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2024 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 24, 2024 · MetLife Stadium

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

30

New York Giants

7

TB -6.5 ✓U 40.5 ✓

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 7:27, NYG +4% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑TB ↓
Q1 · 7:27TB 0 — NYG 0TB ball · 1st & 10TB 81%

(7:27) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving to NYG 1 for 14 yards (31-T.Nubin; 27-J.Pinnock).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 7:27NYG +4% win prob(7:27) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 7-B.Irving to NYG 1 for 14 yards (31-T.Nubin; 27-J.Pinnock).
  2. Q1 · 9:35NYG +4% win prob(9:35) (Shotgun) 44-S.Tucker left guard to NYG 25 for 3 yards (58-B.Okereke).
  3. Q2 · 12:03TB +3% win prob(12:03) (Shotgun) 15-T.DeVito sacked at NYG 24 for -6 yards (98-A.Nelson).
  4. Q1 · 0:07TB +3% win prob(:07) 17-W.Robinson left tackle to NYG 37 for no gain (0-Y.Diaby, 54-L.David).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 6:39TB Touchdown

    (6:39) 70-R.Hainsey and 50-V.Vea reported in as eligible. 44-S.Tucker left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TB 7 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 12:06TB Field goal

    (12:06) 4-C.McLaughlin 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-16-T.Gill.

    Score after this play: TB 10 — NYG 0
  3. Q2 · 6:26TB Touchdown

    (6:26) 7-B.Irving up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TB 17 — NYG 0
  4. Q2 · 0:20TB Touchdown

    (:20) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: TB 23 — NYG 0
  5. Q3 · 3:49TB Touchdown

    (3:49) 1-R.White right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TB 30 — NYG 0
  6. Q4 · 11:30NYG Touchdown

    (11:30) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TB 30 — NYG 7

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBuccaneersGiants
Offensive plays6255
Total yards451 (edge)246
Yards per play7.3 (edge)4.5
Expected points added / play0.26 (edge)-0.25
Success rate50% (edge)38%
Dropback rate52%73%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.69 (edge)-0.12
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.19 (edge)-0.62
Third downs6/11 (edge)5/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)16
Sacks taken0 (edge)4
Turnovers11

Buccaneers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.25.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TB

Baker MayfieldQB

24/30, 294 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

16.7 expected points added · +12.6% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Tommy DeVitoQB

21/31, 189 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-6.3 expected points added · +2.8% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

Bucky IrvingRB

12 att, 88 yds, 1 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tyrone TracyRB

9 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

-3.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TB

Mike EvansWR

5/6 for 68 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

6/9 for 64 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 2.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1TBTB 3016708:23Touchdown +7
2NYGNYG 306112:56Punt
3TBTB 165172:10Punt
4NYGNYG 28491:30Turnover on downs
5TBNYG 376352:58Field goal +3
6NYGNYG 305-11:59Punt
7TBTB 188873:41Touchdown +7
8NYGNYG 308273:26Punt
9TBTB 1410812:45Touchdown +6
10NYGNYG 30200:12End of half
11NYGNYG 3010654:05Fumble
12TBTB 513787:10Touchdown +7
13NYGNYG 3215787:17Touchdown +7
14TBTB 25682:25Fumble
15NYGNYG 356141:38Turnover on downs
16TBNYG 49462:13Punt
17NYGNYG 10411:47Punt
18TBNYG 39492:14Turnover on downs
19NYGNYG 307421:11End of game

6 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Baker Mayfield24/3029400016.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Bucky Irving12887.313.0
Rachaad White12373.11-3.3
Baker Mayfield4297.311.2
Sean Tucker430.81-1.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mike Evans5668020%4.0
Bucky Irving6664020%4.0
Rakim Jarrett113003%2.7
Cade Otton1330010%0.8
Payne Durham112603%1.6
Trey Palmer111803%1.6
Sterling Shepard5716023%-2.4
Ryan Miller111403%2.4
Jalen McMillan121107%1.2
Rachaad White111003%0.4
Sean Tucker11703%0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Christian Izien550.000
Zyon McCollum430.000
Antoine Winfield231.001
Jordan Whitehead500.000
Lavonte David230.001
Anthony Nelson231.000
K.J. Britt110.000
Vita Vea201.000
Calijah Kancey201.000
YaYa Diaby200.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tommy DeVito21/31189004-6.3
Drew Lock1/13000-0.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrone Tracy9424.70-3.8
Tommy DeVito7324.600.7
Devin Singletary231.510.0
Wan'Dale Robinson100.00-3.5
Eric Gray1-1-1.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Malik Nabers6964030%2.7
Wan'Dale Robinson5547017%2.6
Theo Johnson3639020%-0.6
Tyrone Tracy4428013%0.3
Devin Singletary22707%-0.4
Eric Gray22707%-0.9
Darius Slayton02007%-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tyler Nubin570.001
Micah McFadden650.000
Bobby Okereke340.000
Andru Phillips340.000
Jason Pinnock230.000
Deonte Banks310.001
Brian Burns120.000
Isaiah Simmons200.000
D.J. Davidson200.000
Darius Muasau110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
TB -6.5
Closing total
40.5
TB moneyline
-298
NYG moneyline
+240

Buccaneers closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 37 — under by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
50°F, wind 13 mph
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
TB 14 days · NYG 14 days
Coaches
Todd Bowles vs Brian Daboll