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2024 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2024 · M&T Bank Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

24

Baltimore Ravens

19

BAL -3 upsetU 50 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 24–19. Biggest swing: Q3 1:26, PHI +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3BAL ↑PHI ↓
Q3 · 1:26PHI 14 — BAL 12BAL ball · 4th & 7BAL 51%

(1:26) 9-J.Tucker 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 1:26PHI +14% win prob(1:26) 9-J.Tucker 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
  2. Q3 · 10:00PHI +11% win prob(10:00) 9-J.Tucker 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
  3. Q3 · 12:31BAL +11% win prob(12:31) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 89-M.Andrews to PHI 20 for 23 yards (8-C.Gardner-Johnson) [93-M.Williams].
  4. Q2 · 2:46BAL +10% win prob(2:46) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to BAL 1 for 9 yards (29-A.Washington).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:25BAL Field goal

    (9:25) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: PHI 0 — BAL 3
  2. Q1 · 3:56BAL Touchdown

    (3:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 89-M.Andrews for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: PHI 0 — BAL 9
  3. Q2 · 8:09PHI Touchdown

    (8:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 88-D.Goedert for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 7 — BAL 9
  4. Q2 · 2:03PHI Touchdown

    (2:03) 1-J.Hurts FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 1, and recovers at BAL 1. 1-J.Hurts for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 14 — BAL 9
  5. Q2 · 0:08BAL Field goal

    (:08) 9-J.Tucker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: PHI 14 — BAL 12
  6. Q4 · 8:04PHI Touchdown

    (8:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 21 — BAL 12
  7. Q4 · 1:07PHI Field goal

    (1:07) 4-J.Elliott 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: PHI 24 — BAL 12
  8. Q4 · 0:07BAL Touchdown

    (:07) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 80-I.Likely for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 24 — BAL 19

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesRavens
Offensive plays5271
Total yards254372 (edge)
Yards per play4.95.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.05 (edge)-0.00
Success rate44% (edge)39%
Dropback rate40%62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.070.08 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.13 (edge)-0.14
Third downs4/126/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)48 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1621 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers00

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.00.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

23/36, 237 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-1.0 expected points added · +2.7% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

11/19, 118 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.6 expected points added · -2.2% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

23 att, 107 yds, 1 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Derrick HenryRB

19 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

-2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BAL

Zay FlowersWR

3/7 for 74 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 0.0 expected points added

Receiving · BAL

Mark AndrewsTE

6/7 for 67 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 5.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 306161:50Punt
2BALBAL 337463:49Field goal +3
3PHIPHI 30540:54Punt
4BALBAL 189824:38Touchdown +6
5PHIPHI 27522:21Punt
6BALBAL 36451:39Punt
7PHIPHI 205212:33Punt
8BALBAL 1451:21Punt
9PHIBAL 497492:51Touchdown +7
10BALBAL 25542:02Punt
11PHIPHI 3210734:02Touchdown +7
12BALBAL 419271:57Field goal +3
13PHIPHI 30200:03End of half
14BALBAL 3011415:05Missed field goal
15PHIPHI 374-11:39Punt
16BALBAL 1814466:55Missed field goal
17PHIPHI 43441:21Punt
18BALBAL 58343:40Punt
19PHIPHI 298663:24Touchdown +7
20BALBAL 306121:45Turnover on downs
21PHIBAL 4211205:08Field goal +3
22BALBAL 309701:00Touchdown +7
23PHIBAL 42200:03End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 82 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts11/19118102-1.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley231074.710.7
Jalen Hurts9293.213.2
Will Shipley144.00-0.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown5666035%3.4
Dallas Goedert3435124%3.9
Saquon Barkley2410024%-2.8
Jahan Dotson11706%0.2
Parris Campbell01006%-0.5
Britain Covey01006%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zack Baun850.500
Nakobe Dean550.000
Nolan Smith351.000
Josh Sweat320.000
Cooper DeJean500.001
Isaiah Rodgers400.000
Reed Blankenship310.000
Jalen Carter311.000
Tristin McCollum300.001
Oren Burks110.000

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Lamar Jackson23/36237203-1.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Derrick Henry19824.30-2.4
Lamar Jackson8799.903.0
Justice Hill362.00-0.8
Mark Andrews122.002.2
Zay Flowers1-3-3.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Zay Flowers3774020%0.0
Mark Andrews6767120%5.3
Isaiah Likely5838123%3.7
Derrick Henry332909%1.0
Justice Hill4615017%-3.4
Tylan Wallace221406%0.3
Nelson Agholor02006%-2.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Roquan Smith290.500
Ar'Darius Washington520.000
Chris Board420.000
Brandon Stephens400.001
Travis Jones310.000
Kyle Hamilton310.000
Trenton Simpson310.000
Tavius Robinson220.000
Marlon Humphrey030.500
Broderick Washington301.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BAL -3
Closing total
50
PHI moneyline
+136
BAL moneyline
-162

Ravens closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 50; the game landed 43 — under by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
41°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
PHI 7 days · BAL 6 days
Coaches
Nick Sirianni vs John Harbaugh