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2024 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Los Angeles RamsWinner

21

New Orleans Saints

14

LA -2.5 ✓U 48.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Rams 21–14. Biggest swing: Q4 11:58, NO +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NOLA
Q4 · 11:58LA 14NO 12NO ball · 3rd & 5LA 81%

(11:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 10-M.Valdes-Scantling for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NO-64-N.Saldiveri was injured during the play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 11:58NO +14% win prob(11:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 10-M.Valdes-Scantling for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NO-64-N.Saldiveri was injured during the play.
  2. Q4 · 1:13LA +14% win prob(1:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LA 18 for -9 yards (8-J.Verse). FUMBLES (8-J.Verse) [8-J.Verse], recovered by NO-10-M.Valdes-Scantling at LA 18. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 83-J.Johnson (8-J.Verse) [8-J.Verse].
  3. Q3 · 0:39NO +13% win prob(:39) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 15-D.Robinson pushed ob at NO 3 for 46 yards (5-W.Harris).
  4. Q4 · 8:57NO +13% win prob(8:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-P.Nacua for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:53NO Field goal

    (8:53) 19-B.Grupe 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-43-M.Hayball.

    Score after this play: LA 0NO 3
  2. Q2 · 0:07NO Field goal

    (:07) 19-B.Grupe 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-43-M.Hayball.

    Score after this play: LA 0NO 6
  3. Q3 · 8:56LA Touchdown

    (8:56) 23-K.Williams left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7NO 6
  4. Q4 · 15:00LA Touchdown

    (15:00) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 15-D.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 14NO 6
  5. Q4 · 11:58NO Touchdown

    (11:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 10-M.Valdes-Scantling for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NO-64-N.Saldiveri was injured during the play. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: LA 14NO 14
  6. Q4 · 8:57LA Touchdown

    (8:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-P.Nacua for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 21NO 14

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsSaints
Offensive plays5369
Total yards325329 (edge)
Yards per play6.1 (edge)4.8
Expected points added / play0.13 (edge)-0.06
Success rate49% (edge)39%
Dropback rate49%58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.01 (edge)-0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.24 (edge)-0.11
Third downs4/9 (edge)5/15
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)7
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)19
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Saints outgained Rams 329–325 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Derek CarrQB

24/37, 184 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.6 expected points added · -2.4% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

14/24, 183 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

0.3 expected points added · -3.9% completion over expected

Rushing · NO

Alvin KamaraRB

23 att, 112 yds, 0 TD

-3.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

15 att, 104 yds, 1 TD

4.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

5/8 for 56 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Demarcus RobinsonWR

2/3 for 49 yds, 1 TD

13% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NONO 3013346:12Defensive touchdown +3
2LALA 26541:02Punt
3NONO 2514727:49Missed field goal
4LALA 2612495:47Turnover on downs
5NONO 257172:52Punt
6LALA 129404:28Punt
7NONO 1311511:48Field goal +3
8LA100:02End of half
9LALA 3013706:10Touchdown +7
10NONO 30511:34Punt
11LALA 207313:40Punt
12NONO 286211:33Punt
13LALA 185822:06Touchdown +7
14NONO 308723:04Touchdown +8
15LALA 4410382:59Touchdown +7
16NONO 3015617:45Turnover on downs
17LALA 93111:09End of game

6 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 82 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford14/241832020.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams151046.914.0
Blake Corum8425.300.0
Puka Nacua177.000.7
Matthew Stafford430.802.8
Tutu Atwell100.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua5856135%5.4
Demarcus Robinson2349113%3.7
Tutu Atwell223909%2.6
Cooper Kupp3617026%-6.6
Colby Parkinson111304%0.9
Kyren Williams11904%0.1
Tyler Johnson01004%-0.5
Hunter Long01004%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Christian Rozeboom750.001
Omar Speights370.001
Quentin Lake630.001
Cobie Durant510.000
Kamren Kinchens510.000
Jared Verse130.001
Darious Williams210.000
Kamren Curl210.001
Bobby Brown210.000
Byron Young110.000

New Orleans Saints

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Derek Carr24/37184100-1.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Alvin Kamara231124.90-3.6
Derek Carr2126.000.8
Taysom Hill5102.00-0.3
Kevin Austin199.000.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Taysom Hill5737021%1.3
Juwan Johnson5736021%-5.5
Marquez Valdes-Scantling233619%3.7
Kevin Austin333109%4.7
Cedrick Wilson111903%1.8
Alvin Kamara467018%-4.6
Jamaal Williams11703%1.2
Foster Moreau246012%-2.7
Dante Pettis12506%0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -2.5
Closing total
48.5
LA moneyline
-142
NO moneyline
+120

Rams closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 35 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Brad Allen
Rest
LA 7 days · NO 14 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Dennis Allen