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2024 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 8, 2024 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
17
19
Kansas City Chiefs 19–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:01, KC +33% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:01) 49-M.Wright 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
How the points landed
(10:10) 49-M.Wright 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LAC 0 — KC 3(7:51) 49-M.Wright 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LAC 0 — KC 6(:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 8-D.Hopkins for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 0 — KC 13(7:15) (Shotgun) 4-G.Edwards left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 7 — KC 13(3:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 1-Q.Johnston for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: LAC 14 — KC 13(13:09) 49-M.Wright 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LAC 14 — KC 16(4:39) 11-C.Dicker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 16(:01) 49-M.Wright 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
Score after this play: LAC 17 — KC 19Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Chargers | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 57 | 63 |
| Total yards | 288 | 300 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.1 (edge) | 4.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.09 (edge) | 0.02 |
| Success rate | 40% | 52% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 63% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.18 (edge) | 0.06 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.07 (edge) | -0.08 |
| Third downs | 6/13 | 8/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 2 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 18 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Who moved the needle
Passing · LAC
21/30, 213 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
8.2 expected points added · +8.5% completion over expected
Passing · KC
24/37, 210 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
0.6 expected points added · +0.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 37 | 12 | 34 | 4:55 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | LAC | LAC 30 | 8 | 26 | 3:31 | Punt | |
| 3 | KC | KC 16 | 6 | 23 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 4 | LAC | LAC 2 | 8 | 53 | 4:19 | Punt | |
| 5 | KC | KC 12 | 6 | 21 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 6 | LAC | LAC 17 | 4 | 1 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 7 | KC | KC 45 | 7 | 40 | 3:33 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | LAC | LAC 41 | 5 | 4 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 9 | 4 | 7 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 10 | LAC | LAC 35 | 4 | 12 | 1:17 | Punt | |
| 11 | KC | KC 23 | 10 | 62 | 2:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | LAC | LAC 21 | 6 | 31 | 0:47 | End of half | |
| 13 | LAC | LAC 21 | 15 | 74 | 7:48 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | KC | KC 15 | 5 | 9 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 26 | 5 | 35 | 2:12 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | KC | KC 23 | 13 | 55 | 5:26 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | LAC | LAC 24 | 15 | 52 | 8:29 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | KC | KC 40 | 15 | 49 | 4:35 | Field goal +3 |
8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 74 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 21/30 | 213 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Edwards | 10 | 36 | 3.6 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Kimani Vidal | 8 | 34 | 4.3 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Justin Herbert | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Taylor Heinicke | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Derius Davis | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Palmer | 6 | 9 | 78 | 0 | 31% | 7.4 |
| Stone Smartt | 3 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 10% | 4.5 |
| Quentin Johnston | 5 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 24% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daiyan Henley | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Elijah Molden | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tarheeb Still | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Dye |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 24/37 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 14 | 55 | 3.9 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -5, won by 2 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 36 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 6.5 |
| Will Dissly | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 7% | -0.8 |
| D.J. Chark | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.6 |
| Jalen Reagor | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -1.2 |
| Derius Davis | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14% | -2.2 |
| Kimani Vidal | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.4 |
| Tucker Fisk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Otito Ogbonnia | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Maye | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kristian Fulton | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam Hart | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Poona Ford | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuli Tuipulotu | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.2 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Kareem Hunt | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Xavier Worthy | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Samaje Perine | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 5 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 17% | 2.7 |
| Xavier Worthy | 5 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 17% | 2.5 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 4 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 25% | -1.7 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 6% | 1.7 |
| Noah Gray | 4 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 14% | 0.9 |
| Samaje Perine | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 6% | 0.5 |
| Kareem Hunt | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 1.4 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 11% | -1.4 |
| Baylor Cupp | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamarri Conner | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drue Tranquill | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Bolton | 5 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Chenal | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Williams | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Reid | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Cook | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Pennel | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tershawn Wharton | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Danna | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
