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2024 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 17, 2024 · Gillette Stadium

Los Angeles RamsWinner

28

New England Patriots

22

LA -4 ✓O 42.5 ✓

Los Angeles Rams 28–22. Biggest swing: Q3 14:19, NE +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NELA
Q3 · 14:19LA 20NE 10LA ball · 2nd & 9LA 75%

(14:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 10-C.Kupp for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 14:19NE +15% win prob(14:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 10-C.Kupp for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 5:56LA +13% win prob(5:56) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 20 for -7 yards (55-B.Fiske). FUMBLES (55-B.Fiske) [55-B.Fiske], RECOVERED by LA-91-K.Turner at NE 12. 91-K.Turner to NE 12 for no gain (77-B.Brown). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  3. Q2 · 0:03LA +11% win prob(:03) 16-J.Karty 26 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
  4. Q2 · 7:22NE +8% win prob(7:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:08NE Touchdown

    (5:08) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 84-K.Bourne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0NE 7
  2. Q2 · 7:22LA Touchdown

    (7:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7NE 7
  3. Q2 · 5:49LA Touchdown

    (5:49) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-P.Nacua for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LA-17-P.Nacua was injured during the play. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 14NE 7
  4. Q2 · 1:55NE Field goal

    (1:55) 13-J.Slye 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.

    Score after this play: LA 14NE 10
  5. Q3 · 14:19LA Touchdown

    (14:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 10-C.Kupp for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 21NE 10
  6. Q3 · 7:05NE Field goal

    (7:05) 13-J.Slye 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.

    Score after this play: LA 21NE 13
  7. Q3 · 3:35LA Touchdown

    (3:35) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 86-C.Parkinson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 28NE 13
  8. Q4 · 12:49NE Touchdown

    (12:49) 59-V.Lowe reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short left to 59-V.Lowe for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 28NE 19
  9. Q4 · 4:57NE Field goal

    (4:57) 13-J.Slye 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.

    Score after this play: LA 28NE 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsPatriots
Offensive plays4872
Total yards405 (edge)382
Yards per play8.4 (edge)5.3
Expected points added / play0.40 (edge)0.10
Success rate52% (edge)51%
Dropback rate56%63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.59 (edge)0.29
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.16 (edge)-0.21
Third downs2/76/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps1822 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)3
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.40 expected points added per play vs 0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

18/27, 295 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

16.0 expected points added · +10.0% completion over expected

Passing · NE

Drake MayeQB

29/39, 282 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

11.1 expected points added · +8.9% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

15 att, 86 yds, 0 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Rhamondre StevensonRB

20 att, 73 yds, 0 TD

-6.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

7/9 for 123 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

6/10 for 106 yds, 2 TD

37% of team targets · 3.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NENE 458273:27Punt
2LALA 126452:54Punt
3NENE 238773:34Touchdown +7
4LALA 276242:14Punt
5NENE 1111575:28Punt
6LALA 2010805:05Touchdown +7
7NENE 204-81:29Fumble
8LANE 122120:04Touchdown +7
9NENE 3010423:53Field goal +3
10LALA 3012621:52Missed field goal
11LALA 304700:50Touchdown +7
12NENE 3014627:08Field goal +3
13LALA 289723:32Touchdown +7
14NENE 3011405:45Touchdown +6
15LALA 34551:42Punt
16NENE 1113706:09Field goal +3
17LALA 309352:40Punt
18NENE 105150:27Interception
19LANE 43301:47End of game

9 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 80 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford18/2729540016.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams15865.702.4
Blake Corum5214.200.5
Matthew Stafford400.00-0.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua79123133%8.6
Cooper Kupp610106237%3.9
Tutu Atwell122107%1.2
Colby Parkinson111914%2.4
Demarcus Robinson2419015%-0.5
Blake Corum11704%0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quentin Lake640.001
Christian Rozeboom270.000
Kobie Turner340.001
Kamren Kinchens520.011
Jared Verse140.000
Darious Williams320.000
Michael Hoecht140.001
Omar Speights310.000
Jaylen McCollough220.000
Kamren Curl310.002

New England Patriots

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Drake Maye29/3928221311.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Rhamondre Stevenson20733.60-6.0
Drake Maye3279.001.8
Antonio Gibson4184.500.5
Marcus Jones155.000.0
Jamycal Hasty221.00-0.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Kendrick Bourne5570114%5.9
Hunter Henry6963024%5.3
Demario Douglas4659016%2.1
Austin Hooper4435011%0.9
Kayshon Boutte4633016%1.0
Rhamondre Stevenson4416011%4.3
Vederian Lowe11413%1.4
Antonio Gibson11203%-0.3
Jaheim Bell01003%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Marcus Jones630.000
Jahlani Tavai330.000
Daniel Ekuale140.000
Christian Elliss220.000
Christian Gonzalez400.000
Keion White020.001
Dell Pettus110.000
Anfernee Jennings110.000
Christian Barmore100.000
Ben Brown100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -4
Closing total
42.5
LA moneyline
-198
NE moneyline
+164

Rams closed -4 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 50 — over by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Gillette Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
59°F, wind 9 mph
Referee
Shawn Smith
Rest
LA 6 days · NE 7 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Jerod Mayo