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2024 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2024 · U.S. Bank Stadium
22
23
Minnesota Vikings 23–22 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 2:10, MIN +23% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(2:10) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 18-J.Jefferson to ARI 21 for 12 yards (53-B.Browning) [54-X.Thomas].
How the points landed
(9:05) 38-C.Ryland 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 3 — MIN 0(4:44) 96-J.Romo 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.McQuaide, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: ARI 3 — MIN 3(6:05) 38-C.Ryland 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 6 — MIN 3(1:16) 96-J.Romo 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.McQuaide, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: ARI 6 — MIN 6(:02) 38-C.Ryland 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 9 — MIN 6(8:38) 38-C.Ryland 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 12 — MIN 6(4:43) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 18-M.Harrison for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 19 — MIN 6(1:24) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 86-J.Mundt for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 19 — MIN 13(11:11) 96-J.Romo 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.McQuaide, Holder-17-R.Wright.
Score after this play: ARI 19 — MIN 16(3:23) 38-C.Ryland 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 22 — MIN 16(1:18) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 33-A.Jones for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 22 — MIN 23Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Cardinals | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 76 | 50 |
| Total yards | 406 (edge) | 274 |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 5.5 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.04 (edge) | -0.07 |
| Success rate | 47% | 52% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 66% | 78% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.06 (edge) | -0.08 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.00 (edge) | -0.02 |
| Third downs | 5/13 (edge) | 1/8 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Cardinals outgained Vikings 406–274 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · ARI
31/45, 260 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
0.9 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected
Passing · MIN
21/31, 235 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
1.1 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected
Receiving · MIN
7/9 for 99 yds, 0 TD
30% of team targets · 6.7 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | ARI 30 | 12 | 57 | 5:58 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 30 | 10 | 40 | 4:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | ARI | ARI 25 | 8 | 19 | 3:18 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 14 | 1 | 5 | 0:09 | Fumble | |
| 5 | ARI | MIN 19 | 4 | 2 | 1:57 | Missed field goal | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 35 | 4 | -3 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 7 | ARI | ARI 16 | 11 | 91 | 6:09 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 30 | 10 | 33 | 4:49 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | ARI | ARI 30 | 13 | 59 | 1:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 30 | 7 | 17 | 1:32 | Missed field goal | |
| 11 | ARI | ARI 33 | 10 | 32 | 4:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 30 | 5 | -5 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 13 | ARI | ARI 27 | 6 | 45 | 2:22 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 30 | 8 | 70 | 3:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | ARI | ARI 30 | 5 | 15 | 1:30 | Interception | |
| 16 | MIN | MIN 32 | 9 | 55 | 3:39 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | ARI | ARI 30 | 17 | 86 | 7:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | MIN | MIN 30 | 10 | 62 | 2:07 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | ARI | ARI 30 | 5 | 0 | 0:40 | Interception | |
| 20 | MIN | MIN 45 | 1 | 0 | 0:33 | End of game |
11 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 91 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 31/45 | 260 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Conner | 17 | 68 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kyler Murray | 7 | 48 | 6.9 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Trey Benson | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Emari Demercado | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Greg Dortch | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride | 12 | 12 | 96 | 0 | 28% | 4.4 |
| Marvin Harrison | 5 | 12 | 60 | 1 | 28% | 1.1 |
| Michael Wilson | 5 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Wilson | 6 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Budda Baker | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyzir White | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | 21/31 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Vikings closed -3.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 45 — under by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
| 0.0 |
| Elijah Higgins | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 5% | 1.0 |
| James Conner | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 9% | -1.4 |
| Tip Reiman | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2% | 0.9 |
| Emari Demercado | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5% | -0.8 |
| Greg Dortch | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7% | -1.6 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Sean Murphy-Bunting | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaven Collins | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roy Lopez | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Naquan Jones | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| L.J. Collier | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Baron Browning | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.4 |
| Aaron Jones | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Cam Akers | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Ty Chandler | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 7 | 9 | 99 | 0 | 30% | 6.7 |
| Jordan Addison | 4 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 20% | 1.4 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 3 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 20% | 0.7 |
| Johnny Mundt | 2 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 7% | 2.0 |
| Jalen Nailor | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 7% | -0.7 |
| Brandon Powell | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.4 |
| Aaron Jones | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 13% | -5.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Cashman | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Camryn Bynum | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Metellus | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Smith | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Jones | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Phillips | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Byron Murphy | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaquill Griffin | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jonathan Greenard | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
