN Touchdown

    (5:31) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 1-J.Chase for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LAC-22-E.Molden was injured during the play. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 13 — LAC 27
  9. Q3 · 2:59CIN Touchdown

    (2:59) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 5-T.Higgins for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 20 — LAC 27
  10. Q4 · 12:28CIN Touchdown

    (12:28) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep left to 1-J.Chase for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-T.Tart]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 27 — LAC 27
  11. Q4 · 0:26LAC Touchdown

    (:26) 27-J.Dobbins left tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CIN 27 — LAC 34

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBengalsChargers
Offensive plays7862
Total yards452 (edge)435
Yards per play5.87.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.10 (edge)0.05
Success rate37%42% (edge)
Dropback rate71%66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.17 (edge)0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.050.04 (edge)
Third downs5/17 (edge)3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)1012 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2021 (edge)
Sacks taken32 (edge)
Turnovers11

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

28/50, 356 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

6.4 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

17/36, 297 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

2.0 expected points added · -11.7% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Chase BrownRB

22 att, 86 yds, 0 TD

0.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

5 att, 65 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Tee HigginsWR

9/13 for 148 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 13.8 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Ladd McConkeyWR

6/9 for 123 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 7.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CINCIN 357172:29Punt
2LACLAC 10482:14Punt
3CINCIN 369573:50Field goal +3
4LACLAC 307702:53Touchdown +7
5CINCIN 3412495:40Defensive touchdown +3
6LACLAC 296711:52Touchdown +7
7CINCIN 30531:34Punt
8LACLAC 3410644:53Touchdown +7
9CINCIN 30502:02Punt
10LACLAC 2111592:33Field goal +3
11LACLAC 30530:59Punt
12CINCIN 26400:38Punt
13LACLAC 417242:54Field goal +3
14CINCIN 3013675:02Touchdown +7
15LACLAC 305-121:00Punt
16CIN505501:34Touchdown +7
17LACLAC 307463:03Fumble
18CINCIN 298812:29Touchdown +7
19LACLAC 306120:35Punt
20CINCIN 1410414:15Missed field goal
21LACLAC 38462:07Punt
22CINCIN 219463:36Missed field goal
23LACLAC 41400:22Punt
24CINCIN 165140:41Punt
25LACLAC 165840:27Touchdown +7
26CINCIN 304270:18End of game

11 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 84 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Burrow28/503563036.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chase Brown22863.900.3
Joe Burrow22814.002.8
Drew Sample1-4-4.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tee Higgins913148128%13.8
Ja'Marr Chase71375228%3.8
Chase Brown5757015%1.2
Andrei Iosivas334607%2.0
Tanner Hudson221304%0.2
Drew Sample12904%0.2
Jermaine Burton14809%-4.2
Mike Gesicki02004%-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Geno Stone810.000
Germaine Pratt440.000
Logan Wilson440.000
Josh Newton310.002
Joseph Ossai121.000
Trey Hendrickson120.502
Mike Hilton120.001
Tycen Anderson200.000
Vonn Bell200.000
Jordan Battle110.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert17/362972022.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Justin Herbert56513.00-1.0
J.K. Dobbins11565.123.2
Gus Edwards6274.50-0.5
Derius Davis166.00-0.1
Hassan Haskins210.50-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Ladd McConkey69123027%7.5
Will Dissly4680118%4.4
Quentin Johnston2848124%-2.6
Josh Palmer2423012%-0.7
Derius Davis121406%0.1
Tucker Fisk12606%-0.2
J.K. Dobbins11303%-0.3
Jalen Reagor01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Daiyan Henley560.001
Derwin James730.501
Alohi Gilman420.000
Denzel Perryman320.000
Cam Hart410.002
Tarheeb Still410.001
Troy Dye130.000
Elijah Molden220.000
Tuli Tuipulotu221.500
Otito Ogbonnia120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -1
Closing total
48
CIN moneyline
-110
LAC moneyline
-110

Chargers closed -1 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 48; the game landed 61 — over by 13.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
CIN 10 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Zac Taylor vs Jim Harbaugh