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2024 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 1, 2024 · FedExField

Tennessee Titans

19

Washington CommandersWinner

42

WAS -6 ✓O 45 ✓

Washington Commanders 42–19 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:37, WAS +4% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3WAS ↑TEN ↓
Q1 · 12:37TEN 0 — WAS 0WAS ball · 1st & 10WAS 78%

(12:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 85-N.Brown to TEN 40 for 9 yards (56-K.Murray).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 12:37WAS +4% win prob(12:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 85-N.Brown to TEN 40 for 9 yards (56-K.Murray).
  2. Q1 · 12:05WAS +3% win prob(12:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson right tackle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 13:27TEN +3% win prob(13:27) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass incomplete short middle to 0-C.Ridley [4-F.Luvu].
  4. Q1 · 14:55TEN +2% win prob(14:55) (Shotgun) PENALTY on TEN-55-J.Latham, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TEN 28 - No Play.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:05WAS Touchdown

    (12:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson right tackle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 0 — WAS 7
  2. Q1 · 2:28WAS Touchdown

    (2:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 0 — WAS 14
  3. Q1 · 0:30WAS Touchdown

    (:30) 5-J.Daniels pass deep left to 17-T.McLaurin for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 0 — WAS 21
  4. Q2 · 11:02WAS Touchdown

    (11:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 0 — WAS 28
  5. Q2 · 0:28TEN Touchdown

    (:28) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 7 — WAS 28
  6. Q3 · 8:45TEN Field goal

    (8:45) 6-N.Folk 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

    Score after this play: TEN 10 — WAS 28
  7. Q3 · 3:44TEN Field goal

    (3:44) 6-N.Folk 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

    Score after this play: TEN 13 — WAS 28
  8. Q4 · 14:19WAS Touchdown

    (14:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 13 — WAS 35
  9. Q4 · 7:13TEN Touchdown

    (7:13) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: TEN 19 — WAS 35
  10. Q4 · 3:34WAS Touchdown

    (3:34) (Shotgun) 36-C.Rodriguez left tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 19 — WAS 42

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricTitansCommanders
Offensive plays5176
Total yards245464 (edge)
Yards per play4.86.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.100.29 (edge)
Success rate29%59% (edge)
Dropback rate78%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.050.29 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.650.30 (edge)
Third downs5/129/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)38 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1125 (edge)
Sacks taken22
Turnovers21 (edge)

Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Will LevisQB

18/37, 212 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.9 expected points added · -10.2% completion over expected

Passing · WAS

Jayden DanielsQB

25/30, 206 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

10.1 expected points added · +10.9% completion over expected

Rushing · WAS

Brian RobinsonRB

16 att, 103 yds, 1 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

Chris RodriguezRB

13 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

6.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · WAS

Terry McLaurinWR

8/8 for 73 yds, 2 TD

27% of team targets · 8.8 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR

3/8 for 61 yds, 2 TD

22% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1TENTEN 285-21:52Punt
2WASWAS 414591:10Touchdown +7
3TENTEN 307172:58Punt
4WASWAS 2012806:37Touchdown +7
5TENTEN 15390:50Fumble
6WASTEN 244241:09Touchdown +7
7TEN—100:05Fumble
8WASTEN 3410244:20Touchdown +7
9TENTEN 155132:08Punt
10WASWAS 1212506:59Missed field goal
11TENTEN 3610791:29Touchdown +7
12WASWAS 30390:23End of half
13WASWAS 22582:13Punt
14TENTEN 379404:06Field goal +3
15WASWAS 226172:10Interception
16TENTEN 387442:51Field goal +3
17WASWAS 2811724:25Touchdown +7
18TENTEN 30500:27Punt
19WASWAS 299374:32Missed field goal
20TENTEN 428432:09Touchdown +6
21WASWAS 2911713:36Touchdown +7
22TENTEN 28520:52Turnover on downs
23WASTEN 324132:39End of game

10 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 80 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Will Levis18/372122021.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard8354.40-4.6
Tyjae Spears133.00-0.2
Will Levis2-3-1.50-2.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3861222%6.6
Calvin Ridley2745019%0.4
Tyler Boyd3437011%2.2
Tony Pollard4633017%-0.0
Chigoziem Okonkwo3627017%-0.7
Nick Vannett11603%-0.0
Josh Whyle13308%-2.6
J.C. Latham11003%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Daryl Worley690.000
Kenneth Murray450.500
Jeffery Simmons540.000
Roger McCreary530.000
Jerome Baker240.000
Amani Hooker420.011
Darrell Baker230.000
Keondre Coburn210.000
James Williams210.000
Harold Landry210.000

Washington Commanders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jayden Daniels25/3020631210.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Brian Robinson161036.412.1
Chris Rodriguez13947.216.9
Jayden Daniels9343.81-1.9
Jeremy McNichols6325.302.1
Dyami Brown144.000.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Terry McLaurin8873227%8.8
Dyami Brown4535017%0.4
Zach Ertz3635120%-2.1
Noah Brown3427013%1.6
Olamide Zaccheaus3314010%2.4
Luke McCaffrey221307%2.4
Brian Robinson11603%0.2
Ben Sinnott11303%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Mike Sainristil330.000
Quan Martin410.000
Bobby Wagner410.000
Jeremy Reaves210.000
Jeremy Chinn210.000
Frankie Luvu301.000
Daron Payne210.500
Clelin Ferrell020.500
Benjamin St-Juste110.000
Noah Igbinoghene110.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
WAS -6
Closing total
45
TEN moneyline
+205
WAS moneyline
-250

Commanders closed -6 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 45; the game landed 61 — over by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FedExField
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
42°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
TEN 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches
Brian Callahan vs Dan Quinn