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2024 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 17, 2024 · Ford Field

Jacksonville Jaguars

6

Detroit LionsWinner

52

DET -14 ✓O 47.5 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 52–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 9:36, DET +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑JAX ↓
Q1 · 9:36JAX 3 — DET 0DET ball · 1st & 10DET 82%

(9:36) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 84-S.Zylstra pushed ob at JAX 48 for 22 yards (5-A.Cisco).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 9:36DET +7% win prob(9:36) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 84-S.Zylstra pushed ob at JAX 48 for 22 yards (5-A.Cisco).
  2. Q1 · 9:39DET +4% win prob(9:39) 39-C.Little 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  3. Q1 · 12:20DET +4% win prob(12:20) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 85-B.Strange to DET 47 for 6 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 32-B.Branch).
  4. Q1 · 11:06JAX +3% win prob(11:06) 2-D.Johnson right tackle to DET 45 for no gain (44-M.Rodriguez).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:39JAX Field goal

    (9:39) 39-C.Little 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 0
  2. Q1 · 5:02DET Touchdown

    (5:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 7
  3. Q2 · 12:32DET Touchdown

    (12:32) 26-J.Gibbs up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 14
  4. Q2 · 6:44DET Touchdown

    (6:44) (Shotgun) 5-D.Montgomery up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 21
  5. Q2 · 2:53DET Touchdown

    (2:53) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 3 — DET 28
  6. Q2 · 0:03JAX Field goal

    (:03) 39-C.Little 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. PENALTY on DET-54-A.McNeill, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 28
  7. Q3 · 13:05DET Touchdown

    (13:05) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 9-J.Williams for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 35
  8. Q3 · 4:21DET Touchdown

    (4:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 89-B.Wright for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 42
  9. Q4 · 13:27DET Touchdown

    (13:27) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 49
  10. Q4 · 7:53DET Field goal

    (7:53) 39-J.Bates 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: JAX 6 — DET 52

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJaguarsLions
Offensive plays4774
Total yards170647 (edge)
Yards per play3.68.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.370.57 (edge)
Success rate30%68% (edge)
Dropback rate66%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.421.01 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.290.13 (edge)
Third downs2/106/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)314 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps936 (edge)
Sacks taken10 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.57 expected points added per play vs -0.37.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

24/29, 412 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

33.0 expected points added · +18.5% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Mac JonesQB

17/29, 138 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-11.9 expected points added · -3.8% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

David MontgomeryRB

15 att, 75 yds, 2 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

11 att, 69 yds, 1 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

11/11 for 161 yds, 2 TD

35% of team targets · 17.7 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Jameson WilliamsWR

4/6 for 124 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 6.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1JAXJAX 3110295:24Field goal +3
2DETDET 3011654:37Touchdown +7
3JAXJAX 30582:06Punt
4DETDET 714935:27Touchdown +7
5JAXJAX 305-21:35Punt
6DETDET 369644:12Touchdown +7
7JAXJAX 307111:41Punt
8DETDET 165842:12Touchdown +7
9JAXJAX 3012582:46Field goal +3
10DETDET 206802:05Touchdown +7
11JAXJAX 30510:50Punt
12DETDET 1715937:49Touchdown +7
13JAXJAX 305321:58Interception
14DETDET 410963:55Touchdown +7
15JAXJAX 309303:30Turnover on downs
16DETDET 415232:04Field goal +3
17JAXJAX 30531:04Punt
18DETDET 2611496:45End of game

10 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 96 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Mac Jones17/29138011-11.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Travis Etienne12272.30-5.0
Mac Jones273.500.5
Brian Thomas144.00-0.1
D'Ernest Johnson231.50-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brian Thomas5782025%3.4
Evan Engram5728025%0.3
Parker Washington1310011%-2.3
Travis Etienne336011%-1.4
Brenton Strange11604%0.7
Luke Farrell12307%-4.8
Gabe Davis133011%-2.1
Devin Duvernay02007%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Foyesade Oluokun530.000
Tyson Campbell430.000
Ventrell Miller430.000
Montaric Brown230.000
Darnell Savage320.000
Ronald Darby400.001
Devin Lloyd220.000
Antonio Johnson220.000
Andre Cisco300.000
Travon Walker120.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff24/2941240033.0
Hendon Hooker3/4370003.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
David Montgomery15755.022.5
Jahmyr Gibbs11696.311.8
Jared Goff4215.303.5
Craig Reynolds22110.500.6
Sione Vaki591.80-2.5
Hendon Hooker430.80-3.0
Jameson Williams122.00-0.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown1-4-4.00-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown1111161235%17.7
Jameson Williams46124119%6.8
Jahmyr Gibbs115403%3.3
Kalif Raymond223006%2.7
Tim Patrick3426013%2.8
Shane Zylstra112203%1.2
David Montgomery3320010%1.2
Allen Robinson12706%0.9
Brock Wright11513%1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Campbell360.500
Brian Branch520.000
Amik Robertson210.000
Carlton Davis210.000
Alex Anzalone120.000
Malcolm Rodriguez120.000
Kerby Joseph210.011
Kindle Vildor200.000
Alim McNeill110.000
Ben Niemann110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -14
Closing total
47.5
JAX moneyline
+650
DET moneyline
-1000

Lions closed -14 and covered, winning by 46.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 58 — over by 10.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
JAX 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Dan Campbell