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2024 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2024 · Lumen Field

Arizona Cardinals

6

Seattle SeahawksWinner

16

ARI -1 upsetU 46.5 ✓

Seattle Seahawks 16–6. Biggest swing: Q3 7:25, ARI +26% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SEAARI
Q3 · 7:25ARI 3SEA 13ARI ball · 4th & 1SEA 55%

(7:25) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 8-C.Bryant at SEA 31. 8-C.Bryant for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SEA-21-D.Witherspoon, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between d

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 7:25ARI +26% win prob(7:25) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 8-C.Bryant at SEA 31. 8-C.Bryant for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SEA-21-D.Witherspoon, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  2. Q2 · 2:37SEA +16% win prob(2:37) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to ARI 4 for 46 yards (21-G.Williams).
  3. Q4 · 11:28SEA +10% win prob(11:28) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 14-Mi.Wilson to SEA 10 for 30 yards (27-T.Woolen). SEA-27-T.Woolen was injured during the play.
  4. Q2 · 1:07ARI +8% win prob(1:07) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked at ARI 12 for -8 yards (sack split by 99-L.Williams and 90-Ja.Reed).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 9:47ARI Field goal

    (9:47) 38-C.Ryland 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 3SEA 0
  2. Q2 · 1:17SEA Touchdown

    (1:17) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 3SEA 7
  3. Q3 · 7:25SEA Touchdown

    (7:25) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 8-C.Bryant at SEA 31. 8-C.Bryant for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SEA-21-D.Witherspoon, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: ARI 3SEA 13
  4. Q4 · 10:11ARI Field goal

    (10:11) 38-C.Ryland 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 6SEA 13
  5. Q4 · 2:00SEA Field goal

    (2:00) 5-J.Myers 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson. ** Injury Update: ARI-98-R.Lopez has returned to the game.

    Score after this play: ARI 6SEA 16

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCardinalsSeahawks
Offensive plays5659
Total yards298 (edge)287
Yards per play5.3 (edge)4.9
Expected points added / play-0.18-0.07 (edge)
Success rate36%39% (edge)
Dropback rate77%63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.130.05 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.37-0.26 (edge)
Third downs3/127/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)55
First downs gained on snaps1616
Sacks taken55
Turnovers21 (edge)

Cardinals outgained Seahawks 298–287 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

24/37, 285 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-5.3 expected points added · +3.2% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

22/31, 254 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.1 expected points added · +8.9% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth WalkerRB

16 att, 41 yds, 0 TD

-4.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Zach CharbonnetRB

6 att, 22 yds, 0 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Trey McBrideTE

12/15 for 133 yds, 0 TD

44% of team targets · 6.2 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR

6/7 for 77 yds, 1 TD

25% of team targets · 8.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 33612:51Punt
2SEASEA 157253:37Punt
3ARIARI 97263:23Punt
4SEASEA 165173:03Punt
5ARIARI 207333:01Defensive touchdown
6SEASEA 13421:27Punt
7ARI506432:55Field goal +3
8SEASEA 309284:01Punt
9ARIARI 6411:03Punt
10SEASEA 398613:25Touchdown +7
11ARIARI 20560:35Punt
12SEASEA 255130:39End of half
13SEASEA 30793:31Punt
14ARIARI 188524:17Defensive touchdown
15ARIARI 386-12:14Punt
16SEASEA 911735:07Interception
17ARIARI 2011764:43Field goal +3
18SEASEA 1914598:12Field goal +3
19ARIARI 209611:45Missed field goal
20SEASEA 37100:11End of game

4 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 76 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyler Murray24/37285015-5.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Trey Benson4184.50-0.3
Emari Demercado11414.00-0.0
Kyler Murray294.50-0.5
James Conner781.10-4.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Trey McBride1215133044%6.2
Michael Wilson2454012%-5.1
Marvin Harrison3647018%3.5
James Conner5541015%0.6
Greg Dortch12506%-1.1
Elijah Higgins12506%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith22/312541152.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker16412.60-4.6
Zach Charbonnet6223.70-1.0
Geno Smith320.70-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba6777125%8.3
DK Metcalf4559018%4.4
Kenneth Walker4652021%2.0
Tyler Lockett2320011%-2.3
Pharaoh Brown221907%1.2
A.J. Barner3419014%0.6
Jake Bobo11804%0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ernest Jones550.000
Tyrice Knight541.000
Coby Bryant600.011
Leonard Williams332.501
Tariq Woolen400.001
Devon Witherspoon400.000
Jarran Reed120.500
Boye Mafe111.000
Julian Love200.002
Dareke Young100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ARI -1
Closing total
46.5
ARI moneyline
-115
SEA moneyline
-105

Cardinals closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 22 — under by 24.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lumen Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
45°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
ARI 14 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches
Jonathan Gannon vs Mike Macdonald

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.