2024 Week 14 · Mon, Dec 9, 2024 · AT&T Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

Dallas Cowboys

CIN -5 ✓U 51 ✓DomeBengals closed -5 and covered, winning by 7.

Cincinnati Bengals 27–20. Biggest swing: Q4 2:00, DAL +27% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 2:00CIN 20 — DAL 20CIN ball · 4th & 27DAL 56%

(2:00) 8-R.Rehkow punts 13 yards to CIN 42, Center-48-C.Adomitis. 27-A.Oruwariye MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CIN-45-M.Njongmeta at CIN 43.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 2:00DAL +27% win prob(2:00) 8-R.Rehkow punts 13 yards to CIN 42, Center-48-C.Adomitis. 27-A.Oruwariye MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CIN-45-M.Njongmeta at CIN 43.
Q4 · 1:09DAL +13% win prob(1:09) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 8:59DAL +10% win prob(8:59) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short right to 88-C.Lamb for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 7:01CIN +9% win prob(7:01) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 28-M.Hooker at DAL 18. 28-M.Hooker to DAL 17 for -1 yards (1-J.Chase).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:59DAL Touchdown
(8:59) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short right to 88-C.Lamb for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 0 — DAL 7
Q1 · 2:51CIN Touchdown
(2:51) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 7 — DAL 7
Q2 · 6:26DAL Field goal
(6:26) 17-B.Aubrey 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: CIN 7 — DAL 10
Q2 · 3:36CIN Touchdown
(3:36) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 30-C.Brown pushed ob at DAL 3 for 16 yards (6-Do.Wilson). Cincinnati challenged the runner was out of bounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 30-C.Brown for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 14 — DAL 10
Q2 · 0:34CIN Field goal
(:34) 3-C.York 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Score after this play: CIN 17 — DAL 10
Q3 · 10:37DAL Touchdown
(10:37) (Shotgun) 10-C.Rush pass short right to 3-B.Cooks for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CIN-28-J.Newton, Defensive Holding, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 17 — DAL 17
Q4 · 15:00DAL Field goal
(15:00) 17-B.Aubrey 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: CIN 17 — DAL 20
Q4 · 10:28CIN Field goal
(10:28) 3-C.York 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Score after this play: CIN 20 — DAL 20
Q4 · 1:09CIN Touchdown
(1:09) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 1-J.Chase for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 27 — DAL 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Cowboys
Offensive plays	63	59
Total yards	435 (edge)	322
Yards per play	6.9 (edge)	5.5
Expected points added / play	0.16 (edge)	-0.02
Success rate	52% (edge)	44%
Dropback rate	73%	59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.23 (edge)	-0.18
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.04	0.22 (edge)
Third downs	4/10 (edge)	4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.02.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

33/44, 369 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

10.6 expected points added · +8.0% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Cooper RushQB

16/31, 183 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-6.0 expected points added · -15.9% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Rico DowdleRB

18 att, 131 yds, 0 TD

4.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CIN

Chase BrownRB

14 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

-0.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Ja'Marr ChaseWR

14/18 for 177 yds, 2 TD

42% of team targets · 8.8 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

6/7 for 93 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	CIN 30	5	4	1:36	Punt
2	DAL	DAL 40	10	60	4:29	Touchdown +7
3	CIN	CIN 30	13	75	6:10	Touchdown +7
4	DAL	DAL 30	7	58	2:49	Interception
5	CIN	CIN 4	8	62	5:05	Turnover on downs
6	DAL	DAL 44	7	39	3:28	Field goal +3
7	CIN	CIN 36	8	64	2:53	Touchdown +7
8	DAL	DAL 30	5	-5	1:40	Punt
9	CIN	CIN 45	7	36	1:20	Field goal +3
10	DAL	DAL 30	5	5	0:27	Punt
11	CIN	CIN 7	1	0	0:03	End of half
12	DAL	DAL 30	10	65	4:28	Touchdown +7
13	CIN	CIN 30	8	37	3:42	Interception
14	DAL	DAL 17	13	69	6:55	Field goal +3
15	CIN	CIN 32	10	58	4:31	Field goal +3
16	DAL	DAL 30	5	-1	0:51	Punt
17	CIN	CIN 26	6	18	3:02	Fumble
18	DAL	DAL 20	5	14	1:00	Punt
19	CIN	CIN 14	7	24	3:38	Punt
20	CIN	CIN 43	4	57	0:52	Touchdown +7
21	DAL	DAL 30	6	18	0:42	Turnover on downs
22	CIN	DAL 48	1	0	0:19	End of game

9 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 75 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Burrow	33/44	369	3	1	2	10.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Chase Brown	14	58	4.1	-0.6
Ja'Marr Chase	1	14	14.0	1.0
Khalil Herbert	2	4	2.0	-1.1
Joe Burrow	2	-2	-1.0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Ja'Marr Chase	14	18	177	2	42%	8.8
Chase Brown	6	8	65	1	19%	1.6
Andrei Iosivas	4	5	41	0	12%	2.4
Mike Gesicki	3	3	24	0	7%	1.1
Tee Higgins	2	5	23	0	12%	-2.2
Tanner Hudson	1	1	19	0	2%	1.6
Drew Sample	2	2	13	0	5%	0.7
Khalil Herbert	1	1	7	0	2%	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Akeem Davis-Gaither	5	4	0.0	0	1
Germaine Pratt	3	4	0.0	0	1
Jordan Battle	3	2	0.0	0	0
Geno Stone	3	2	0.0	1	1
Myles Murphy	3	1	0.0	0	0
Mike Hilton	2	1	0.0	0	1
B.J. Hill	1	2	1.0	0	0
D.J. Ivey	2	0	0.0	0	0
Josh Newton	2	0	0.0	0	0
Kris Jenkins	1	1	0.0	0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cooper Rush	16/31	183	2	1	3	-6.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Rico Dowdle	18	131	7.3	4.3
Kavontae Turpin	2	15	7.5	1.1
Cooper Rush	2	5	2.5	0.6
Ezekiel Elliott	2	4	2.0	-0.5
CeeDee Lamb	1	1	1.0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	6	7	93	1	23%	3.6
Jake Ferguson	3	6	32	0	19%	-1.2
Luke Schoonmaker	2	2	22	0	6%	1.8
Kavontae Turpin	1	4	16	0	13%	-1.1
Rico Dowdle	1	2	10	0	6%	0.3
Hunter Luepke	1	1	5	0	3%	0.0
Brandin Cooks	1	3	3	1	10%	0.1
Ezekiel Elliott	1	1	2	0	3%	-1.0
Jalen Tolbert	0	3	0	0	10%	-3.2
Jonathan Mingo	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5
Ryan Flournoy	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Eric Kendricks	5	4	0.0	0	0
Donovan Wilson	4	4	0.5	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	4	3	0.0	0	0
DeMarvion Overshown	4	2	0.0	0	1
Daron Bland	2	3	0.0	0	1
Malik Hooker	2	3	0.0	1	1
Trevon Diggs	5	0	0.0	0	3
Osa Odighizuwa	1	2	0.0	0	0
Chauncey Golston	2	0	0.0	0	0
Marist Liufau	1	1	1.5	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -5
Closing total: 51
CIN moneyline: -230
DAL moneyline: +190

Bengals closed -5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 51; the game landed 47 — under by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Scott Novak
Rest: CIN 8 days · DAL 11 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Mike McCarthy