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2024 Week 13 · Thu, Nov 28, 2024 · Lambeau Field
17
30
Green Bay Packers 30–17. Biggest swing: Q1 13:40, GB +23% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(13:40) 19-D.Whelan punts 45 yards to MIA 13, Center-42-M.Orzech. 83-M.Washington MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by GB-22-R.Rochell at MIA 9.
How the points landed
(12:05) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-C.Campbell]. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 0 — GB 7(:59) 8-J.Jacobs left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 0 — GB 14(8:47) 7-J.Sanders 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-Z.Triner, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: MIA 3 — GB 14(1:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 11-J.Reed for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: MIA 3 — GB 21(:03) 17-B.McManus 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: MIA 3 — GB 24(7:46) 17-B.McManus 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: MIA 3 — GB 27(2:48) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 28-D.Achane for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: MIA 11 — GB 27(5:06) 17-B.McManus 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: MIA 11 — GB 30(3:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 10-T.Hill for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: MIA 17 — GB 30Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Dolphins | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 53 |
| Total yards | 377 | 388 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.6 | 7.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.08 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 47% |
| Dropback rate | 81% | 53% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.22 | 0.45 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.50 | -0.06 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/14 | 5/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 (edge) | 18 |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs 0.08.
Who moved the needle
Passing · MIA
37/46, 365 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
11.9 expected points added · +8.4% completion over expected
Passing · GB
21/28, 274 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
12.7 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 46 | 5 | 1 | 1:30 | Fumble | |
| 2 | GB | MIA 9 | 4 | 9 | 1:30 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | MIA | MIA 30 | 7 | 17 | 4:07 | Punt | |
| 4 | GB | GB 24 | 13 | 76 | 6:58 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 30 | 13 | 55 | 7:11 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | GB | GB 30 | 6 | 26 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 7 | MIA | MIA 6 | 5 | 17 | 3:30 | Punt | |
| 8 | GB | GB 38 | 7 | 67 | 1:27 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 30 | 9 | 32 | 1:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | GB | GB 39 | 4 | 34 | 0:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | MIA | MIA 23 | 5 | 7 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 12 | GB | GB 22 | 8 | 72 | 5:10 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | MIA | MIA 30 | 10 | 82 | 4:59 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 14 | GB | GB 30 | 6 | 17 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 15 | MIA | MIA 18 | 12 | 70 | 6:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | GB | GB 7 | 9 | 87 | 4:31 | Defensive touchdown +3 | |
| 17 | MIA | MIA 33 | 9 | 67 | 1:58 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 18 | GB | MIA 49 | 5 | -1 | 1:08 | Punt | |
| 19 | MIA | MIA 20 | 7 | 30 | 1:56 | End of game |
9 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a defensive touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | 37/46 | 365 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Devon Achane | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnu Smith | 10 | 11 | 113 | 0 | 24% | 7.8 |
| Tyreek Hill | 6 | 9 | 83 | 1 | 20% | 5.2 |
| Devon Achane | 8 | 9 | 56 | 1 | 20% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrel Dodson | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Poyer | 2 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordyn Brooks | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jevon Holland |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | 21/28 | 274 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 19 | 43 | 2.3 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Packers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 13.
Total closed 47.5; the game landed 47 — under by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
| 2.3 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 4 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 9% | 6.6 |
| Raheem Mostert | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 7% | -1.1 |
| Alec Ingold | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 4% | 0.9 |
| Odell Beckham | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.2 |
| Malik Washington | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 9% | -1.6 |
| Durham Smythe | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2% | -0.0 |
| Julian Hill | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 0.1 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Emmanuel Ogbah | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinton Bell | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Storm Duck | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Sieler | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam Smith | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calais Campbell | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -6.0 |
| Christopher Brooks | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reed | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft | 6 | 7 | 78 | 0 | 25% | 4.9 |
| Josh Jacobs | 4 | 4 | 74 | 0 | 14% | 3.7 |
| Christian Watson | 2 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 14% | 4.5 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 4 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 18% | -0.4 |
| Jayden Reed | 3 | 6 | 24 | 2 | 21% | 1.2 |
| Christopher Brooks | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7% | -1.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McDuffie | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Xavier McKinney | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quay Walker | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Evan Williams | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keisean Nixon | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kingsley Enagbare | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Bullard | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Wilson | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zayne Anderson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Stokes | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
