2024 Week 13 · Fri, Nov 29, 2024 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Las Vegas Raiders
17
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
19
Kansas City Chiefs 19–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:15, LV +29% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell FUMBLES (Aborted) at KC 38, touched at KC 38, RECOVERED by KC-32-N.Bolton at KC 37. Penalty on LV, Illegal Shift, declined.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:15LV +29% win prob(:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell FUMBLES (Aborted) at KC 38, touched at KC 38, RECOVERED by KC-32-N.Bolton at KC 37. Penalty on LV, Illegal Shift, declined.
- Q4 · 15:00KC +21% win prob(15:00) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 11-T.Tucker for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 2:21LV +12% win prob(2:21) 2-D.Carlson 58 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
- Q4 · 0:54KC +11% win prob(:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.O'Connell pass short left to 16-J.Meyers to KC 39 for 11 yards (22-T.McDuffie).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:09KC Field goal
(10:09) 49-M.Wright 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LV 0 — KC 3 - Q2 · 11:06LV Field goal
(11:06) 2-D.Carlson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: LV 3 — KC 3 - Q2 · 2:19KC Touchdown
(2:19) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 84-Ju.Watson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [44-K.Chaisson]. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 3 — KC 10 - Q3 · 8:44KC Field goal
(8:44) 49-M.Wright 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LV 3 — KC 13 - Q3 · 3:15KC Field goal
(3:15) 49-M.Wright 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LV 3 — KC 16 - Q3 · 1:50LV Touchdown
(1:50) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep right to 89-B.Bowers for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 10 — KC 16 - Q4 · 15:00LV Touchdown
(15:00) 12-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 11-T.Tucker for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LV 17 — KC 16 - Q4 · 9:57KC Field goal
(9:57) 49-M.Wright 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LV 17 — KC 19
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Raiders | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 62 | 65 |
| Total yards | 434 (edge) | 330 |
| Yards per play | 7.0 (edge) | 5.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.08 (edge) | -0.04 |
| Success rate | 44% (edge) | 34% |
| Dropback rate | 60% | 78% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.25 (edge) | 0.02 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.18 (edge) | -0.28 |
| Third downs | 3/12 | 7/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 11 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 3 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Raiders outgained Chiefs 434–330 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LV
23/35, 340 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
9.2 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected
Passing · KC
26/46, 306 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
1.6 expected points added · -7.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 27 | 14 | 46 | 4:54 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | LV | LV 30 | 7 | 21 | 3:37 | Punt | |
| 3 | KC | KC 23 | 10 | 60 | 4:06 | Punt | |
| 4 | LV | LV 8 | 10 | 88 | 6:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | KC | KC 24 | 5 | -6 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 6 | LV | LV 45 | 7 | 22 | 3:00 | Missed field goal | |
| 7 | KC | KC 47 | 8 | 53 | 3:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | LV | LV 18 | 7 | 27 | 1:14 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 21 | 5 | 38 | 1:00 | Missed field goal | |
| 10 | LV | LV 25 | 9 | 45 | 3:15 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | KC | KC 30 | 7 | 47 | 3:05 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | LV | LV 30 | 9 | 28 | 4:12 | Missed field goal | |
| 13 | KC | KC 45 | 7 | 38 | 1:17 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | LV | KC 26 | 4 | 36 | 1:31 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | KC | KC 30 | 5 | -1 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 16 | LV | LV 31 | 3 | 69 | 0:13 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | KC | KC 30 | 12 | 40 | 4:59 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | LV | LV 13 | 7 | 15 | 3:07 | Punt | |
| 19 | KC | KC 25 | 4 | 7 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 20 | LV | LV 32 | 8 | 28 | 2:58 | Missed field goal | |
| 21 | KC | KC 48 | 4 | 8 | 0:21 | Punt | |
| 22 | LV | LV 8 | 7 | 55 | 1:45 | Fumble | |
| 23 | KC | KC 37 | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | End of game |
8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 88 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
Box score
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan O'Connell | 23/35 | 340 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sincere McCormick | 12 | 64 | 5.3 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 10 | 39 | 3.9 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Brock Bowers | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Aidan O'Connell | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | 10 | 14 | 140 | 1 | 41% | 8.5 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 6 | 11 | 97 | 0 | 32% | 1.6 |
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 1 | 58 | 1 | 3% | 5.1 |
| D.J. Turner | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 3% | 2.3 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6% | 0.1 |
| Michael Mayer | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6% | -1.0 |
| Sincere McCormick | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6% | -0.6 |
| Terrace Marshall | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Spillane | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Butler | 2 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Pola-Mao | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decamerion Richardson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maxx Crosby | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Divine Deablo | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonah Laulu | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 26/46 | 306 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 7 | 44 | 6.3 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Kareem Hunt | 7 | 15 | 2.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | 4 | 9 | 90 | 0 | 20% | 0.5 |
| Travis Kelce | 7 | 13 | 68 | 0 | 29% | 3.0 |
| Noah Gray | 4 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 13% | 2.3 |
| Xavier Worthy | 5 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 16% | 3.9 |
| Samaje Perine | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 2% | -0.7 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2% | 0.7 |
| Justin Watson | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7% | 0.9 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2% | -0.1 |
| Kareem Hunt | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9% | -2.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bolton | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chamarri Conner | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drue Tranquill | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Reid | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Danna | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent McDuffie | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nazeeh Johnson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -13.5
- Closing total
- 42
- LV moneyline
- +550
- KC moneyline
- -800
Chiefs closed -13.5, won by 2 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42; the game landed 36 — under by 6.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 37°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Clay Martin
- Rest
- LV 5 days · KC 5 days
- Coaches
- Antonio Pierce vs Andy Reid
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.