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2024 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2024 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Detroit LionsWinner

24

Indianapolis Colts

6

DET -7 ✓U 50.5 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 24–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:32, DET +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3IND ↑DET ↓
Q1 · 5:32DET 0 — IND 3DET ball · 3rd & 3DET 77%

(5:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at IND 46 for -9 yards (99-D.Buckner).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 5:32DET +8% win prob(5:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at IND 46 for -9 yards (99-D.Buckner).
  2. Q2 · 9:49IND +7% win prob(9:49) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass deep left to 14-A.Pierce to DET 11 for 39 yards (29-K.Vildor).
  3. Q1 · 11:06IND +7% win prob(11:06) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson left guard to DET 12 for 17 yards (31-K.Joseph; 46-J.Campbell).
  4. Q1 · 0:38IND +6% win prob(:38) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 17-T.Patrick pushed ob at IND 33 for 27 yards (44-Z.Franklin).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:56IND Field goal

    (8:56) 7-M.Gay 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.

    Score after this play: DET 0 — IND 3
  2. Q2 · 12:11DET Touchdown

    (12:11) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 7 — IND 3
  3. Q2 · 8:19IND Field goal

    (8:19) 7-M.Gay 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.

    Score after this play: DET 7 — IND 6
  4. Q2 · 3:40DET Touchdown

    (3:40) (Shotgun) 5-D.Montgomery left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 14 — IND 6
  5. Q3 · 2:24DET Touchdown

    (2:24) (Shotgun) 26-J.Gibbs right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-26-J.Gibbs, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 21 — IND 6
  6. Q4 · 6:25DET Field goal

    (6:25) 39-J.Bates 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DET 24 — IND 6

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricLionsColts
Offensive plays7148
Total yards391 (edge)270
Yards per play5.55.6 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.15 (edge)-0.14
Success rate52% (edge)33%
Dropback rate56%63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.21 (edge)-0.15
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.08 (edge)-0.12
Third downs9/15 (edge)3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)68 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps25 (edge)10
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers00

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.15 expected points added per play vs -0.14.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

26/36, 269 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

9.3 expected points added · +7.1% completion over expected

Passing · IND

Anthony RichardsonQB

11/28, 172 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-2.6 expected points added · -14.4% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

21 att, 90 yds, 2 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Anthony RichardsonQB

10 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · IND

Michael PittmanWR

6/7 for 96 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Jameson WilliamsWR

5/7 for 64 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1INDIND 3012666:07Field goal +3
2DETDET 309244:14Punt
3INDIND 107153:20Punt
4DETDET 4010584:12Touchdown +7
5INDIND 2410653:51Field goal +3
6DETDET 3011704:42Touchdown +7
7INDIND 306301:49Punt
8DETDET 106181:33Punt
9INDIND 19100:12End of half
10DETDET 3012545:07Turnover on downs
11INDIND 165382:12Punt
12DETDET 2111765:22Touchdown +7
13INDIND 306192:07Punt
14DETDET 126191:51Punt
15INDIND 15400:28Punt
16DETDET 45421:31Punt
17INDIND 13461:14Punt
18DETDET 467213:47Field goal +3
19INDIND 307311:39Turnover on downs
20DETDET 247494:42End of game

6 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 76 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff26/362690039.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jahmyr Gibbs21904.323.0
David Montgomery8374.61-1.1
Craig Reynolds166.000.4
Jameson Williams144.000.1
Jared Goff200.00-4.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jameson Williams5764021%3.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown6762021%6.0
Tim Patrick4455012%4.7
David Montgomery333609%2.4
Brock Wright222406%2.3
Sam LaPorta3619018%-2.1
Jahmyr Gibbs33909%0.5
Kalif Raymond01003%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jack Campbell440.002
Malcolm Rodriguez610.000
Kerby Joseph220.000
Brian Branch310.000
Kindle Vildor210.000
Josh Paschal120.000
Amik Robertson200.000
Ezekiel Turner200.000
Khalil Dorsey100.000
Alim McNeill100.000

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Anthony Richardson11/28172000-2.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Anthony Richardson10616.10-0.9
Jonathan Taylor11353.20-3.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Michael Pittman6796028%6.4
Alec Pierce1439016%-0.4
Josh Downs3727028%-0.7
Adonai Mitchell1310012%-1.4
Ashton Dulin01004%-0.6
Kylen Granson02008%-1.5
Andrew Ogletree01004%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zaire Franklin851.000
Nick Cross580.000
E.J. Speed650.000
Samuel Womack250.001
DeForest Buckner151.000
Julian Blackmon220.001
Laiatu Latu221.000
Kwity Paye300.000
Kenny Moore120.000
Jaylon Jones120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -7
Closing total
50.5
DET moneyline
-375
IND moneyline
+295

Lions closed -7 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 30 — under by 20.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lucas Oil Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
DET 7 days · IND 7 days
Coaches
Dan Campbell vs Shane Steichen