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2024 Week 13 · Mon, Dec 2, 2024 · Empower Field at Mile High

Cleveland Browns

32

Denver BroncosWinner

41

DEN -6.5 ✓O 41.5 ✓

Denver Broncos 41–32. Biggest swing: Q4 1:59, CLE +39% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DEN ↑CLE ↓
Q4 · 1:59CLE 32 — DEN 40CLE ball · 1st & 10DEN 58%

(1:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left intended for 8-E.Moore INTERCEPTED by 29-J.McMillian at CLE 44. 29-J.McMillian for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 1:59CLE +39% win prob(1:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left intended for 8-E.Moore INTERCEPTED by 29-J.McMillian at CLE 44. 29-J.McMillian for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 1:52CLE +25% win prob(1:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left intended for 88-J.Akins INTERCEPTED by 15-N.Bonitto [99-Z.Allen] at DEN 29. 15-N.Bonitto for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 9:00DEN +18% win prob(9:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left to 24-N.Chubb for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 10:12DEN +17% win prob(10:12) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep middle to 19-M.Mims for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-D.Tomlinson].

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 4:16DEN Touchdown

    (4:16) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 0 — DEN 7
  2. Q1 · 1:12CLE Touchdown

    (1:12) 5-J.Winston pass short middle to 85-D.Njoku for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — DEN 7
  3. Q2 · 8:52CLE Field goal

    (8:52) 7-D.Hopkins 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — DEN 7
  4. Q2 · 4:06DEN Touchdown

    (4:06) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 20-M.Burton right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — DEN 14
  5. Q2 · 1:52DEN Touchdown

    (1:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left intended for 88-J.Akins INTERCEPTED by 15-N.Bonitto [99-Z.Allen] at DEN 29. 15-N.Bonitto for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — DEN 21
  6. Q2 · 0:17CLE Touchdown

    (:17) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short right to 85-D.Njoku for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — DEN 21
  7. Q3 · 10:12DEN Touchdown

    (10:12) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep middle to 19-M.Mims for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-D.Tomlinson]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — DEN 28
  8. Q3 · 10:01CLE Touchdown

    (10:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: CLE 25 — DEN 28
  9. Q3 · 1:55DEN Field goal

    (1:55) 3-W.Lutz 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: CLE 25 — DEN 31
  10. Q4 · 9:00CLE Touchdown

    (9:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left to 24-N.Chubb for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 32 — DEN 31
  11. Q4 · 2:57DEN Field goal

    (2:57) 3-W.Lutz 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.

    Score after this play: CLE 32 — DEN 34
  12. Q4 · 1:59DEN Touchdown

    (1:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Winston pass short left intended for 8-E.Moore INTERCEPTED by 29-J.McMillian at CLE 44. 29-J.McMillian for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 32 — DEN 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsBroncos
Offensive plays8559
Total yards554 (edge)402
Yards per play6.56.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.060.07 (edge)
Success rate40%42% (edge)
Dropback rate74%61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.040.09 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.120.03 (edge)
Third downs9/19 (edge)6/13
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps28 (edge)16
Sacks taken30 (edge)
Turnovers33

Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Jameis WinstonQB

34/58, 497 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT

-2.3 expected points added · -3.3% completion over expected

Passing · DEN

Bo NixQB

18/35, 294 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

3.3 expected points added · -4.5% completion over expected

Rushing · DEN

Jaleel McLaughlinRB

14 att, 84 yds, 0 TD

2.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Jerome FordRB

9 att, 41 yds, 0 TD

-1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Jerry JeudyWR

9/13 for 235 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 17.0 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Elijah MooreWR

8/14 for 111 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · -3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DENDEN 30571:19Punt
2CLECLE 107613:25Missed field goal
3DENDEN 3713636:03Touchdown +7
4CLECLE 307703:04Touchdown +7
5DENDEN 30500:21Defensive touchdown
6CLECLE 126111:46Punt
7DENDEN 38351:30Interception
8CLECLE 319423:43Field goal +3
9DENDEN 30500:40Punt
10CLECLE 11431:02Punt
11DENDEN 337673:04Touchdown +7
12CLECLE 308412:25Defensive touchdown
13CLECLE 3013701:25Touchdown +7
14DENDEN 30200:13End of half
15CLECLE 306191:23Punt
16DENDEN 12481:38Punt
17CLECLE 244101:25Punt
18DENDEN 84980:33Touchdown +7
19CLECLE 303720:11Touchdown +8
20DENDEN 305101:37Punt
21CLECLE 295192:15Punt
22DENDEN 410834:06Field goal +3
23CLECLE 309104:12Punt
24DENDEN 20100:09Interception
25CLECLE 2810773:34Touchdown +7
26DENDEN 3012616:03Field goal +3
27CLECLE 305121:06Defensive touchdown
28CLECLE 258371:14Interception
29DENCLE 47100:34End of game

10 of 29 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 98 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jameis Winston34/58497433-2.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jerome Ford9414.60-1.9
Nick Chubb9212.30-2.4
Jameis Winston3113.702.0
Kadarius Toney133.00-0.2
Elijah Moore111.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jerry Jeudy913235123%17.0
Elijah Moore814111025%-3.7
David Njoku91752230%-10.6
Mike Woods354309%5.8
Nick Chubb222414%3.0
Jerome Ford112102%1.4
Jamari Thrash221104%0.3
Kadarius Toney01002%-0.5
Blake Whiteheart01002%-0.5
Jordan Akins01002%-10.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordan Hicks570.000
Grant Delpit510.000
Martin Emerson510.000
Devin Bush230.000
Mohamoud Diabate040.001
Denzel Ward120.012
Ronnie Hickman210.000
Myles Garrett210.000
Dalvin Tomlinson110.000
Nick Chubb100.000

Denver Broncos

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Bo Nix18/352941203.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jaleel McLaughlin14846.002.2
Audric Estime3124.00-0.3
Bo Nix341.30-1.7
Marvin Mims144.00-0.2
Javonte Williams410.31-1.7
Michael Burton111.010.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Marvin Mims34105113%6.0
Courtland Sutton69102029%8.2
Troy Franklin2528016%-5.3
Lucas Krull3324010%1.2
Devaughn Vele1416013%-2.0
Nate Adkins111603%0.9
Javonte Williams12306%-1.4
Jaleel McLaughlin12006%-1.2
Adam Trautman01003%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Levi Wallace530.001
Cody Barton530.011
P.J. Locke510.000
Ja'Quan McMillian500.014
Zach Allen230.000
Justin Strnad310.001
Devon Key310.000
Patrick Surtain400.001
Jonah Elliss311.000
Malcolm Roach120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DEN -6.5
Closing total
41.5
CLE moneyline
+235
DEN moneyline
-290

Broncos closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 9.

Total closed 41.5; the game landed 73 — over by 31.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Empower Field at Mile High
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
48°F, wind 4 mph
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
CLE 11 days · DEN 8 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Sean Payton