2024 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 17, 2024 · Nissan Stadium

Minnesota VikingsWinner

Tennessee Titans

MIN -6 ✓U 40 ✓Vikings closed -6 and covered, winning by 10.

Minnesota Vikings 23–13. Biggest swing: Q1 10:31, MIN +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 10:31MIN 0 — TEN 0MIN ball · 1st & 10MIN 81%

(10:31) 14-S.Darnold FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 42, touched at TEN 43, RECOVERED by TEN-98-J.Simmons at TEN 45.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 10:31MIN +12% win prob(10:31) 14-S.Darnold FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 42, touched at TEN 43, RECOVERED by TEN-98-J.Simmons at TEN 45.
Q3 · 7:12TEN +10% win prob(7:12) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 3:25TEN +10% win prob(3:25) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 3-J.Addison for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 14:16TEN +8% win prob(14:16) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short right to 85-C.Okonkwo pushed ob at TEN 35 for 12 yards (2-S.Gilmore) [91-P.Jones].

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 4:42TEN Field goal
(4:42) 6-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: MIN 0 — TEN 3
Q1 · 3:25MIN Touchdown
(3:25) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 3-J.Addison for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 7 — TEN 3
Q2 · 7:43MIN Touchdown
(7:43) 14-S.Darnold up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: MIN 13 — TEN 3
Q2 · 1:45MIN Field goal
(1:45) 96-J.Romo 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.McQuaide, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: MIN 16 — TEN 3
Q3 · 7:12TEN Touchdown
(7:12) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 16 — TEN 10
Q3 · 3:19MIN Touchdown
(3:19) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 27-C.Akers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIN 23 — TEN 10
Q4 · 14:12TEN Field goal
(14:12) 6-N.Folk 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: MIN 23 — TEN 13

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Vikings	Titans
Offensive plays	66	55
Total yards	319 (edge)	294
Yards per play	4.8	5.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.05 (edge)	-0.14
Success rate	38% (edge)	27%
Dropback rate	56%	69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.23 (edge)	0.06
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.42 (edge)	-0.59
Third downs	5/14	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	5
First downs gained on snaps	17 (edge)	11
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	5
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.14.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Will LevisQB

17/31, 295 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.9 expected points added · -4.8% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Sam DarnoldQB

20/32, 246 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.4 expected points added · +3.8% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Aaron JonesRB

15 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

-4.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIN

Cam AkersRB

10 att, 25 yds, 0 TD

-2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TEN

Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR

2/6 for 117 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · MIN

Justin JeffersonWR

6/8 for 81 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TEN	TEN 25	8	9	3:42	Punt
2	MIN	MIN 39	3	10	0:56	Fumble
3	TEN	TEN 45	11	44	5:43	Field goal +3
4	MIN	MIN 30	5	54	1:23	Touchdown +7
5	TEN	TEN 30	7	19	2:29	Punt
6	MIN	MIN 11	17	84	8:07	Touchdown +6
7	TEN	TEN 30	5	6	1:32	Punt
8	MIN	MIN 38	11	45	4:27	Field goal +3
9	TEN	TEN 30	8	8	1:19	Punt
10	MIN	MIN 20	1	0	0:22	End of half
11	MIN	MIN 30	5	4	1:46	Punt
12	TEN	TEN 20	4	7	2:08	Punt
13	MIN	MIN 34	6	17	2:36	Punt
14	TEN	TEN 2	4	98	1:30	Touchdown +7
15	MIN	MIN 35	9	60	3:45	Touchdown +7
16	TEN	TEN 30	9	55	4:07	Field goal +3
17	MIN	MIN 30	10	24	3:30	Punt
18	TEN	TEN 41	5	10	2:06	Turnover on downs
19	MIN	MIN 49	6	9	3:23	Fumble
20	TEN	TEN 19	6	38	2:46	Turnover on downs
21	MIN	MIN 48	4	6	0:26	Punt
22	TEN	TEN 16	1	0	0:07	Interception
23	MIN	MIN 34	3	6	1:50	End of game

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 98 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Darnold	20/32	246	2	0	2	7.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Aaron Jones	15	39	2.6	0	-4.8
Cam Akers	10	25	2.5	0	-2.8
Sam Darnold	8	18	2.3	1	-3.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Justin Jefferson	6	8	81	0	27%	6.4
Jordan Addison	3	8	61	1	27%	0.4
Josh Oliver	3	3	34	0	10%	1.9
Trent Sherfield	1	1	16	0	3%	2.2
T.J. Hockenson	2	3	13	0	10%	1.3
Brandon Powell	1	1	13	0	3%	1.4
Johnny Mundt	1	1	13	0	3%	1.1
Cam Akers	2	2	11	1	7%	1.5
Aaron Jones	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1
Jalen Nailor	0	2	0	0	7%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Andrew Van Ginkel	6	1	2.0	0	0
Jonathan Greenard	4	1	0.0	0	0
Patrick Jones	3	1	2.0	0	0
Byron Murphy	2	2	0.0	0	0
Blake Cashman	2	2	1.0	0	0
Josh Metellus	2	1	0.0	0	0
Stephon Gilmore	3	0	0.0	0	0
Camryn Bynum	1	1	0.0	0	0
Bo Richter	2	0	0.0	0	0
Harrison Smith	2	0	0.0	1	2

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Will Levis	17/31	295	1	1	5	1.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Will Levis	7	18	2.6	-2.1
Tony Pollard	9	15	1.7	-5.3
Tyjae Spears	3	0	0.0	-2.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	2	6	117	1	21%	7.1
Calvin Ridley	4	6	58	0	21%	2.3
Tyler Boyd	2	3	34	0	10%	-0.8
Bryce Oliver	1	1	33	0	3%	3.7
Chigoziem Okonkwo	2	4	19	0	14%	1.2
Tony Pollard	2	4	14	0	14%	-1.0
Tyjae Spears	2	3	8	0	10%	-1.4
Josh Whyle	1	1	6	0	3%	0.0
Nick Vannett	1	1	6	0	3%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Kenneth Murray	5	5	1.0	0
Jerome Baker	3	4	0.0	0
Harold Landry	2	4	0.0	0
Darrell Baker	4	1	0.0	2
T'Vondre Sweat	4	1	0.0	0
Arden Key	5	0	1.0	0
Amani Hooker	2	2	0.0	0
Jeffery Simmons	4	0	0.0	0
Mike Brown	2	1	0.0	0
Roger McCreary	3	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIN -6
Closing total: 40
MIN moneyline: -290
TEN moneyline: +235

Vikings closed -6 and covered, winning by 10.

Total closed 40; the game landed 36 — under by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 66°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: MIN 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches: Kevin O'Connell vs Brian Callahan