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2024 Week 11 · Mon, Nov 18, 2024 · AT&T Stadium

Houston TexansWinner

34

Dallas Cowboys

10

HOU -7.5 ✓O 41.5 ✓Dome

Houston Texans 34–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:50, DAL +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑HOU ↓
Q1 · 12:50HOU 6 — DAL 0HOU ball · 1st & 10HOU 78%

(12:50) 28-J.Mixon right tackle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 12:50DAL +9% win prob(12:50) 28-J.Mixon right tackle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 12:44HOU +8% win prob(12:44) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush sacked at DAL 32 for -8 yards (95-D.Barnett). FUMBLES (95-D.Barnett), recovered by DAL-60-T.Guyton at DAL 33. 60-T.Guyton to DAL 32 for -1 yards (5-J.Pitre; 92-D.Horton). FUMBLES (5-J.Pitre), RECOVERED by HOU-95-D.Barnett at DAL 28. 95-D.Barnett for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 1:00HOU +7% win prob(1:00) 17-B.Aubrey 40 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  4. Q1 · 5:58HOU +7% win prob(5:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short left intended for 88-C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stingley at HOU 30. 24-D.Stingley pushed ob at HOU 37 for 7 yards (87-J.Ferguson).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:50HOU Touchdown

    (12:50) 28-J.Mixon right tackle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 7 — DAL 0
  2. Q1 · 0:54HOU Touchdown

    (:54) 28-J.Mixon right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 14 — DAL 0
  3. Q2 · 15:00DAL Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short right to 9-K.Turpin for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on HOU-23-E.Murray, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 14 — DAL 7
  4. Q2 · 9:13HOU Field goal

    (9:13) 15-K.Fairbairn 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: HOU 17 — DAL 7
  5. Q2 · 6:00DAL Field goal

    (6:00) 17-B.Aubrey 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: HOU 17 — DAL 10
  6. Q3 · 7:07HOU Field goal

    (7:07) 15-K.Fairbairn 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: HOU 20 — DAL 10
  7. Q4 · 12:44HOU Touchdown

    (12:44) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush sacked at DAL 32 for -8 yards (95-D.Barnett). FUMBLES (95-D.Barnett), recovered by DAL-60-T.Guyton at DAL 33. 60-T.Guyton to DAL 32 for -1 yards (5-J.Pitre; 92-D.Horton). FUMBLES (5-J.Pitre), RECOVERED by HOU-95-D.Barnett at DAL 28. 95-D.Barnett for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 27 — DAL 10
  8. Q4 · 3:19HOU Touchdown

    (3:19) 74-Z.Thomas reported in as eligible. 28-J.Mixon right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: HOU 34 — DAL 10

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricTexansCowboys
Offensive plays6079
Total yards391 (edge)388
Yards per play6.5 (edge)4.9
Expected points added / play0.19 (edge)-0.31
Success rate43% (edge)35%
Dropback rate63%78%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.19 (edge)-0.28
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.21 (edge)-0.41
Third downs4/125/15
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps1920 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)5
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Texans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

32/55, 354 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-13.7 expected points added · -12.1% completion over expected

Passing · HOU

C.J. StroudQB

23/34, 257 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

6.4 expected points added · -5.3% completion over expected

Rushing · HOU

Joe MixonRB

20 att, 109 yds, 3 TD

5.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Rico DowdleRB

10 att, 28 yds, 0 TD

-3.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

8/12 for 93 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -3.4 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Kavontae TurpinWR

3/3 for 86 yds, 1 TD

6% of team targets · 7.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1HOUHOU 238772:18Touchdown +7
2DALDAL 187192:06Turnover on downs
3HOUDAL 37472:14Interception
4DALDAL 335262:33Interception
5HOUHOU 3711585:00Touchdown +7
6DALDAL 365690:58Touchdown +7
7HOUHOU 810715:41Field goal +3
8DALDAL 309353:15Field goal +3
9HOUHOU 306192:00Punt
10DALDAL 2012482:59Missed field goal
11HOUHOU 30400:19Punt
12DALDAL 186120:37Turnover on downs
13DALDAL 30552:08Punt
14HOUHOU 2510755:47Field goal +3
15DALDAL 3014624:52Turnover on downs
16HOUHOU 87262:47Punt
17DALDAL 73311:55Defensive touchdown
18DALDAL 30641:05Punt
19HOUHOU 195241:41Punt
20DALDAL 99263:39Turnover on downs
21HOUDAL 357342:50Touchdown +7
22DALDAL 3010513:16End of game

7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 77 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Houston Texans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
C.J. Stroud23/342570116.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Joe Mixon201095.535.2
C.J. Stroud3268.700.7
Tank Dell144.00-0.3
Dameon Pierce122.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tank Dell4754021%1.8
Nico Collins4754021%-1.4
Joe Mixon2444012%4.2
John Metchie333309%2.4
Dalton Schultz5733021%-0.6
Cade Stover221506%0.6
Robert Woods221306%1.3
Dare Ogunbowale111103%0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jalen Pitre350.000
Ka'dar Hollman610.002
Azeez Al-Shaair430.000
Henry To'oTo'o610.000
Devin White210.000
Jake Hansen210.000
Denico Autry211.001
Danielle Hunter302.001
Tim Settle201.000
Jeff Okudah200.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cooper Rush32/55354115-13.7
Bryan Anger1/14000-2.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Rico Dowdle10282.80-3.2
CeeDee Lamb11313.000.7
Deuce Vaughn4133.30-3.5
Ezekiel Elliott188.000.2
Cooper Rush221.00-2.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb81293022%-3.4
Kavontae Turpin338616%7.6
Luke Schoonmaker61056019%2.7
Brevyn Spann-Ford454209%3.7
Jalen Tolbert252109%-1.6
Ryan Flournoy231906%1.2
Ezekiel Elliott331606%0.0
Jake Ferguson111102%0.6
Rico Dowdle25609%-1.6
Deuce Vaughn12404%-0.6
Juanyeh Thomas11402%-2.7
Jonathan Mingo04007%-4.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Eric Kendricks540.000
Malik Hooker250.011
Trevon Diggs600.001
Josh Butler500.001
DeMarvion Overshown410.000
Donovan Wilson230.001
Mazi Smith220.000
Israel Mukuamu220.000
Chauncey Golston120.000
Marist Liufau120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
HOU -7.5
Closing total
41.5
HOU moneyline
-360
DAL moneyline
+285

Texans closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 44 — over by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
HOU 8 days · DAL 8 days
Coaches
DeMeco Ryans vs Mike McCarthy